Leylah Annie Fernandez and Emma Raducanu will fight against each other in the final of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emma Raducanu who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Emma Raducanu is the pick to win this match.
Emma Raducanu -> 1.7
Leylah Annie Fernandez -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Leylah Annie Fernandez vs. Emma Raducanu
There is no head to head record between Leylah Annie Fernandez and Emma Raducanu since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Ranked no. 73, Leylah got to the final after beating Ana Konjuh 7-63 6-2, Kaia Kanepi 7-5 7-5, Naomi Osaka 5-7 7-62 6-4, Angelique Kerber 4-6 7-65 6-2, Elina Svitolina 6-3 3-6 7-65 and Aryna Sabalenka 7-63 4-6 6-4.
In the semifinal, Leylah defeated Sabalenka (7-63 4-6 6-4). During the match, Annie Fernandez scored 99 points vs Sabalenka’s 97. The Canadian was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Annie Fernandez struck 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Leylah Annie Fernandez lost the serve 4 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Annie Fernandez put 58% of her first serves in, winning 68% (40/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 51% (22/43) on the 2nd serve. Leylah broke Sabalenka 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Annie Fernandez started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has lost 4 set in this event to win 52% of the points she played.
Annie Fernandez has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 62% of her matches (103-62). 17-8 on hard in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Annie Fernandez has an overall65-33 record in the last 5 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Monterrey where she beat Viktorija Golubic in the final 6-1 6-4.
The Canadian has an overall 23-15 win-loss record in 2021, 17-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020. See her history.
Emma Raducanu
Ranked no. 150 (career-high), Raducanu reached the final after beating Bibiane Schoofs 6-1 6-2, Mariam Bolkvadze 6-3 7-5, Mayar Sherif 6-1 6-4, Stefanie Voegele 6-2 6-3, Shuai Zhang 6-2 6-4, Sara Sorribes Tormo 6-0 6-1, Shelby Rogers 6-2 6-1, Belinda Bencic 6-3 6-4 and Maria Sakkari 6-1 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Sakkari (6-1 6-4). During the match Raducanu scored 68 points vs Sakkari’s 48. The Brit was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Raducanu struck 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Emma Raducanu was extremely efficient on serve to win 73% (29/40) of her 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Brit broke Sakkari 3 times after converting 27% of her break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Emma started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 60% of the points she played.
Emma’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Chicago.
The Brit has an aggregate 22-6 win-loss record in 2021, 17-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Raducanu has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Annie Fernandez | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 6 | 9 |
| Tot Set | 16 | 18 |
| Tot Games | 175 | 152 |
| Pts | 565-527 | 592-399 |
| Total Points | 1092 | 991 |
| Winners | 256 | 249 |
| %Winners | 45% | 42% |
Annie Fernandez played 6 matches while Raducanu competed in 9 matches. Raducanu started her run from the qualifications while Annie Fernandez had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Leylah Annie Fernandez surrendered 4 sets while Emma Raducanu hasn’t lost a set so far. Annie Fernandez has played 2 set(s) less than Raducanu (16 vs 18). However, it’s interesting to notice that Annie Fernandez played 23 games more than Raducanu. Annie Fernandez scored 256 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit recorded 249 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Annie Fernandez | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 27 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 358/548 | 341/470 |
| %1st in | 65% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 256/358 | 249/341 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 93/190 | 72/129 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 56% |
Annie Fernandez recorded 21 aces (3.5 per match). Raducanu recorded 27 aces (3 per match). Annie Fernandez won 72% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Raducanu won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Annie Fernandez | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 38 |
| Converted | 22/47 | 38/88 |
| % Converted | 47% | 43% |
| Conceded | 49 | 30 |
| Saved | 32 | 21 |
| % Saved | 65% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 17 | 9 |
Annie Fernandez broke her opponents 22 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Canadian dropped her serve 17 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded. Emma broke her opponents 38 times with a 43% conversion rate. Raducanu conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.
| Annie Fernandez | ||||||||
| R1 Konjuh |
R2 Kanepi |
R3 Osaka |
R4 Kerber |
1/4 Svitolina |
1/2 Sabalenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-2 | 7-5 7-5 | 5-7 7-62 6-4 | 4-6 7-65 6-2 | 6-3 3-6 7-65 | 7-63 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 24 | 35 | 31 | 31 | 33 | 175 | |
| pts | 75-67 | 93-80 | 99-93 | 102-91 | 97-99 | 99-97 | 565-527 | |
| Total points | 142 | 173 | 192 | 193 | 196 | 196 | 1092 | |
| Winners | 36 | 43 | 58 | 41 | 38 | 40 | 256 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 46% | 59% | 40% | 39% | 40% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 55/72 | 54/82 | 74/93 | 62/101 | 54/98 | 59/102 | 358/548 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 66% | 80% | 61% | 55% | 58% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 36/55 | 43/54 | 58/74 | 41/62 | 38/54 | 40/59 | 256/358 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 80% | 78% | 66% | 70% | 68% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 12/28 | 10/19 | 20/39 | 21/44 | 22/43 | 93/190 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 43% | 53% | 51% | 48% | 51% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/9 | 2/5 | 5/9 | 4/10 | 4/7 | 22/47 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 33% | 40% | 56% | 40% | 57% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 49 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 7/8 | 3/5 | 5/9 | 2/6 | 7/11 | 32 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 88% | 60% | 56% | 33% | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | |
| Raducanu | |||||||||||
| Q1 Schoofs |
Q2 Bolkvadze |
Q3 Sherif |
R1 Voegele |
R2 Zhang |
R3 Sorribes Tormo |
R4 Rogers |
1/4 Bencic |
1/2 Sakkari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-0 6-1 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 21 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 19 | 17 | 152 | |
| pts | 59-31 | 71-51 | 63-40 | 67-46 | 78-55 | 60-33 | 65-42 | 61-53 | 68-48 | 592-399 | |
| Total points | 90 | 122 | 103 | 113 | 133 | 93 | 107 | 114 | 116 | 991 | |
| Winners | 21 | 32 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 22 | 32 | 27 | 29 | 249 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 45% | 46% | 43% | 36% | 37% | 49% | 44% | 43% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 26/39 | 44/60 | 37/47 | 44/57 | 33/46 | 28/39 | 50/66 | 39/60 | 40/56 | 341/470 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 73% | 79% | 77% | 72% | 72% | 76% | 65% | 71% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 32/44 | 29/37 | 29/44 | 28/33 | 22/28 | 32/50 | 27/39 | 29/40 | 249/341 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 73% | 78% | 66% | 85% | 79% | 64% | 69% | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/13 | 9/16 | 5/10 | 6/13 | 7/13 | 6/11 | 8/16 | 12/21 | 11/16 | 72/129 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 56% | 50% | 46% | 54% | 55% | 50% | 57% | 69% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 38 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/9 | 4/11 | 5/8 | 4/11 | 5/11 | 5/9 | 3/6 | 3/11 | 38/88 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 44% | 36% | 63% | 36% | 45% | 56% | 50% | 27% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 30 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 8/9 | 4/5 | 7/7 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 0% | – | 89% | 80% | 100% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
