Sebastian Baez and Camilo Ugo Carabelli will square off in the quarter of the Santiago Challenger for the 5th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on CANCHA 2. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.33
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli
This will be the 5th time that Sebastian Baez and Camilo Ugo Carabelli square off. The head to head is 2-2 for Baez and Ugo (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Baez won 6-1 6-7(2) 6-3 in the quarter in M25 Jablonec Nad Nisou back in 2020.
Sebastian Baez
Ranked no. 253 (career high), Baez got to the quarter after beating Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 6-2 6-4 and Gonzalo Villanueva 7-5 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Villanueva (7-5 6-2). During the match Baez scored 65 points vs Villanueva’s 47. The Argentine was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Baez was unable to score even 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Baez put 76% of his first serves in, winning 64% (27/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (6/13) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Villanueva 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Baez has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 68% of his matches (117-55). 11-2 on clay in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Baez has a 101-45 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
Sebastian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Concepcion Challenger.
The Argentine has a 11-2 win-loss record in 2021, 11-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santiago Challenger
Sebastian has never competed in this tournament before.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranked no. 353, Camilo reached the quarter after defeating Martin Cuevas 6-4 6-0 and Daniel Altmaier 6-4 3-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Camilo defeated Altmaier (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match Ugo scored 82 points vs Altmaier’s 73. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Ugo wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Camilo Ugo Carabelli was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 84% (41/49) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Argentine broke Altmaier twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Camilo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Camilo has a 4-3 win-loss record in 2021, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 44 |
| Pts | 145-114 | 148-119 |
| Total Points | 259 | 267 |
| Winners | 64 | 68 |
| %Winners | 44% | 46% |
Both Baez and Ugo played 2 matches. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost 1 set while Sebastian Baez hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Baez has played 1 set(s) less than Ugo (4 vs 5). Therefore, Baez played 6 games less than Ugo. Baez scored 64 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Camilo blasted 68 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 102/133 | 86/129 |
| %1st in | 77% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 64/102 | 68/86 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 14/31 | 25/43 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 58% |
Baez scored 1 ace (0.5 per match). Ugo also struck 1 ace (0.5 per match). Baez won 63% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Ugo won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 6 |
| Converted | 11/25 | 6/13 |
| % Converted | 44% | 46% |
| Conceded | 17 | 6 |
| Saved | 12 | 5 |
| % Saved | 71% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
Baez broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Camilo broke his opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Ugo conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Baez | ||||
| R1 Vitus Nodskov Rune |
R2 Villanueva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 38 | |
| pts | 80-67 | 65-47 | 145-114 | |
| Total points | 147 | 112 | 259 | |
| Winners | 37 | 27 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 60/78 | 42/55 | 102/133 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 76% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 37/60 | 27/42 | 64/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 64% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 6/13 | 14/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 46% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 6/11 | 11/25 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 55% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 3 | 17 | |
| Saved | 12/14 | 0/3 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 0% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Ugo | ||||
| R1 Cuevas |
R2 Altmaier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 28 | 44 | |
| pts | 66-46 | 82-73 | 148-119 | |
| Total points | 112 | 155 | 267 | |
| Winners | 27 | 41 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 50% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/57 | 49/72 | 86/129 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 68% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 41/49 | 68/86 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 84% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 14/23 | 25/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 61% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 2/6 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 33% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 1/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWLLW
LWWWWWWWWL Upcoming matches in the draw
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