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H2H, PREDICTION Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | Australian Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Djokovic and Medvedev will clash against each other in the final of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Mark Hall

19 February 2021

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Daniil Medvedev

Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev will clash against each other in the final of the Australian Open for the 8^th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4.30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.83
Daniil Medvedev -> 2

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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Daniil Medvedev

This will be the 8^th time that Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev face off. The head to head is 4-3 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 6-3 6-3 in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2020.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Novak Djokovic – Nitto atp finals 18-November-2020

Novak Djokovic

Currently world no. 1 Djokovic got to the Final after defeating Jeremy Chardy 6-3 6-1 6-2, Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-7³ 7-6² 6-3, Taylor Harry Fritz 7-6¹ 6-4 3-6 4-6 6-2, Milos Raonic 7-6⁴ 4-6 6-1 6-4, Alexander Zverev 6-7⁶ 6-2 6-4 7-6⁶ and Aslan Karatsev 6-3 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal, Novak had a good straight-sets win against Karatsev (6-3 6-4 6-2). During the match Djokovic scored 88 points vs Karatsev’s 59. Djokovic was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about the service games, Djokovic recorded 17 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (39/55) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent him to concede the serve twice. Novak broke Karatsev 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Djokovic has lost 5 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.

Djokovic has a a good record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (548-81). 8-0 on hard in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Djokovic has a 296-37 match record in the last years on hard.

The Serbian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal at the Australian Open .

The Serbian has a 8-0 win-loss record in 2021, 8-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, he won this tournament 8 times in 2008, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2019, and 2020. See his history.

Australian Open

Djokovic's Record

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 4 (career high), Daniil reached the Final after beating Vasek Pospisil 6-2 6-2 6-4, Roberto Carballes Baena 6-2 7-5 6-1, Filip Krajinovic 6-3 6-3 4-6 3-6 6-0, Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-4 6-2 6-3, Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-3 6-2 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 6-2 7-5.

In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (6-4 6-2 7-5). During the match Medvedev scored 106 points vs Tsitsipas’s 77. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Talking about serving, Medvedev managed to score 17 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 68% of his first serves in, winning 88% (49/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Tsitsipas 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Daniil has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a 10-0 win-loss record in 2021, 10-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2019. See his history

Australian Open

Medvedev's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Djokovic	Medvedev
Match played	6	6
Tot Set	23	20
Tot Games	229	182
Pts	760-642	612-459
Total Points	1402	1071
Winners	367	263
%Winners	48%	43%

Both Djokovic and Medvedev played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic surrendered 5 sets, while Daniil Medvedev conceded 2 sets. Djokovic has played 3 sets more than Medvedev (23 vs 20). Therefore, Djokovic played 47 games more than Medvedev. The Serbian scored 367 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Medvedev made 263 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Djokovic	Medvedev
Aces	100	74
Avg per match	16.7	12.3
1st in	478/700	325/523
%1st in	68%	62%
1st pts	367/478	263/325
%1st pts	77%	81%
2nd pts	123/222	106/198
%2nd pts	55%	54%

Djokovic fired 100 aces (16.7 per match). Medvedev made 74 aces (12.3 per match). Djokovic won 77% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Djokovic	Medvedev
Won	30	35
Converted	30/63	35/62
% Converted	48%	56%
Conceded	35	25
Saved	24	17
% Saved	69%	68%
Times Broken	11	8

The Serbian broke his opponents 30 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Serbian surrendered his serve 11 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Medvedev broke his opponents 35 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

	R1 Chardy	R2 Tiafoe	R3 Fritz	R4 Raonic	1/4 Zverev	1/2 Karatsev	Total
Djokovic
Score	6-3 6-1 6-2	6-3 6-7³ 7-6² 6-3	7-6¹ 6-4 3-6 4-6 6-2	7-6⁴ 4-6 6-1 6-4	6-7⁶ 6-2 6-4 7-6⁶	6-3 6-4 6-2
Tot Set	3	4	5	4	4	3	23
Tot Games	24	44	50	40	44	27	229
pts	91-52	145-123	157-155	130-114	149-139	88-59	760-642
Total points	143	268	312	244	288	147	1402
Winners	37	62	79	64	86	39	367
%Winners	41%	43%	50%	49%	58%	44%	48%
SERVE
Aces	9	26	15	10	23	17	100
Double Faults	1	5	5	3	5	2	21
1st in	43/57	74/120	105/159	82/121	119/162	55/81	478/700
% 1st in	75%	62%	66%	68%	73%	68%	68%
1st pts	37/43	62/74	79/105	64/82	86/119	39/55	367/478
% 1st pts	86%	84%	75%	78%	72%	71%	77%
2nd pts	11/14	27/46	27/54	23/39	19/43	16/26	123/222
% 2nd pts	79%	59%	50%	59%	44%	62%	55%
Breaks
Won	6	5	4	3	6	6	30
Converted	6/13	5/14	4/9	3/11	6/9	6/7	30/63
Converted %	46%	36%	44%	27%	67%	86%	48%
Conceded	0	3	12	3	12	5	35
Saved	0/0	1/3	9/12	2/3	9/12	3/5	24
Saved %	–	33%	75%	67%	75%	60%	52%
Times Broken	0	2	3	1	3	2	11

	R1 Pospisil	R2 Carballes Baena	R3 Krajinovic	R4 Mcdonald	1/4 Rublev	1/2 Tsitsipas	Total
Medvedev
Score	6-2 6-2 6-4	6-2 7-5 6-1	6-3 6-3 4-6 3-6 6-0	6-4 6-2 6-3	7-5 6-3 6-2	6-4 6-2 7-5
Tot Set	3	3	5	3	3	3	20
Tot Games	26	27	43	27	29	30	182
pts	89-63	95-53	144-128	81-60	97-78	106-77	612-459
Total points	152	148	272	141	175	183	1071
Winners	39	42	54	36	43	49	263
%Winners	44%	44%	38%	44%	44%	46%	43%
SERVE
Aces	8	13	15	7	14	17	74
Double Faults	2	3	4	2	4	2	17
1st in	50/74	49/76	70/130	46/71	54/90	56/82	325/523
% 1st in	68%	64%	54%	65%	60%	68%	62%
1st pts	39/50	42/49	54/70	36/46	43/54	49/56	263/325
% 1st pts	78%	86%	77%	78%	80%	88%	81%
2nd pts	16/24	13/27	31/60	15/25	19/36	12/26	106/198
% 2nd pts	67%	48%	52%	60%	53%	46%	54%
Breaks
Won	5	7	7	6	5	5	35
Converted	5/9	7/8	7/18	6/7	5/11	5/9	35/62
Converted %	56%	88%	39%	86%	45%	56%	56%
Conceded	1	4	11	1	5	3	25
Saved	1/1	2/4	8/11	0/1	4/5	2/3	17
Saved %	100%	50%	73%	0%	80%	67%	62%
Times Broken	0	2	3	1	1	1	8