Novak Djokovic and Matteo Berrettini will fight against each other in the final of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.25
Matteo Berrettini -> 4.9
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 3rd time that Novak Djokovic and Matteo Berrettini fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they played, Djokovic won 6-3 6-2 6-7(5) 7-5 in the quarter in at the French Open back in June 2021.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Matteo Berrettini – French Open 09-June-2021
Novak Djokovic
Currently world no. 1 the Serbian reached the final after beating Jack Draper 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-2, Kevin Anderson 6-3 6-3 6-3, Denis Kudla 6-4 6-3 7-67, Cristian Garin 6-2 6-4 6-2, Marton Fucsovics 6-3 6-4 6-4 and Denis Shapovalov 7-63 7-5 7-5.
In the semifinal, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against Shapovalov (7-63 7-5 7-5). During the match, Djokovic scored 116 points vs Shapovalov’s 104. Novak was pretty aggressive to blast 55 winners.
Talking about the service games, Djokovic blasted 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (55/68) of his 1st serve and 57% (25/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Serbian broke Shapovalov 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Djokovic started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Djokovic has a tremendous match record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (573-84). 6-0 on grass in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Djokovic has a composed 63-7 record in the last years on grass.
His best result of the season was winning the title in at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-5 6-2 6-2 and in in Belgrade where he overcame Alex Molcan in the final 6-4 6-3 and in at the French Open where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-7(6) 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-4.
Djokovic has an overall 33-3 win-loss record in 2021, 6-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, he won this tournament 5 times in 2011, 2014, 2015, 2018 and 2019. See his history.
Matteo Berrettini
Ranked no. 9, Berrettini got to the final after defeating Guido Pella 6-4 3-6 6-4 6-0, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-4 7-64, Aljaz Bedene 6-4 6-4 6-4, Ilya Ivashka 6-4 6-3 6-1, Felix Auger Aliassime 6-3 5-7 7-5 6-3 and Hubert Hurkacz 6-3 6-0 6-73 6-4.
In the semifinal, Berrettini had a good straight sets win against Hurkacz (6-3 6-0 6-73 6-4). During the match Berrettini scored 127 points vs Hurkacz’s 97. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 56 winners.
About the serving games, Berrettini buried his opponent with 22 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Matteo Berrettini was quite effective on serve to win 86% (56/65) of his 1st serve and 61% (23/38) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Hurkacz 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Berrettini started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Belgrade where he overcame Aslan Karatsev in the final 6-1 3-6 7-6(0) and in in London where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3.
Matteo has a compiled 32-6 win-loss record in 2021, 11-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 19 | 21 |
| Tot Games | 184 | 203 |
| Pts | 626-464 | 665-531 |
| Total Points | 1090 | 1196 |
| Winners | 279 | 285 |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% |
Both Djokovic and Berrettini played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic lost 1 set, while Matteo Berrettini surrendered 3 sets. Djokovic has played 2 set(s) less than Berrettini (19 vs 21). Therefore, Djokovic played 19 games less than Berrettini. Djokovic scored 279 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 285 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 63 | 101 |
| Avg per match | 10.5 | 16.8 |
| 1st in | 327/517 | 349/579 |
| %1st in | 63% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 279/327 | 285/349 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 108/190 | 141/230 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 61% |
Djokovic recorded 63 aces (10.5 per match). Berrettini fired 101 aces (16.8 per match). Djokovic won 85% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 26 | 28 |
| Converted | 26/69 | 28/60 |
| % Converted | 38% | 47% |
| Conceded | 26 | 27 |
| Saved | 21 | 22 |
| % Saved | 81% | 81% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 |
Djokovic broke his opponents 26 times with a 38% conversion rate. Djokovic dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. Berrettini broke his opponents 28 times with a 47% conversion rate. Berrettini conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | ||||||||
| R1 Draper |
R2 Anderson |
R3 Kudla |
R4 Garin |
1/4 Fucsovics |
1/2 Shapovalov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 7-67 | 6-2 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 6-4 | 7-63 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 27 | 32 | 26 | 29 | 37 | 184 | |
| pts | 113-74 | 91-58 | 103-85 | 95-57 | 108-86 | 116-104 | 626-464 | |
| Total points | 187 | 149 | 188 | 152 | 194 | 220 | 1090 | |
| Winners | 55 | 39 | 44 | 36 | 50 | 55 | 279 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 43% | 43% | 38% | 46% | 47% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 25 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 63 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 63/81 | 46/72 | 50/92 | 39/67 | 61/93 | 68/112 | 327/517 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 64% | 54% | 58% | 66% | 61% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 55/63 | 39/46 | 44/50 | 36/39 | 50/61 | 55/68 | 279/327 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 85% | 88% | 92% | 82% | 81% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 18/26 | 21/42 | 18/28 | 14/32 | 25/44 | 108/190 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 69% | 50% | 64% | 44% | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 26 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 4/8 | 4/10 | 5/12 | 4/14 | 3/10 | 26/69 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 50% | 40% | 42% | 29% | 30% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 26 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 5/6 | 10/11 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 50% | 100% | 83% | 91% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Berrettini | ||||||||
| R1 Pella |
R2 Van De Zandschulp |
R3 Bedene |
R4 Ivashka |
1/4 Auger-Aliassime |
1/2 Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-4 7-64 | 6-4 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 5-7 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 6-0 6-73 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 21 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 32 | 30 | 26 | 42 | 38 | 203 | |
| pts | 112-88 | 109-94 | 93-72 | 93-65 | 131-115 | 127-97 | 665-531 | |
| Total points | 200 | 203 | 165 | 158 | 246 | 224 | 1196 | |
| Winners | 45 | 44 | 40 | 32 | 68 | 56 | 285 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | 43% | 34% | 52% | 44% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 20 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 101 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 54/88 | 53/104 | 49/76 | 38/72 | 90/136 | 65/103 | 349/579 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 51% | 64% | 53% | 66% | 63% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 45/54 | 44/53 | 40/49 | 32/38 | 68/90 | 56/65 | 285/349 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | 82% | 84% | 76% | 86% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/34 | 32/51 | 22/27 | 20/34 | 23/46 | 23/38 | 141/230 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 63% | 81% | 59% | 50% | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 28 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 2/7 | 3/9 | 6/12 | 6/14 | 6/10 | 28/60 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 29% | 33% | 50% | 43% | 60% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 27 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 9/9 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 9/12 | 2/2 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 75% | 100% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
