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H2H, PREDICTION Alex De Minaur vs Alexander Bublik | Antalya odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Antalya. De Minaur and Bublik will square off in the final of the Antalya Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Mark Hall

13 January 2021

Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Alexander Bublik

Alex De Minaur and Alexander Bublik will clash against each other in the final of the Antalya Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.222
Alexander Bublik -> 4.7

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Alexander Bublik

There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Alexander Bublik since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 23, the Australian got to the final after beating Malek Jaziri 6-2 6-1, Adrian Andreev 6-3 6-1, Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-2 6-4 and David Goffin 6-4 3-6 6-2.

In the semifinal, De Minaur defeated Goffin (6-4 3-6 6-2). During the match De Minaur scored 82 points vs Goffin’s 71. Alex was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur fired 2 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 57% of his first serves in, winning 85% (33/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Goffin 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 65% of his matches (223-119). 4-0 on hard in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has a 114-53 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

Alex’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Antalya.

Alex has a 4-0 win-loss record in 2021, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year in Antalya

The Australian didn’t compete in Antalya in 2020.

Alexander Bublik

Ranked no. 49, the Kazakhstani reached the final after beating Salvatore Caruso 6-3 6-3, Tristan Lamasine 6-2 6-4, Matteo Berrettini 7-6⁶ 6-4 and Jeremy Chardy 6-4 6-7⁴ 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Kazakhstani defeated Chardy (6-4 6-7⁴ 6-3). During the match Bublik scored 112 points vs Chardy’s 98. Bublik was quite aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Talking about serving, Bublik bagged 15 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 60% of his first serves in, winning 79% (48/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (20/41) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Chardy 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Kazakhstani’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Antalya.

Alexander has a 4-0 win-loss record in 2021, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	Bublik
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	9
Tot Games	76	91
Pts	274-194	328-279
Total Points	468	607
Winners	98	139
%Winners	36%	42%

Both De Minaur and Bublik played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur conceded 1 set, while Alexander Bublik dropper 1 set. Talking about their workload, De Minaur and Bublik have played the same amount of sets 9. However, De Minaur played 15 games less than Bublik. Alex scored 98 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani scored 139 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	Bublik
Aces	7	41
Avg per match	1.8	10.3
1st in	127/216	181/304
%1st in	59%	60%
1st pts	98/127	139/181
%1st pts	77%	77%
2nd pts	50/89	63/123
%2nd pts	56%	51%

De Minaur blasted 7 aces (1.8 per match). Bublik struck 41 aces (10.3 per match). De Minaur won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	Bublik
Won	19	13
Converted	19/34	13/37
% Converted	56%	35%
Conceded	14	25
Saved	9	21
% Saved	64%	84%
Times Broken	5	4

The Australian broke his opponents 19 times with a 56% conversion rate. Alex lost his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Alexander broke his opponents 13 times with a 35% conversion rate. Alexander conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded.

	R1 Jaziri	R2 Andreev	1/4 Basilashvili	1/2 Goffin	Total
De Minaur
Score	6-2 6-1	6-3 6-1	6-2 6-4	6-4 3-6 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	15	16	18	27	76
pts	62-30	64-43	66-50	82-71	274-194
Total points	92	107	116	153	468
Winners	14	26	25	33	98
%Winners	23%	41%	38%	40%	36%
SERVE
Aces	2	2	1	2	7
Double Faults	1	0	3	0	4
1st in	17/36	36/55	35/56	39/69	127/216
% 1st in	47%	65%	63%	57%	59%
1st pts	14/17	26/36	25/35	33/39	98/127
% 1st pts	82%	72%	71%	85%	77%
2nd pts	15/19	8/19	12/21	15/30	50/89
% 2nd pts	79%	42%	57%	50%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	6	4	4	19
Converted	5/10	6/12	4/7	4/5	19/34
Converted %	50%	50%	57%	80%	56%
Conceded	0	7	4	3	14
Saved	0/0	5/7	3/4	1/3	9
Saved %	–	71%	75%	33%	45%
Times Broken	0	2	1	2	5

	R1 Caruso	R2 Lamasine	1/4 Berrettini	1/2 Chardy	Total
Bublik
Score	6-3 6-3	6-2 6-4	7-6⁶ 6-4	6-4 6-7⁴ 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	18	18	23	32	91
pts	59-44	83-69	74-68	112-98	328-279
Total points	103	152	142	210	607
Winners	26	32	33	48	139
%Winners	44%	39%	45%	43%	42%
SERVE
Aces	8	6	12	15	41
Double Faults	2	7	3	11	23
1st in	33/48	44/82	43/72	61/102	181/304
% 1st in	69%	54%	60%	60%	60%
1st pts	26/33	32/44	33/43	48/61	139/181
% 1st pts	79%	73%	77%	79%	77%
2nd pts	10/15	17/38	16/29	20/41	63/123
% 2nd pts	67%	45%	55%	49%	51%
Breaks
Won	3	4	2	4	13
Converted	3/8	4/13	2/6	4/10	13/37
Converted %	38%	31%	33%	40%	35%
Conceded	0	8	6	11	25
Saved	0/0	7/8	5/6	9/11	21
Saved %	–	88%	83%	82%	63%
Times Broken	0	1	1	2	4