Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Pliskova will face off in the semifinal of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.67
Karolina Pliskova -> 2.375
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Karolina Pliskova
This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Pliskova face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sabalenka won 2-6 6-3 7-5 in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2018.
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Sabalenka got to the semifinal after defeating Monica Niculescu 6-1 6-4, Katie Boulter 4-6 6-3 6-3, Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-0 6-3, Elena Rybakina 6-3 4-6 6-3 and Ons Jabeur 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (6-4 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 72 points vs Jabeur’s 61. Sabalenka was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve once and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 60% of her first serves in, winning 83% (34/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (11/27) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Jabeur 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has surrendered 2 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 67% of her matches (219-110). 7-2 on grass in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a compiled23-13 record in the last 6 years on grass.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Abu Dhabi where she defeated Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2 and in in Madrid where she beat Ashleigh Barty in the final 6-0 3-6 6-4.
Aryna has an aggregate 34-10 win-loss record in 2021, 7-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017. See her history.
Karolina Pliskova
Ranked no. 13, Pliskova reached the semifinal after beating Tamara Zidansek 7-5 6-4, Donna Vekic 6-2 6-2, Tereza Martincova 6-3 6-3, Liudmila Samsonova 6-2 6-3 and Viktorija Golubic 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter, Pliskova had a good straight sets win against Golubic (6-2 6-2). During the match Pliskova scored 71 points vs Golubic’s 45. Pliskova was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Pliskova managed to score 8 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Karolina Pliskova was extremely efficient on serve to win 83% (30/36) of her 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Czech broke Golubic 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karolina started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Karolina’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Rome.
The Czech has a compiled 20-12 win-loss record in 2021, 5-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 107 | 89 |
| Pts | 399-320 | 352-254 |
| Total Points | 719 | 606 |
| Winners | 143 | 161 |
| %Winners | 36% | 46% |
Both Sabalenka and Pliskova played 5 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka conceded 2 sets while Karolina Pliskova hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sabalenka has played 2 sets more than Pliskova (12 vs 10). Therefore, Sabalenka played 18 games more than Pliskova. Aryna scored 143 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech struck 161 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 34 | 40 |
| Avg per match | 6.8 | 8 |
| 1st in | 210/363 | 198/302 |
| %1st in | 58% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 143/210 | 161/198 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 82/153 | 49/104 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 47% |
Sabalenka fired 34 aces (6.8 per match). Pliskova managed to score 40 aces (8 per match). Sabalenka won 68% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Pliskova won 81% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 24 | 19 |
| Converted | 24/47 | 19/42 |
| % Converted | 51% | 45% |
| Conceded | 38 | 21 |
| Saved | 27 | 18 |
| % Saved | 71% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 3 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 24 times with a 51% conversion rate. The Belarussian lost her serve 11 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponents 19 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||||
| R1 Niculescu |
R2 Boulter |
R3 Camila Osorio Serrano |
R4 Rybakina |
1/4 Jabeur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-0 6-3 | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 28 | 15 | 28 | 19 | 107 | |
| pts | 70-45 | 96-84 | 67-49 | 94-81 | 72-61 | 399-320 | |
| Total points | 115 | 180 | 116 | 175 | 133 | 719 | |
| Winners | 21 | 36 | 16 | 36 | 34 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 38% | 24% | 38% | 47% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 6 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 34 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | |
| 1st in | 31/56 | 54/88 | 30/63 | 54/88 | 41/68 | 210/363 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 61% | 48% | 61% | 60% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 21/31 | 36/54 | 16/30 | 36/54 | 34/41 | 143/210 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 67% | 53% | 67% | 83% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 19/34 | 19/33 | 18/34 | 11/27 | 82/153 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 56% | 58% | 53% | 41% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/6 | 6/9 | 5/11 | 3/10 | 24/47 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 83% | 67% | 45% | 30% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 38 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 9/12 | 8/10 | 3/6 | 6/7 | 27 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 75% | 80% | 50% | 86% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | |
| Pliskova | |||||||
| R1 Zidansek |
R2 Vekic |
R3 Martincova |
R4 Samsonova |
1/4 Golubic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 89 | |
| pts | 70-56 | 65-41 | 80-64 | 66-48 | 71-45 | 352-254 | |
| Total points | 126 | 106 | 144 | 114 | 116 | 606 | |
| Winners | 37 | 26 | 39 | 29 | 30 | 161 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 40% | 49% | 44% | 42% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 10 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 40 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | |
| 1st in | 45/66 | 28/46 | 54/77 | 35/61 | 36/52 | 198/302 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 61% | 70% | 57% | 69% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 37/45 | 26/28 | 39/54 | 29/35 | 30/36 | 161/198 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 93% | 72% | 83% | 83% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 9/18 | 9/23 | 11/26 | 9/16 | 49/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 50% | 39% | 42% | 56% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 4/11 | 4/12 | 4/6 | 4/10 | 19/42 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 36% | 33% | 67% | 40% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 21 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 0/0 | 7/8 | 4/5 | 3/3 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 80% | – | 88% | 80% | 100% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWWW
LWLWLWLLLL Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Angelique KerberKerber – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Angelique KerberKerber (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
