Aryna Sabalenka and Serena Williams will square off in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.86
Serena Williams -> 2.03
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Serena Williams
There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Serena Williams since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranked no. 7 (career high), Aryna reached the 4th round after defeating Viktoria Kuzmova 6-0 6-4, Daria Kasatkina 7-65 6-3 and Ann Li 6-3 6-1.
In the 3rd round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Li (6-3 6-1). During the match Sabalenka scored 67 points vs Li’s 44. Aryna was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka fired 7 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (28/36) of her 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sabalenka broke Li 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 66% of her matches (194-101). 9-1 on hard in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a 119-51 record in the last 6 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in in Abu Dhabi where she defeated Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2.
Aryna has a 9-1 win-loss record in 2021, 9-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
Aryna lost in the 1st round to Carla Suarez Navarro.
Serena Williams
Ranked no. 11, Serena reached the 4th round after defeating Laura Siegemund 6-1 6-1, Nina Stojanovic 6-3 6-0 and Anastasia Potapova 7-65 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Serena had a good straight sets win against Potapova (7-65 6-2). During the match Williams scored 78 points vs Potapova’s 63. Williams was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Williams scored 9 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Serena Williams lost the serve 3 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Williams put 63% of her first serves in, winning 77% (36/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 32% (9/28) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Potapova 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Serena hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points she played.
Serena’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne.
Serena has a 6-0 win-loss record in 2021, 6-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
Williams capitulated in the 3rd round to Qiang Wang.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sabalenka | Williams |
---|---|---|
Match played | 3 | 3 |
Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
Tot Games | 54 | 50 |
Pts | 194-145 | 193-124 |
Total Points | 339 | 317 |
Winners | 68 | 76 |
%Winners | 35% | 39% |
Both Sabalenka and Williams played 3 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Williams have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Sabalenka played 4 games more than Williams. The Belarussian scored 68 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Serena bagged 76 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sabalenka | Williams |
---|---|---|
Aces | 16 | 19 |
Avg per match | 5.3 | 6.3 |
1st in | 94/162 | 95/158 |
%1st in | 58% | 60% |
1st pts | 68/94 | 76/95 |
%1st pts | 72% | 80% |
2nd pts | 35/68 | 29/63 |
%2nd pts | 51% | 46% |
Sabalenka made 16 aces (5.3 per match). Williams managed to score 19 aces (6.3 per match). Sabalenka won 72% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Williams won 80% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sabalenka | Williams |
---|---|---|
Won | 15 | 15 |
Converted | 15/27 | 15/26 |
% Converted | 56% | 58% |
Conceded | 12 | 16 |
Saved | 7 | 12 |
% Saved | 58% | 75% |
Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 15 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Belarussian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded. Williams broke her opponents 15 times with a 58% conversion rate. Serena conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
Sabalenka | |||||
R1 Kuzmova |
R2 Kasatkina |
R3 Li |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-0 6-4 | 7-65 6-3 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Tot Games | 16 | 22 | 16 | 54 | |
pts | 60-38 | 67-63 | 67-44 | 194-145 | |
Total points | 98 | 130 | 111 | 339 | |
Winners | 16 | 24 | 28 | 68 | |
%Winners | 27% | 36% | 42% | 35% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 2 | 7 | 7 | 16 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | |
1st in | 21/43 | 37/65 | 36/54 | 94/162 | |
% 1st in | 49% | 57% | 67% | 58% | |
1st pts | 16/21 | 24/37 | 28/36 | 68/94 | |
% 1st pts | 76% | 65% | 78% | 72% | |
2nd pts | 12/22 | 13/28 | 10/18 | 35/68 | |
% 2nd pts | 55% | 46% | 56% | 51% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | |
Converted | 6/10 | 5/7 | 4/10 | 15/27 | |
Converted % | 60% | 71% | 40% | 56% | |
Conceded | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
Saved | 2/4 | 1/4 | 4/4 | 7 | |
Saved % | 50% | 25% | 100% | 58% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
Williams | |||||
R1 Siegemund |
R2 Stojanovic |
R3 Potapova |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-3 6-0 | 7-65 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Tot Games | 14 | 15 | 21 | 50 | |
pts | 54-23 | 61-38 | 78-63 | 193-124 | |
Total points | 77 | 99 | 141 | 317 | |
Winners | 16 | 24 | 36 | 76 | |
%Winners | 30% | 39% | 46% | 39% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
1st in | 20/34 | 28/49 | 47/75 | 95/158 | |
% 1st in | 59% | 57% | 63% | 60% | |
1st pts | 16/20 | 24/28 | 36/47 | 76/95 | |
% 1st pts | 80% | 86% | 77% | 80% | |
2nd pts | 9/14 | 11/21 | 9/28 | 29/63 | |
% 2nd pts | 64% | 52% | 32% | 46% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 6 | 4 | 5 | 15 | |
Converted | 6/9 | 4/9 | 5/8 | 15/26 | |
Converted % | 67% | 44% | 63% | 58% | |
Conceded | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 | |
Saved | 0/1 | 3/3 | 9/12 | 12 | |
Saved % | 0% | 100% | 75% | 58% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores at the Australian Open
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Kaia KanepiKanepi (5-7 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Kristina MladenovicMladenovic (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Su-Wei HsiehHsieh – Sara ErraniErrani (6-4 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Fiona FerroFerro (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Simona HalepHalep – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Zarina DiyasDiyas (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Ann LiLi (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Serena WilliamsWilliams – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Kaia KanepiKanepi (5-7 7-6(2) 6-4) – See score progression
- Jennifer BradyBrady – Kaja JuvanJuvan (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Kristina MladenovicMladenovic (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Shelby RogersRogers (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Elise MertensMertens (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Jennifer BradyBrady (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Su-Wei HsiehHsieh – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Serena WilliamsWilliams (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Simona HalepHalep (1-1) – H2H and prediction