Elise Mertens and Karolina Muchova will clash against each other in the 4^th round of the Australian Open for the 2^nd time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 6 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.57
Karolina Muchova -> 2.54

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This will be the 2^nd time that Elise Mertens and Karolina Muchova clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Mertens won 6-4 6-2 in the 2^nd round in Ostrava back in 2020.

Elise Mertens

Ranked no. 16, the Belgian reached the 2^nd round after defeating Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-1 6-3, Lin Zhu 7-6⁸ 6-1 and Belinda Bencic 6-2 6-1.

In the 3^rd round, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Bencic (6-2 6-1). During the match Mertens scored 55 points vs Bencic’s 29. Elise was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mertens struck 7 aces and she was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Elise Mertens was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 83% (20/24) of her 1st serve and 82% (9/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belgian broke Bencic 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Elise hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 60% of the points she played.

Mertens has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 66% of her matches (346-177). 7-0 on hard in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mertens has a 196-85 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in in Melbourne where she overcame Kaia Kanepi in the final 6-4 6-1.

Mertens has a 7-0 win-loss record in 2021, 7-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

Elise lost in the 4^th round to Simona Halep.

Karolina Muchova

Ranked no. 27, Karolina reached the 2^nd round after defeating Jelena Ostapenko 7-5 6-2, Mona Barthel 6-4 6-1 and Karolina Pliskova 7-5 7-5.

In the 3^rd round, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Pliskova (7-5 7-5). During the match Muchova scored 91 points vs Pliskova’s 80. Karolina was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Muchova made 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Karolina Muchova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 66% of her first serves in, winning 51% (27/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 67% (18/27) on the 2nd serve. Muchova broke Pliskova 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Muchova hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

The Czech has a 6-0 win-loss record in 2021, 6-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

Karolina lost in the 2^nd round to Catherine Cartan Bellis.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Mertens and Muchova played 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mertens and Muchova have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Mertens played 10 games less than Muchova. The Belgian scored 79 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Muchova managed to score 82 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Mertens recorded 13 aces (4.3 per match). Muchova fired 10 aces (3.3 per match). Mertens won 74% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 59% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Mertens broke her opponents 15 times with a 68% conversion rate. The Belgian surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Muchova broke her opponents 17 times with a 52% conversion rate. Karolina conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 0Slam
• 8Main
• 4ITF
• 7Minor

• 0Slam
• 1Main
• 0ITF
• 2Minor

Elise
Mertens

1:1

Karolina
Muchova

Rank

34

High

12

0Hard1

1I.hard0

Rank

22

High

8

Win Loss

Mertens

LWLLWLWLWW

Muchova

LWWWLWWWWW

2024 2023 2022

27 - 25

21 - 7

17-15

Hard

15-4

1-1

I Hard

0-0

6-5

Clay

4-2

3-4

Grass

2-1

Tennis Scores at the Australian Open

• Serena WilliamsWilliams – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (6-4 2-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (4-6 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Su-Wei HsiehHsieh – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

• Ashleigh BartyBarty – Shelby RogersRogers (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – Jennifer BradyBrady (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Simona HalepHalep (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Su-Wei HsiehHsieh – Naomi OsakaOsaka (1-4) – H2H and prediction

Mertens

More Stats

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Muchova