Karolina Muchova and Kaia Kanepi will square off in the quarter of the Gippsland Trophy for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6 pm on Margaret Court Arena. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karolina Muchova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.909
Kaia Kanepi -> 1.97
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Prediction and head to head Karolina Muchova vs. Kaia Kanepi
There is no head to head record between Karolina Muchova and Kaia Kanepi since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Karolina Muchova
Ranked no. 27, Muchova reached the quarter after defeating Caty McNally 6-1 6-1 and Jasmine Paolini 6-2 4-6 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Karolina defeated Paolini (6-2 4-6 6-4). During the match Muchova scored 92 points vs Paolini’s 83. The Czech was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Muchova struck 12 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Karolina Muchova lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 58% of her first serves in, winning 80% (39/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (16/35) on the 2nd serve. Muchova broke Paolini 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Muchova has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Muchova has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 68% of her matches (140-67). 3-0 on hard in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Muchova has a 59-26 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
The Czech has a 3-0 win-loss record in 2021, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Melbourne
The Czech lost in the 2nd round to Catherine Cartan Bellis.
Kaia Kanepi
Ranked no. 94, Kaia got to the quarter after defeating Astra Sharma 1-6 7-5 6-2, Aryna Sabalenka 6-1 2-6 6-1 and Daria Kasatkina 7-5 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Kanepi had a good straight sets win against Kasatkina (7-5 6-1). During the match Kanepi scored 69 points vs Kasatkina’s 56. The Estonian was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Kanepi made 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Kaia Kanepi was very effective on serve to win 71% (27/38) of her 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Estonian broke Kasatkina 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kanepi has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
The Estonian has a 3-0 win-loss record in 2021, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Melbourne
Kanepi lost in the 1st round to Barbora Krejcikova.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Muchova | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 68 |
| Pts | 150-112 | 242-219 |
| Total Points | 262 | 461 |
| Winners | 66 | 81 |
| %Winners | 44% | 33% |
Muchova played 2 matches while Kanepi competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Karolina Muchova dropped 1 set, while Kaia Kanepi conceded 2 sets. Muchova has played 3 set(s) less than Kanepi (5 vs 8). Therefore, Muchova played 26 games less than Kanepi. The Czech scored 66 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Estonian managed to score 81 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Muchova | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 81/129 | 125/241 |
| %1st in | 63% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 66/81 | 81/125 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 22/48 | 58/116 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 50% |
Muchova scored 13 aces (6.5 per match). Kanepi fired 9 aces (3 per match). Muchova won 81% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Kanepi won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Muchova | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 16 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 16/25 |
| % Converted | 50% | 64% |
| Conceded | 10 | 21 |
| Saved | 8 | 12 |
| % Saved | 80% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 9 |
Karolina broke her opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Kanepi broke her opponents 16 times with a 64% conversion rate. Kanepi conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.
| Muchova | ||||
| R2 McNally |
R3 Paolini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 28 | 42 | |
| pts | 58-29 | 92-83 | 150-112 | |
| Total points | 87 | 175 | 262 | |
| Winners | 27 | 39 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 12 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 32/45 | 49/84 | 81/129 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 58% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 27/32 | 39/49 | 66/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 80% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/13 | 16/35 | 22/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 4/12 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 33% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 6/8 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Kanepi | |||||
| R1 Sharma |
R2 Sabalenka |
R3 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-5 6-2 | 6-1 2-6 6-1 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 22 | 19 | 68 | |
| pts | 90-89 | 83-74 | 69-56 | 242-219 | |
| Total points | 179 | 157 | 125 | 461 | |
| Winners | 24 | 30 | 27 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 36% | 39% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 3 | 2 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 40/77 | 47/95 | 38/69 | 125/241 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 49% | 55% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 24/40 | 30/47 | 27/38 | 81/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 64% | 71% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/37 | 22/48 | 17/31 | 58/116 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 46% | 55% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/7 | 4/6 | 16/25 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 86% | 67% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 7 | 5 | 21 | |
| Saved | 4/9 | 4/7 | 4/5 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 44% | 57% | 80% | 91% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLWW
LLL Tennis Scores in Melbourne
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-74 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Simona HalepHalep – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Katie BoulterBoulter (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Caroline GarciaGarcia (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Johanna KontaKonta (4-6 7-610 7-64) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Simona HalepHalep – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
