Marta Kostyuk and Varvara Gracheva will fight against each other in the quarter of the WTA Chicago Women’s Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:00 pm on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marta Kostyuk who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marta Kostyuk is the pick to win this match.
Marta Kostyuk -> 1.41
Varvara Gracheva -> 3.1
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Prediction and head to head Marta Kostyuk vs. Varvara Gracheva
This will be the 5th time that Marta Kostyuk and Varvara Gracheva fight against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Kostyuk (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Kostyuk won 6-1 6-2 in the 3rd round in at the French Open back in June 2021.
Highlights Marta Kostyuk vs Varvara Gracheva – French Open 05-June-2021
Marta Kostyuk
Ranked no. 56 (career-high), the Ukrainian got to the quarter after defeating Katherine Sebov 6-0 6-3 and Kaia Kanepi 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Kanepi (6-2 6-3). During the match, Kostyuk scored 68 points vs Kanepi’s 55. The Ukrainian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kostyuk bagged 4 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve once and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 54% of her first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Kanepi 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Ukrainian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Kostyuk has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 68% of her matches (126-60). 7-4 on hard in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kostyuk has a composed50-22 match record in the last 6 years on hard.
The Ukrainian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Abu Dhabi and Istanbul.
The Ukrainian has an aggregate 21-11 win-loss record in 2021, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Chicago
Marta has never competed in this tournament before.
Varvara Gracheva
Ranked no. 88, the Russian reached the quarter after beating Tamara Zidansek 6-3 1-6 6-2 and Ana Bogdan 7-5 3-1 ret..
In the 2nd round, Varvara had a good straight sets win against Bogdan (7-5 3-1 ret.). During the match Gracheva scored 56 points vs Bogdan’s 46. Varvara was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Gracheva scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Varvara Gracheva lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Gracheva put 57% of her first serves in, winning 66% (21/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the 2nd serve. Gracheva was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Bogdan 3 times.
Gracheva’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Malo.
Gracheva has an overall 14-20 win-loss record in 2021, 7-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kostyuk | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 40 |
| Pts | 135-98 | 130-114 |
| Total Points | 233 | 244 |
| Winners | 48 | 50 |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% |
Both Kostyuk and Gracheva played 2 matches. At the moment, Varvara Gracheva surrendered 1 set while Marta Kostyuk hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kostyuk has played 2 set(s) less than Gracheva (4 vs 6). Therefore, Kostyuk played 8 games less than Gracheva. Kostyuk scored 48 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Varvara scored 50 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kostyuk | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 71/123 | 77/126 |
| %1st in | 58% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 48/71 | 50/77 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 29/52 | 29/49 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 59% |
Kostyuk bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Gracheva recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Kostyuk won 68% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Gracheva won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kostyuk | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 7 |
| Converted | 9/21 | 7/9 |
| % Converted | 43% | 78% |
| Conceded | 15 | 7 |
| Saved | 13 | 3 |
| % Saved | 87% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Kostyuk broke her opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Marta dropped her serve twice and she saved 87% of the break points that she conceded. Gracheva broke her opponents 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. Varvara conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kostyuk | ||||
| R1 Sebov |
R2 Kanepi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 32 | |
| pts | 67-43 | 68-55 | 135-98 | |
| Total points | 110 | 123 | 233 | |
| Winners | 23 | 25 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 37% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 36/67 | 71/123 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 54% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 25/36 | 48/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 69% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 16/31 | 29/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 52% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/9 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 44% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 | 15 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 8/9 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 89% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Gracheva | ||||
| R1 Zidansek |
R2 Bogdan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 1-6 6-2 | 7-5 3-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 16 | 40 | |
| pts | 74-68 | 56-46 | 130-114 | |
| Total points | 142 | 102 | 244 | |
| Winners | 29 | 21 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 45/70 | 32/56 | 77/126 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 57% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 29/45 | 21/32 | 50/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 66% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 15/24 | 29/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 63% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/3 | 7/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 100% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 1/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 50% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLWW
LWLLLWWWLL Tennis Scores in Chicago
- Christopher HeymanHeyman – Jelle SelsSels (6-2 5-7 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – Oscar OtteOtte (7-64 5-7 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Kristina MladenovicMladenovic (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tereza MartincovaMartincova – Rebecca PetersonPeterson (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Alize CornetCornet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
