Nikoloz Basilashvili and Jan-Lennard Struff will square off in the final of the BMW Open for the 7th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nikoloz Basilashvili who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nikoloz Basilashvili is the pick to win this match.
Nikoloz Basilashvili -> 1.77
Jan-Lennard Struff -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Jan-Lennard Struff
This will be the 7th time that Nikoloz Basilashvili and Jan-Lennard Struff play each other. The head to head is 3-3 (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Basilashvili won 7-5 4-6 6-3 in the quarter in Cagliari back in April 2021.
Highlights Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Jan-Lennard Struff – Cagliari 09-April-2021
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Ranked no. 35, Basilashvili got to the final after beating Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-2 6-3, Daniel Elahi Galan 6-4 6-2, Norbert Gombos 6-4 6-4 and Casper Ruud 6-1 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Georgean had a good straight sets win against Ruud (6-1 6-2). During the match Basilashvili scored 59 points vs Ruud’s 39. Nikoloz was extremely aggressive to blast 15 winners.
Regarding the service games, Basilashvili struck 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nikoloz Basilashvili was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (15/20) of his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Georgean broke Ruud 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nikoloz started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Basilashvili has a winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (313-243). 6-3 on clay in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Basilashvili has a 123-83 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Doha where he beat Roberto Bautista Agut in the final 7-6(5) 6-2.
Nikoloz has a 13-10 win-loss record in 2021, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Munich
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2014. See his history.
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranked no. 44, Struff reached the final after beating Andrej Martin 6-4 6-3, Dominik Koepfer 7-63 6-70 6-2, Filip Krajinovic 6-4 4-6 7-63 and Ilya Ivashka 6-4 6-1.
In the semifinal, The German had a good straight sets win against Ivashka (6-4 6-1). During the match Struff scored 70 points vs Ivashka’s 52. Jan-Lennard was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Struff made 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jan-Lennard Struff lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Struff put 58% of his first serves in, winning 79% (26/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Jan-Lennard broke Ivashka 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jan-Lennard started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Struff’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Munich.
The German has a 11-9 win-loss record in 2021, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Basilashvili | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 70 | 103 |
| Pts | 258-193 | 381-331 |
| Total Points | 451 | 712 |
| Winners | 85 | 133 |
| %Winners | 33% | 35% |
Both Basilashvili and Struff played 4 matches. At the moment, Jan-Lennard Struff surrendered 2 sets while Nikoloz Basilashvili hasn’t conceded a set so far. Basilashvili has played 2 set(s) less than Struff (8 vs 10). Therefore, Basilashvili played 33 games less than Struff. Basilashvili scored 85 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The German scored 133 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Basilashvili | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 41 |
| Avg per match | 1.8 | 10.3 |
| 1st in | 110/208 | 169/327 |
| %1st in | 53% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 85/110 | 133/169 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 59/98 | 78/158 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 49% |
Basilashvili managed to score 7 aces (1.8 per match). Struff struck 41 aces (10.3 per match). Basilashvili won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Struff won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Basilashvili | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 16 |
| Converted | 16/30 | 16/35 |
| % Converted | 53% | 46% |
| Conceded | 10 | 26 |
| Saved | 7 | 18 |
| % Saved | 70% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 |
The Georgean broke his opponents 16 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Georgean lost his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Struff broke his opponents 16 times with a 46% conversion rate. Struff conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Basilashvili | ||||||
| R1 Moura Monteiro |
R2 Elahi Galan Riveros |
1/4 Gombos |
1/2 Ruud |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 20 | 15 | 70 | |
| pts | 60-44 | 63-51 | 76-59 | 59-39 | 258-193 | |
| Total points | 104 | 114 | 135 | 98 | 451 | |
| Winners | 21 | 22 | 27 | 15 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | 36% | 25% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 29/51 | 30/55 | 31/57 | 20/45 | 110/208 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 55% | 54% | 44% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 22/30 | 27/31 | 15/20 | 85/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 73% | 87% | 75% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/22 | 15/25 | 17/26 | 16/25 | 59/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 60% | 65% | 64% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/7 | 2/7 | 5/9 | 16/30 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 57% | 29% | 56% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 5/6 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 83% | 100% | 100% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Struff | ||||||
| R1 Martin |
R2 Koepfer |
1/4 Krajinovic |
1/2 Ivashka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-63 6-70 6-2 | 6-4 4-6 7-63 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 34 | 33 | 17 | 103 | |
| pts | 59-50 | 121-109 | 131-120 | 70-52 | 381-331 | |
| Total points | 109 | 230 | 251 | 122 | 712 | |
| Winners | 21 | 46 | 40 | 26 | 133 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% | 31% | 37% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 41 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 22 | |
| 1st in | 26/55 | 58/105 | 52/110 | 33/57 | 169/327 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 55% | 47% | 58% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 46/58 | 40/52 | 26/33 | 133/169 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 79% | 77% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 26/47 | 25/58 | 11/24 | 78/158 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | 43% | 46% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/6 | 5/16 | 5/9 | 16/35 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 50% | 31% | 56% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 26 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/5 | 8/13 | 5/6 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 80% | 62% | 83% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (3-3) – H2H and prediction
