H2H, PREDICTION Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal | French Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Paris. Djokovic and Nadal will clash against each other in the semifinal of the French Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Rafael Nadal

Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal will clash against each other in the semifinal of the French Open for the 58th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:30 pm on Court Philippe CHATRIER. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 4 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.47
Novak Djokovic -> 2.94

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

See Updated Draw
Offer Betwinner Tonic

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Rafael Nadal

This will be the 58th time that Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal fight against each other. The head to head is 29-28 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but Nadal has a winning record of 19-7 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Nadal won 7-5 1-6 6-3 in the final in Rome back in May 2021.

Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Novak Djokovic – Rome 16-May-2021

Novak Djokovic

Currently world no. 1 Djokovic got to the semifinal after defeating Tennys Sandgren 6-2 6-4 6-2, Pablo Cuevas 6-3 6-2 6-4, Richard Berankis 6-1 6-4 6-1, Lorenzo Musetti 6-77 6-72 6-1 6-0 4-0 ret. and Matteo Berrettini 6-3 6-2 6-75 7-5.

In the quarter, Djokovic had a good straight sets win against Berrettini (6-3 6-2 6-75 7-5). During the match, Djokovic scored 153 points vs Berrettini’s 123. Djokovic was pretty aggressive to blast 71 winners.

Regarding the service games, Djokovic recorded 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Novak Djokovic was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 77% (71/92) of his 1st serve and 65% (26/40) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Serbian broke Berrettini 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Novak started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Djokovic has a remarkable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (565-84). 16-3 on clay in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Djokovic has a composed 142-28 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-5 6-2 6-2 and in in Belgrade where he defeated Alex Molcan in the final 6-4 6-3.

Djokovic has an overall 25-3 win-loss record in 2021, 16-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2016. See his history.

Djokovic
French Open
Djokovic's Record

Rafael Nadal

Ranked no. 3, Rafael reached the semifinal after defeating Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-2 7-63, Richard Gasquet 6-0 7-5 6-2, Cameron Norrie 6-3 6-3 6-3, Jannik Sinner 7-5 6-3 6-0 and Diego Sebastian Schwartzman 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-0.

In the quarter, Rafael defeated Schwartzman (6-3 4-6 6-4 6-0). During the match Nadal scored 108 points vs Schwartzman’s 77. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about serving, Nadal blasted 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Rafael Nadal was very efficient on serve to win 73% (44/60) of his 1st serve and 68% (21/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Spaniard broke Schwartzman 7 times after converting 50% of his break points (7/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nadal started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title in in Barcelona where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 6-7(6) 7-5 and in in Rome where he beat Novak Djokovic in the final 7-5 1-6 6-3.

Rafael has an overall 23-3 win-loss record in 2021, 19-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, he won this tournament 13 times in 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020. See his history.

Nadal
French Open
Nadal's Record
Offer Betwinner Tonic

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

N.Djokovic
R.Nadal
12h:31
12h:31
Time on court​
11h:46
11h:46
!
3h:28
3h:28
Last match​
!
2h:45
2h:45
5
5
Match played
5
5
162
162
Games Played​
145
145
19
19
Set played​​
16
16
587
587
Total points​
497
497
117.4
117.4
Avg point​
99.4
99.4
268
268
Winners
206
206
53.6
53.6
Avg Winners​
41.2
41.2
46%
46%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
40
40
Aces
23
23
8
8
Avg Aces
4.6
4.6
11
11
Double Faults
20
20
2.2
2.2
Avg Double Faults
4
4
268/340
268/340
1st won total​
206/259
206/259
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
90/158
90/158
2nd won total​
86/161
86/161
57%
57%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
29/46
29/46
BP won
33/67
33/67
5.8/9.2
5.8/9.2
Avg BP won
6.6/13.4
6.6/13.4
!
63%
63%
Won
49%
49%
22
22
Conceded
22
22
4.4
4.4
Avg Conceded
4.4
4.4
3
3
Broken
11
11
!
0.6
0.6
Avg Broken
2.2
2.2
19
19
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Djokovic Nadal
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 19 16
Tot Games 162 145
Pts 587-419 497-354
Total Points 1006 851
Winners 268 206
%Winners 46% 41%

Both Djokovic and Nadal played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic conceded 3 sets, while Rafael Nadal lost 1 set. Djokovic has played 3 sets more than Nadal (19 vs 16). Therefore, Djokovic played 17 games more than Nadal. The Serbian scored 268 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Nadal bagged 206 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Djokovic Nadal
Aces 40 23
Avg per match 8 4.6
1st in 340/498 259/420
%1st in 68% 62%
1st pts 268/340 206/259
%1st pts 79% 80%
2nd pts 90/158 86/161
%2nd pts 57% 53%

Djokovic recorded 40 aces (8 per match). Nadal scored 23 aces (4.6 per match). Djokovic won 79% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Nadal won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Djokovic Nadal
Won 29 33
Converted 29/46 33/67
% Converted 63% 49%
Conceded 22 22
Saved 19 11
% Saved 86% 50%
Times Broken 3 11

Djokovic broke his opponents 29 times with a 63% conversion rate. Djokovic dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Rafael broke his opponents 33 times with a 49% conversion rate. Rafael conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
R1
Sandgren
R2
Cuevas
R3
Berankis
R4
Musetti
1/4
Berrettini
Total
Score 6-2 6-4 6-2 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-1 6-4 6-1 6-77 6-72 6-1 6-0 4-0 ret. 6-3 6-2 6-75 7-5
Tot Set 3 3 3 5 4 18
Tot Games 26 27 24 43 42 162
pts 99-68 98-70 87-55 150-103 153-123 587-419
Total points 167 168 142 253 276 1006
Winners 42 48 37 70 71 268
%Winners 42% 49% 43% 47% 46% 46%
SERVE
Aces 4 10 5 11 10 40
Double Faults 2 3 3 2 1 11
1st in 49/73 64/94 42/67 93/132 92/132 340/498
% 1st in 67% 68% 63% 70% 70% 68%
1st pts 42/49 48/64 37/42 70/93 71/92 268/340
% 1st pts 86% 75% 88% 75% 77% 79%
2nd pts 13/24 17/30 13/25 21/39 26/40 90/158
% 2nd pts 54% 57% 52% 54% 65% 57%
Breaks
Won 5 5 6 9 4 29
Converted 5/11 5/8 6/9 9/9 4/9 29/46
Converted % 45% 63% 67% 100% 44% 63%
Conceded 6 9 0 4 3 22
Saved 6/6 8/9 0/0 2/4 3/3 19
Saved % 100% 89% 50% 100% 68%
Times Broken 0 1 0 2 0 3
Nadal
R1
Popyrin
R2
Gasquet
R3
Norrie
R4
Sinner
1/4
Schwartzman
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 7-63 6-0 7-5 6-2 6-3 6-3 6-3 7-5 6-3 6-0 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 4 16
Tot Games 30 26 27 27 35 145
pts 99-83 99-69 92-65 99-60 108-77 497-354
Total points 182 168 157 159 185 851
Winners 48 38 37 39 44 206
%Winners 48% 38% 40% 39% 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 7 3 3 4 6 23
Double Faults 5 3 2 7 3 20
1st in 59/93 45/77 47/76 48/83 60/91 259/420
% 1st in 63% 58% 62% 58% 66% 62%
1st pts 48/59 38/45 37/47 39/48 44/60 206/259
% 1st pts 81% 84% 79% 81% 73% 80%
2nd pts 19/34 15/32 16/29 15/35 21/31 86/161
% 2nd pts 56% 47% 55% 43% 68% 53%
Breaks
Won 4 7 6 9 7 33
Converted 4/11 7/16 6/12 9/14 7/14 33/67
Converted % 36% 44% 50% 64% 50% 49%
Conceded 4 4 3 7 4 22
Saved 3/4 3/4 1/3 3/7 1/4 11
Saved % 75% 75% 33% 43% 25% 50%
Times Broken 1 1 2 4 3 11

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Djokovic
WWWLWWWWWW
Nadal
LWLWWWWLLW
2024 2023 2022
33 - 8
12 - 7
12-4
Hard
2-1
16-3
Clay
10-6
5-1
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores at the French Open

  • Rafael NadalNadalDiego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-3 4-6 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
  • Novak DjokovicDjokovicMatteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-3 6-2 6-75 7-5) – See score progression
  • Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipasDaniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-3 7-63 7-5) – See score progression
  • Alexander ZverevZverevAlejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-4 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
  • Alexander Bublik/Andrey GolubevBublik/Andrey GolubevHugo Nys/Tim PuetzNys/Tim Puetz (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
See Updated Draw
Offer Betwinner Tonic

Upcoming matches in the draw