Ashleigh Barty and Garbine Muguruza will clash against each other in the final of the Yarra Valley Classic for the 4th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11 am on Margaret Court Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Garbine Muguruza who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Garbine Muguruza is the pick to win this match.
Garbine Muguruza -> 1.83
Ashleigh Barty -> 2.07
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Prediction and head to head Ashleigh Barty vs. Garbine Muguruza
This will be the 4th time that Ashleigh Barty and Garbine Muguruza fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Barty (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Barty won 6-1 6-7(4) 6-2 in the quarter in Doha back in 2020.
Ashleigh Barty
Currently world no. 1 the Australian reached the quarter after defeating Ana Bogdan 6-3 6-3, Marie Bouzkova 6-0 4-6 6-3, Shelby Rogers 7-5 2-6 10-4 and Serena Williams w/o.
In the semifinal, Ashleigh defeated Williams (w/o). During the match Barty and Williams scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 1 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match.
Regarding the service games, Barty was unable to score even 1 ace during the match and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Ashleigh Barty conceded no breaks for the entire match to put NAN% of her first serves in, win NAN% (/) of the points behind her 1st serve and NAN% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ashleigh has surrendered 2 set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.
Barty has a an impressive match record in the last 10 years having won 74% of her matches (248-89). 3-0 on hard in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Barty has a 135-46 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Barty’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne.
Ashleigh has a 3-0 win-loss record in 2021, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Melbourne
Ashleigh surrendered in the semifinal to Sofia Kenin.
Garbine Muguruza
Ranked no. 15, Muguruza got to the quarter after defeating Alison Van Uytvanck 6-2 6-0, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-1 6-2, Sofia Kenin 6-2 6-2 and Marketa Vondrousova 6-1 6-0.
In the semifinal, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Vondrousova (6-1 6-0). During the match Muguruza scored 55 points vs Vondrousova’s 24. Garbine was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Muguruza scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Garbine Muguruza was very effective on serve to win 88% (21/24) of her 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Vondrousova 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 64% of the points she played.
Garbine’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne.
Garbine has a 6-1 win-loss record in 2021, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Melbourne
Garbine lost in the final to Sofia Kenin.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Barty | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 58 |
| Pts | 227-193 | 226-125 |
| Total Points | 420 | 351 |
| Winners | 96 | 89 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Barty played 3 matches while Muguruza competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Ashleigh Barty conceded 2 sets while Garbine Muguruza hasn’t dropped a set so far. Talking about their workload, Barty and Muguruza have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Barty played 15 games more than Muguruza. The Australian scored 96 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Garbine made 89 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Barty | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 3 |
| 1st in | 130/204 | 110/162 |
| %1st in | 64% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 96/130 | 89/110 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 35/74 | 28/52 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 54% |
Barty fired 24 aces (8 per match). Muguruza scored 12 aces (3 per match). Barty won 74% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Muguruza won 81% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Barty | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 21 |
| Converted | 11/29 | 21/35 |
| % Converted | 38% | 60% |
| Conceded | 12 | 7 |
| Saved | 6 | 5 |
| % Saved | 50% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
Ashleigh broke her opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. Ashleigh dropped her serve 6 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Muguruza broke her opponents 21 times with a 60% conversion rate. Muguruza conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Barty | ||||||
| R2 Bogdan |
R3 Bouzkova |
1/4 Rogers |
1/2 Williams |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-0 4-6 6-3 | 7-5 2-6 10-4 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 25 | 30 | 0 | 73 | |
| pts | 65-45 | 97-79 | 65-69 | – | 227-193 | |
| Total points | 110 | 176 | 134 | 0 | 420 | |
| Winners | 27 | 40 | 29 | 96 | ||
| %Winners | 42% | 41% | 45% | NAN% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 | ||
| 1st in | 32/52 | 57/90 | 41/62 | / | 130/204 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 63% | 66% | – | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 27/32 | 40/57 | 29/41 | / | 96/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 70% | 71% | – | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 15/33 | 9/21 | / | 35/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 45% | 43% | – | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 2 | 11 | ||
| Converted | 3/7 | 6/15 | 2/7 | / | 11/29 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 40% | 29% | – | 38% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 | 3 | 12 | ||
| Saved | 1/1 | 5/8 | 0/3 | 0/ | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 63% | 0% | – | 41% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | ||
| Muguruza | ||||||
| R2 Van Uytvanck |
R3 Pavlyuchenkova |
1/4 Kenin |
1/2 Vondrousova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 58 | |
| pts | 51-27 | 53-28 | 67-46 | 55-24 | 226-125 | |
| Total points | 78 | 81 | 113 | 79 | 351 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | 30 | 21 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 36% | 45% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 24/37 | 23/35 | 39/53 | 24/37 | 110/162 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 66% | 74% | 65% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 19/24 | 19/23 | 30/39 | 21/24 | 89/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 83% | 77% | 88% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 6/12 | 5/14 | 8/13 | 28/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 50% | 36% | 62% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 6/8 | 5/9 | 5/11 | 21/35 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 75% | 56% | 45% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/3 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 75% | – | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores in Melbourne
- Ricardo Ojeda LaraOjeda Lara – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (2-1) – H2H and prediction
