Pablo Carreno-Busta and Ilya Ivashka will square off in the quarter of the Winston-Salem for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.5
Ilya Ivashka -> 2.74
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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Ilya Ivashka
This will be the 3rd time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Ilya Ivashka square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Carreno-Busta won 6-2 6-3 7-6(7) in the 2nd round in at the Australian Open back in 2019.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Ranked no. 12, Carreno-Busta reached the quarter after beating Soon-Woo Kwon 6-3 3-6 6-4 and Dominik Koepfer 6-2 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Koepfer (6-2 6-3). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 64 points vs Koepfer’s 43. Pablo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Carreno-Busta recorded 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta was exceptionally effective on serve to win 82% (32/39) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Koepfer 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pablo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Carreno-Busta has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (372-208). 13-5 on hard in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Carreno-Busta has a composed 111-62 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Marbella where he overcame Jaume Antoni Munar Clar in the final 6-1 2-6 6-4 and in in Hamburg where he defeated Filip Krajinovic in the final 6-2 6-4.
The Spaniard has a composed 32-11 win-loss record in 2021, 13-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Winston-Salem
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2016. See his history.
Ilya Ivashka
Ranked no. 63 (career-high), Ilya got to the quarter after defeating Andreas Seppi 6-4 6-4, Marin Cilic 4-6 7-5 6-4 and Jan-Lennard Struff 6-2 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Ivashka had a good straight sets win against Struff (6-2 6-1). During the match Ivashka scored 60 points vs Struff’s 32. Ivashka was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
About the serving games, Ivashka fired 6 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Ilya Ivashka was quite effective on serve to win 88% (22/25) of his 1st serve and 77% (10/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ivashka broke Struff 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ilya started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Belarussian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Munich.
Ilya has a composed 32-16 win-loss record in 2021, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carreno-Busta | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 67 |
| Pts | 150-121 | 235-189 |
| Total Points | 271 | 424 |
| Winners | 62 | 96 |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% |
Carreno-Busta played 2 matches while Ivashka competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Pablo Carreno-Busta dropped 1 set, while Ilya Ivashka conceded 1 set. Carreno-Busta has played 2 set(s) less than Ivashka (5 vs 7). Therefore, Carreno-Busta played 22 games less than Ivashka. The Spaniard scored 62 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Ilya managed to score 96 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carreno-Busta | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 29 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 9.7 |
| 1st in | 83/137 | 117/199 |
| %1st in | 61% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 62/83 | 96/117 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 31/54 | 41/82 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 50% |
Carreno-Busta struck 11 aces (5.5 per match). Ivashka blasted 29 aces (9.7 per match). Carreno-Busta won 75% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Ivashka won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carreno-Busta | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 11 |
| Converted | 7/18 | 11/27 |
| % Converted | 39% | 41% |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 |
| Saved | 8 | 7 |
| % Saved | 73% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Carreno-Busta broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. The Belarussian broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. Ilya conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carreno-Busta | ||||
| R2 Kwon |
R3 Koepfer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 17 | 45 | |
| pts | 86-78 | 64-43 | 150-121 | |
| Total points | 164 | 107 | 271 | |
| Winners | 30 | 32 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 50% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 44/81 | 39/56 | 83/137 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 70% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 30/44 | 32/39 | 62/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 82% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/37 | 9/17 | 31/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 53% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 3/8 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 38% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 1/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 100% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Ivashka | |||||
| R1 Seppi |
R2 Cilic |
R3 Struff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 4-6 7-5 6-4 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 32 | 15 | 67 | |
| pts | 72-56 | 103-101 | 60-32 | 235-189 | |
| Total points | 128 | 204 | 92 | 424 | |
| Winners | 27 | 47 | 22 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 46% | 37% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 16 | 6 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 8 | 0 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 30/52 | 62/109 | 25/38 | 117/199 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 57% | 66% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 27/30 | 47/62 | 22/25 | 96/117 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 76% | 88% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 17/47 | 10/13 | 41/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 36% | 77% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 5/8 | 4/11 | 11/27 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 63% | 36% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 10 | 0 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 6/10 | 0/0 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 60% | – | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWWWLW
LLWWWLLWLW Tennis Scores in Salem Open
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Mikael YmerYmer – Max PurcellPurcell (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Benoit PairePaire (6-4 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Daniel EvansEvans (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (7-5 7-62) – See score progression
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-3 0-6 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mikael YmerYmer – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-1) – H2H and prediction
