Fabio Fognini and Alex De Minaur will play each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 9 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.21
Fabio Fognini -> 4.9
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Prediction and head to head Fabio Fognini vs. Alex De Minaur
There is no head to head record between Fabio Fognini and Alex De Minaur since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Fabio Fognini
Ranked no. 17, the Italian reached the 3rd round after beating Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-4 6-2 6-3 and Salvatore Caruso 4-6 6-2 2-6 6-3 7-612.
In the 2nd round, Fognini had a tough win against Caruso to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (4-6 6-2 2-6 6-3 7-612). During the match Fognini scored 154 points vs Caruso’s 141. Fognini was quite aggressive to blast 63 winners.
Regarding the service games, Fognini fired 5 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Fabio Fognini was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (63/81) of his 1st serve and 60% (40/67) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Fabio broke Caruso 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has dropped 2 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.
Fognini has a good match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (291-213). 5-3 on hard in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fognini has a 96-77 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Fognini has a 5-3 win-loss record in 2021, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
Fabio lost in the 4th round to Tennys Sandgren.
Alex De Minaur
Ranked no. 23, the Australian got to the 3rd round after beating Tennys Sandgren 7-5 6-1 6-1 and Pablo Cuevas 6-3 6-3 7-5.
In the 2nd round, De Minaur had a good straight sets win against Cuevas (6-3 6-3 7-5). During the match De Minaur scored 106 points vs Cuevas’s 81. De Minaur was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, De Minaur scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Alex De Minaur was pretty effective on serve to win 86% (44/51) of his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Cuevas 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in in Antalya where he defeated Alexander Bublik in the final 2-0 ret..
De Minaur has a 7-2 win-loss record in 2021, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
The Australian didn’t compete at the Australian Open in 2020.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fognini | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 56 |
| Pts | 243-214 | 205-145 |
| Total Points | 457 | 350 |
| Winners | 97 | 81 |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% |
Both Fognini and De Minaur played 2 matches. At the moment, Fabio Fognini dropped 2 sets while Alex De Minaur hasn’t dropped a set so far. Fognini has played 2 sets more than De Minaur (8 vs 6). Therefore, Fognini played 19 games more than De Minaur. Fognini scored 97 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Alex recorded 81 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fognini | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 124/226 | 94/150 |
| %1st in | 55% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 97/124 | 81/94 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 61/102 | 33/56 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 59% |
Fognini recorded 7 aces (3.5 per match). De Minaur blasted 5 aces (2.5 per match). Fognini won 78% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fognini | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 11 |
| Converted | 8/24 | 11/26 |
| % Converted | 33% | 42% |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 |
| Saved | 4 | 2 |
| % Saved | 57% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
Fognini broke his opponents 8 times with a 33% conversion rate. Fabio lost his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fognini | ||||
| R1 Herbert |
R2 Caruso |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 6-2 2-6 6-3 7-612 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 48 | 75 | |
| pts | 89-73 | 154-141 | 243-214 | |
| Total points | 162 | 295 | 457 | |
| Winners | 34 | 63 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 43/78 | 81/148 | 124/226 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 34/43 | 63/81 | 97/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/35 | 40/67 | 61/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/13 | 8/24 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 23% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 57% | 29% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| De Minaur | ||||
| R1 Sandgren |
R2 Cuevas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 6-1 | 6-3 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 30 | 56 | |
| pts | 99-64 | 106-81 | 205-145 | |
| Total points | 163 | 187 | 350 | |
| Winners | 37 | 44 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 43/64 | 51/86 | 94/150 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 59% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 37/43 | 44/51 | 81/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 18/35 | 33/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 51% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 5/14 | 11/26 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 36% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWLLWWL
LLLLLLWWWL Tennis Scores at the Australian Open
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- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-3 6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
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