Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev will clash against each other in the final of the Australian Open for the 8th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4.30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.83
Daniil Medvedev -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Daniil Medvedev
This will be the 8th time that Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev face off. The head to head is 4-3 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 6-3 6-3 in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2020.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Novak Djokovic – Nitto atp finals 18-November-2020
Novak Djokovic
Currently world no. 1 Djokovic got to the Final after defeating Jeremy Chardy 6-3 6-1 6-2, Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-73 7-62 6-3, Taylor Harry Fritz 7-61 6-4 3-6 4-6 6-2, Milos Raonic 7-64 4-6 6-1 6-4, Alexander Zverev 6-76 6-2 6-4 7-66 and Aslan Karatsev 6-3 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, Novak had a good straight-sets win against Karatsev (6-3 6-4 6-2). During the match Djokovic scored 88 points vs Karatsev’s 59. Djokovic was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Djokovic recorded 17 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (39/55) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent him to concede the serve twice. Novak broke Karatsev 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Djokovic has lost 5 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
Djokovic has a a good record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (548-81). 8-0 on hard in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Djokovic has a 296-37 match record in the last years on hard.
The Serbian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal at the Australian Open .
The Serbian has a 8-0 win-loss record in 2021, 8-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, he won this tournament 8 times in 2008, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2019, and 2020. See his history.
Daniil Medvedev
Ranked no. 4 (career high), Daniil reached the Final after beating Vasek Pospisil 6-2 6-2 6-4, Roberto Carballes Baena 6-2 7-5 6-1, Filip Krajinovic 6-3 6-3 4-6 3-6 6-0, Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-4 6-2 6-3, Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-3 6-2 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 6-2 7-5.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (6-4 6-2 7-5). During the match Medvedev scored 106 points vs Tsitsipas’s 77. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Medvedev managed to score 17 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 68% of his first serves in, winning 88% (49/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Tsitsipas 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a 10-0 win-loss record in 2021, 10-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2019. See his history
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H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 23 | 20 |
| Tot Games | 229 | 182 |
| Pts | 760-642 | 612-459 |
| Total Points | 1402 | 1071 |
| Winners | 367 | 263 |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% |
Both Djokovic and Medvedev played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic surrendered 5 sets, while Daniil Medvedev conceded 2 sets. Djokovic has played 3 sets more than Medvedev (23 vs 20). Therefore, Djokovic played 47 games more than Medvedev. The Serbian scored 367 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Medvedev made 263 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 100 | 74 |
| Avg per match | 16.7 | 12.3 |
| 1st in | 478/700 | 325/523 |
| %1st in | 68% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 367/478 | 263/325 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 123/222 | 106/198 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 54% |
Djokovic fired 100 aces (16.7 per match). Medvedev made 74 aces (12.3 per match). Djokovic won 77% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 30 | 35 |
| Converted | 30/63 | 35/62 |
| % Converted | 48% | 56% |
| Conceded | 35 | 25 |
| Saved | 24 | 17 |
| % Saved | 69% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 8 |
The Serbian broke his opponents 30 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Serbian surrendered his serve 11 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Medvedev broke his opponents 35 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | ||||||||
| R1 Chardy |
R2 Tiafoe |
R3 Fritz |
R4 Raonic |
1/4 Zverev |
1/2 Karatsev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-73 7-62 6-3 | 7-61 6-4 3-6 4-6 6-2 | 7-64 4-6 6-1 6-4 | 6-76 6-2 6-4 7-66 | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 44 | 50 | 40 | 44 | 27 | 229 | |
| pts | 91-52 | 145-123 | 157-155 | 130-114 | 149-139 | 88-59 | 760-642 | |
| Total points | 143 | 268 | 312 | 244 | 288 | 147 | 1402 | |
| Winners | 37 | 62 | 79 | 64 | 86 | 39 | 367 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% | 50% | 49% | 58% | 44% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 9 | 26 | 15 | 10 | 23 | 17 | 100 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 43/57 | 74/120 | 105/159 | 82/121 | 119/162 | 55/81 | 478/700 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 62% | 66% | 68% | 73% | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 37/43 | 62/74 | 79/105 | 64/82 | 86/119 | 39/55 | 367/478 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 84% | 75% | 78% | 72% | 71% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/14 | 27/46 | 27/54 | 23/39 | 19/43 | 16/26 | 123/222 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 59% | 50% | 59% | 44% | 62% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 30 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 5/14 | 4/9 | 3/11 | 6/9 | 6/7 | 30/63 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 36% | 44% | 27% | 67% | 86% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 35 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/3 | 9/12 | 2/3 | 9/12 | 3/5 | 24 | |
| Saved % | – | 33% | 75% | 67% | 75% | 60% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Medvedev | ||||||||
| R1 Pospisil |
R2 Carballes Baena |
R3 Krajinovic |
R4 Mcdonald |
1/4 Rublev |
1/2 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 6-4 | 6-2 7-5 6-1 | 6-3 6-3 4-6 3-6 6-0 | 6-4 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 20 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 27 | 43 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 182 | |
| pts | 89-63 | 95-53 | 144-128 | 81-60 | 97-78 | 106-77 | 612-459 | |
| Total points | 152 | 148 | 272 | 141 | 175 | 183 | 1071 | |
| Winners | 39 | 42 | 54 | 36 | 43 | 49 | 263 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | 38% | 44% | 44% | 46% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 8 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 74 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 50/74 | 49/76 | 70/130 | 46/71 | 54/90 | 56/82 | 325/523 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 64% | 54% | 65% | 60% | 68% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 39/50 | 42/49 | 54/70 | 36/46 | 43/54 | 49/56 | 263/325 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 86% | 77% | 78% | 80% | 88% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/24 | 13/27 | 31/60 | 15/25 | 19/36 | 12/26 | 106/198 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 48% | 52% | 60% | 53% | 46% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 35 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 7/8 | 7/18 | 6/7 | 5/11 | 5/9 | 35/62 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 88% | 39% | 86% | 45% | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 25 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/4 | 8/11 | 0/1 | 4/5 | 2/3 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 73% | 0% | 80% | 67% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (4-3) – H2H and prediction
