Paula Badosa Gibert and Varvara Gracheva will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on Court 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa Gibert who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa Gibert is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 1.188
Varvara Gracheva -> 5
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Prediction and head to head Paula Badosa Gibert vs. Varvara Gracheva
This will be the 3rd time that Paula Badosa Gibert and Varvara Gracheva play each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Badosa won 3-6 7-5 6-1 in the 1st round in Charleston back in April 2021.
Paula Badosa Gibert
Ranked no. 26 (career-high), Badosa reached the 2nd round after defeating Alison Van Uytvanck 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, Badosa had a good straight sets win against Van Uytvanck (6-4 6-3). During the match, Badosa scored 75 points vs Van Uytvanck’s 55. Badosa was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Badosa fired 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 68% of her first serves in, winning 86% (31/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. Badosa broke Van Uytvanck 3 times after converting 27% of her break points (3/11).
Badosa has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 65% of her matches (271-146). 11-6 on hard in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Badosa has a compiled90-49 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in in Belgrade where she overcame Ana Konjuh in the final 6-2 2-0 ret..
Paula has an aggregate 34-13 win-loss record in 2021, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2019 and 2020. See her history.
Varvara Gracheva
Ranked no. 82 (career-high), the Russian got to the 2nd round after beating Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 5-7 6-0 6-2.
In the 1st round against Parrizas-Diaz, Gracheva recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-0 6-2). During the match Gracheva scored 107 points vs Parrizas-Diaz’s 88. Gracheva was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Gracheva bagged 5 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Varvara Gracheva lost the serve 5 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Gracheva put 64% of her first serves in, winning 66% (38/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (11/33) on the 2nd serve. Gracheva broke Parrizas-Diaz 9 times after converting 53% of her break points (9/17).
Gracheva’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Malo and Chicago.
The Russian has an overall 16-21 win-loss record in 2021, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Badosa | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 26 |
| Pts | 75-55 | 107-88 |
| Total Points | 130 | 195 |
| Winners | 31 | 38 |
| %Winners | 41% | 36% |
Both Badosa and Gracheva played 1 match. At the moment, Varvara Gracheva conceded 1 set while Paula Badosa Gibert hasn’t conceded a set so far. Badosa has played 1 set(s) less than Gracheva (2 vs 3). Therefore, Badosa played 7 games less than Gracheva. Paula scored 31 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Varvara made 38 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Badosa | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 5 |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 58/91 |
| %1st in | 68% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 31/36 | 38/58 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 11/33 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 33% |
Badosa fired 4 aces . Gracheva blasted 5 aces . Badosa won 86% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Gracheva won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 33% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Badosa | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 9 |
| Converted | 3/11 | 9/17 |
| % Converted | 27% | 53% |
| Conceded | 2 | 12 |
| Saved | 1 | 7 |
| % Saved | 50% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
The Spaniard broke her opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Paula conceded her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Gracheva broke her opponent 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded.
| Badosa | |||
| R1 Van Uytvanck |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 75-55 | 75-55 | |
| Total points | 130 | 130 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 36/53 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 31/36 | 31/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 8/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/11 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Gracheva | |||
| R1 Parrizas-Diaz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 107-88 | 107-88 | |
| Total points | 195 | 195 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 58/91 | 58/91 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 38/58 | 38/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/33 | 11/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 33% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 9 | 9 | |
| Converted | 9/17 | 9/17 | |
| Converted % | 53% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 7/12 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 58% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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