Maria Sakkari and Cori Gauff will play each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:30 pm on GRAND STAND ARENA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.67
Cori Gauff -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Cori Gauff
This will be the 5th time that Maria Sakkari and Cori Gauff square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), but Gauff has a winning record of 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Sakkari won 6-3 6-3 in the quarter in Doha back in February 2022.
Highlights Maria Sakkari vs Cori Gauff – Doha 24-February-2022
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-14 | 12-6 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-11 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Maria reached the 3rd round after beating Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Alexandrova (6-3 6-2). During the match, Sakkari scored 60 points vs Alexandrova’s 44. Maria was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sakkari recorded 6 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 60% of her first serves in, winning 77% (27/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. The Greek broke Alexandrova 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Sakkari has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of her matches (348-215). 2-2 on clay in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sakkari has an overall145-79 record in the last 9 years on clay.
Maria’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in St. Petersburg and Indian Wells.
Maria has an aggregate 18-8 win-loss record in 2022, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Cori Gauff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-11 | 18-5 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-8 | 7-5 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15 (career-high), Cori got to the 3rd round after defeating Angelique Kerber 6-1 6-4 and Madison Brengle 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Brengle (6-2 6-4). During the match Gauff scored 66 points vs Brengle’s 50. Cori was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Gauff scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 57% of her first serves in, winning 63% (20/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (9/24) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Brengle 7 times after converting 54% of her break points (7/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Gauff’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
The American has an overall 14-9 win-loss record in 2022, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 35 |
| Pts | 60-44 | 131-99 |
| Total Points | 104 | 230 |
| Winners | 27 | 44 |
| %Winners | 45% | 34% |
Sakkari played 1 match while Gauff competed in 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Sakkari has played 2 set(s) less than Gauff (2 vs 4). Therefore, Sakkari played 18 games less than Gauff. Sakkari scored 27 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The American struck 44 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 2 |
| 1st in | 35/58 | 63/115 |
| %1st in | 60% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 44/63 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 10/23 | 21/52 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 40% |
Sakkari managed to score 6 aces . Gauff bagged 4 aces (2 per match). Sakkari won 77% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Gauff won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 40% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 12 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 12/24 |
| % Converted | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 |
| Saved | 1 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
Sakkari broke her opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Sakkari dropped her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Gauff broke her opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. Gauff conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sakkari | |||
| R2 Alexandrova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 60-44 | 60-44 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 35/58 | 35/58 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | 27/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/23 | 10/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Gauff | ||||
| R1 Kerber |
R2 Brengle |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 35 | |
| pts | 65-49 | 66-50 | 131-99 | |
| Total points | 114 | 116 | 230 | |
| Winners | 24 | 20 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 30% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 31/59 | 32/56 | 63/115 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 57% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 20/32 | 44/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 63% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/28 | 9/24 | 21/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 38% | 40% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 7/13 | 12/24 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 54% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLLLWWL
LWWWLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (4-6 6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (w/o) – See score progression
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Belinda BencicBencic (7-65 6-1) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Lauren DavisDavis (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shuai ZhangZhang (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Madison BrengleBrengle (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Simona HalepHalep (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (3-6 7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Gerald MelzerMelzer – Santiago GiraldoGiraldo (6-3 7-61) – See score progression
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Pablo CuevasCuevas (6-3 2-6 7-63) – See score progression
- Joao SousaSousa – Paolo LorenziLorenzi (6-75 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Miljan ZekicZekic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Philipp KohlschreiberKohlschreiber – Jiri VeselyVesely (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Gilles SimonSimon (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Thomaz BellucciBellucci – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Renzo OlivoOlivo – Horacio ZeballosZeballos (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Simona HalepHalep (7-6(1) 6-3) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Petra MarticMartic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-1) – H2H and prediction
