Dominic Thiem and Daniil Medvedev will play each other in the final of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 5th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 6:00 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.84
Dominic Thiem -> 2.05
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Prediction and head to head Dominic Thiem vs. Daniil Medvedev
This will be the 5th time that Dominic Thiem and Daniil Medvedev fight against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Thiem (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
Dominic Thiem
Ranked no. 3 (career high), Dominic reached the final after beating Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-65 4-6 6-3, Rafael Nadal 7-67 7-64 and Novak Djokovic 7-5 6-710 7-65.
In the semifinal, Dominic defeated Djokovic (7-5 6-710 7-65). During the match Thiem scored 119 points vs Djokovic’s 115. Dominic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 63 winners.
Regarding the service games, Thiem fired 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Dominic Thiem was quite effective on serve to win 82% (63/77) of his 1st serve and 53% (23/43) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Dominic broke Djokovic once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Austrian has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
Thiem has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (424-209). 5-2 on indoor hard courts in 2020. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Thiem has a 61-44 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in at the U.S. Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 2-6 4-6 6-4 6-3 7-6(6).
Dominic has a 25-8 win-loss record in 2020, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Last year in the Nitto ATP Finals
Dominic had to surrender in the final to Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Daniil Medvedev
Ranked no. 4 (career high), the Russian got to the final after beating Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-4, Novak Djokovic 6-3 6-3, Diego Sebastian Schwartzman 6-3 6-3 and Rafael Nadal 3-6 7-64 6-3.
In the semifinal against Nadal, Medvedev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-64 6-3). During the match Medvedev scored 105 points vs Nadal’s 94. Daniil was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Medvedev struck 13 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 70% of his first serves in, winning 77% (44/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (12/25) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Nadal 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Paris where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 5-7 6-4 6-1.
Daniil has a 27-10 win-loss record in 2020, 13-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Last year in the Nitto ATP Finals
The Russian lost in the round robin to Alexander Zverev.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Thiem | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 116 | 86 |
| Pts | 306-292 | 313-255 |
| Total Points | 598 | 568 |
| Winners | 161 | 140 |
| %Winners | 53% | 45% |
Both Thiem and Medvedev played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Dominic Thiem conceded 4 sets, while Daniil Medvedev dropper 1 set. Thiem has played 1 set more than Medvedev (10 vs 9). Therefore, Thiem played 30 games more than Medvedev. The Austrian scored 161 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian struck 140 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Thiem | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 27 | 31 |
| Avg per match | 6.8 | 7.8 |
| 1st in | 204/311 | 177/255 |
| %1st in | 66% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 161/204 | 140/177 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 58/107 | 40/78 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 51% |
Thiem bagged 27 aces (6.8 per match). Medvedev blasted 31 aces (7.8 per match). Thiem won 79% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Thiem | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 13 |
| Converted | 3/11 | 13/37 |
| % Converted | 27% | 35% |
| Conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Saved | 6 | 9 |
| % Saved | 75% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Dominic broke his opponents 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Thiem dropped his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Daniil broke his opponents 13 times with a 35% conversion rate. Medvedev conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Thiem | ||||||
| Round Robin Rublev |
Round Robin Nadal |
Round Robin Tsitsipas |
1/2 Djokovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 7-67 7-64 | 7-65 4-6 6-3 | 7-5 6-710 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 26 | 32 | 38 | 116 | |
| pts | – | 86-81 | 101-96 | 119-115 | 306-292 | |
| Total points | 0 | 167 | 197 | 234 | 598 | |
| Winners | 39 | 59 | 63 | 161 | ||
| %Winners | NAN% | 45% | 58% | 53% | 53% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | ||
| 1st in | / | 51/87 | 76/104 | 77/120 | 204/311 | |
| % 1st in | NAN% | 59% | 73% | 64% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | / | 39/51 | 59/76 | 63/77 | 161/204 | |
| % 1st pts | NAN% | 76% | 78% | 82% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | / | 19/36 | 16/28 | 23/43 | 58/107 | |
| % 2nd pts | NAN% | 53% | 57% | 53% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | ||
| Converted | / | 1/5 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 3/11 | |
| Converted % | NAN% | 20% | 25% | 50% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | ||
| Saved | 0/ | 1/2 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 67% | 100% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | ||
| Medvedev | ||||||
| Round Robin Schwartzman |
Round Robin Djokovic |
Round Robin Zverev |
1/2 Nadal |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 3-6 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 19 | 31 | 86 | |
| pts | 65-49 | 70-54 | 73-58 | 105-94 | 313-255 | |
| Total points | 114 | 124 | 131 | 199 | 568 | |
| Winners | 35 | 30 | 31 | 44 | 140 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 43% | 42% | 42% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 40/54 | 38/56 | 42/63 | 57/82 | 177/255 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 68% | 67% | 70% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 35/40 | 30/38 | 31/42 | 44/57 | 140/177 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 79% | 74% | 77% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/14 | 11/18 | 12/21 | 12/25 | 40/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 61% | 57% | 48% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/8 | 3/9 | 4/11 | 13/37 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 38% | 33% | 36% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 1/1 | 5/6 | 1/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 83% | 25% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Dominic ThiemThiem (1-3) – H2H and prediction
