Aryna Sabalenka and Barbora Krejcikova will square off in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.68
Barbora Krejcikova -> 2.3
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Barbora Krejcikova
This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Barbora Krejcikova fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Sabalenka won 7-5 4-6 6-3 in the semifinal in Linz back in 2020.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Barbora Krejcikova – Linz 14-November-2020
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Sabalenka got to the quarter after beating Nina Stojanovic 6-4 6-74 6-0, Tamara Zidansek 6-3 6-1, Danielle Rose Collins 6-3 6-3 and Elise Mertens 6-4 6-1.
In the 4th round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Mertens (6-4 6-1). During the match, Sabalenka scored 60 points vs Mertens’s 41. Aryna was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka struck 2 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (22/29) of her 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Sabalenka broke Mertens 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 67% of her matches (227-114). 22-8 on hard in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a composed132-58 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in in Abu Dhabi where she defeated Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2 and in in Madrid where she beat Ashleigh Barty in the final 6-0 3-6 6-4.
Sabalenka has an overall 42-14 win-loss record in 2021, 22-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2018. See her history.
Barbora Krejcikova
Ranked no. 9 (career-high), Barbora got to the quarter after defeating Astra Sharma 6-0 6-4, Christina Mchale 6-3 6-1, Kamilla Rakhimova 6-4 6-2 and Garbine Muguruza 6-3 7-64.
In the 4th round, Krejcikova had a good straight sets win against Muguruza (6-3 7-64). During the match Krejcikova scored 81 points vs Muguruza’s 65. Krejcikova was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Krejcikova bagged 10 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Barbora Krejcikova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Krejcikova put 60% of her first serves in, winning 73% (38/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. Krejcikova broke Muguruza 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Krejcikova started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in in Strasbourg where she overcame Sorana Cirstea in the final 6-3 6-3 and in at the French Open where she overcame Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova in the final 6-1 2-6 6-4 and in in Prague where she defeated Tereza Martincova in the final 6-2 6-0.
The Czech has a compiled 43-12 win-loss record in 2021, 25-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2014. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Krejcikova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 80 | 72 |
| Pts | 306-216 | 263-187 |
| Total Points | 522 | 450 |
| Winners | 116 | 100 |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% |
Both Sabalenka and Krejcikova played 4 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka dropped 1 set while Barbora Krejcikova hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set more than Krejcikova (9 vs 8). Therefore, Sabalenka played 8 games more than Krejcikova. Aryna scored 116 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Barbora made 100 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Krejcikova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 5.8 | 5 |
| 1st in | 141/246 | 128/230 |
| %1st in | 57% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 116/141 | 100/128 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 51/105 | 54/102 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 53% |
Sabalenka made 23 aces (5.8 per match). Krejcikova recorded 20 aces (5 per match). Sabalenka won 82% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Krejcikova won 78% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Krejcikova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 17 |
| Converted | 18/31 | 17/37 |
| % Converted | 58% | 46% |
| Conceded | 17 | 15 |
| Saved | 13 | 10 |
| % Saved | 76% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 18 times with a 58% conversion rate. Sabalenka conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 76% of the break points that she conceded. Barbora broke her opponents 17 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||||
| R1 Stojanovic |
R2 Zidansek |
R3 Collins |
R4 Mertens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-74 6-0 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 80 | |
| pts | 109-84 | 60-32 | 77-59 | 60-41 | 306-216 | |
| Total points | 193 | 92 | 136 | 101 | 522 | |
| Winners | 44 | 23 | 27 | 22 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 35% | 37% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 13 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 13 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 28 | |
| 1st in | 51/94 | 27/40 | 34/55 | 29/57 | 141/246 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 68% | 62% | 51% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 44/51 | 23/27 | 27/34 | 22/29 | 116/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 85% | 79% | 76% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/43 | 10/13 | 12/21 | 15/28 | 51/105 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 77% | 57% | 54% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 4/5 | 3/10 | 4/5 | 18/31 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 80% | 30% | 80% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 3/4 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Krejcikova | ||||||
| R1 Sharma |
R2 Mchale |
R3 Rakhimova |
R4 Muguruza |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 72 | |
| pts | 63-34 | 61-43 | 58-45 | 81-65 | 263-187 | |
| Total points | 97 | 104 | 103 | 146 | 450 | |
| Winners | 23 | 16 | 23 | 38 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 26% | 40% | 47% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 25/42 | 22/46 | 29/56 | 52/86 | 128/230 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 48% | 52% | 60% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 23/25 | 16/22 | 23/29 | 38/52 | 100/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 73% | 79% | 73% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 12/24 | 16/27 | 15/34 | 54/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 50% | 59% | 44% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 6/13 | 3/3 | 4/9 | 17/37 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 46% | 100% | 44% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 5/8 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 100% | 63% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
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