Rafael Nadal and Pablo Carreno-Busta will fight against each other in the quarter of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 7th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.186
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 5.3
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
This will be the 7th time that Rafael Nadal and Pablo Carreno-Busta face off. The head to head is 6-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Nadal won 6-1 6-2 6-4 in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open back in January 2020.
Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Rafael Nadal – Australian Open 25-January-2020
Rafael Nadal
Ranked no. 2, Nadal got to the 3rd round after beating Feliciano Lopez 4-6 7-65 6-4 and Jordan Thompson 6-1 7-63.
In the 3rd round, Nadal had a good straight sets win against Thompson (6-1 7-63). During the match Nadal scored 68 points vs Thompson’s 47. Nadal was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nadal fired 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Rafael Nadal was exceptionally effective on serve to win 86% (31/36) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nadal broke Thompson twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Nadal has a a tremendous record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (539-104). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2020. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nadal has a 38-11 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Acapulco where he beat Taylor Harry Fritz in the final 6-3 6-2 and in at the French Open where he overcame Novak Djokovic in the final 6-0 6-2 7-5.
Rafael has a 24-4 win-loss record in 2020, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Paris
Nadal lost in the semifinal to Denis Shapovalov.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Ranked no. 15, Carreno-Busta got to the 3rd round after defeating Hugo Gaston 6-3 6-2, Jan-Lennard Struff 7-63 6-2 and Norbert Gombos 7-5 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Gombos (7-5 6-2). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 64 points vs Gombos’s 48. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 62% of his first serves in, winning 72% (26/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (8/22) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Gombos 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carreno-Busta hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The Spaniard’s best result of the current year was getting to the semi-finals in Rotterdam and at the U.S. Open .
The Spaniard has a 20-11 win-loss record in 2020, 7-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Paris
Pablo lost in the 3rd round to Benoit Paire.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 58 |
| Pts | 173-143 | 196-151 |
| Total Points | 316 | 347 |
| Winners | 82 | 82 |
| %Winners | 47% | 42% |
Nadal played 2 matches while Carreno-Busta competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Rafael Nadal dropped 1 set while Pablo Carreno-Busta hasn’t lost a set so far. Nadal has played 1 set(s) less than Carreno-Busta (5 vs 6). Therefore, Nadal played 5 games less than Carreno-Busta. The Spaniard scored 82 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Pablo bagged 82 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 9.5 | 6 |
| 1st in | 93/150 | 109/175 |
| %1st in | 62% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 82/93 | 82/109 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 35/57 | 34/66 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 52% |
Nadal managed to score 19 aces (9.5 per match). Carreno-Busta managed to score 18 aces (6 per match). Nadal won 88% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 12 |
| Converted | 3/11 | 12/26 |
| % Converted | 27% | 46% |
| Conceded | 5 | 9 |
| Saved | 4 | 5 |
| % Saved | 80% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Nadal broke his opponents 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | ||||
| R2 Lopez |
R3 Thompson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-65 6-4 | 6-1 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 20 | 53 | |
| pts | 105-96 | 68-47 | 173-143 | |
| Total points | 201 | 115 | 316 | |
| Winners | 51 | 31 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 46% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 16 | 3 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 57/91 | 36/59 | 93/150 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 61% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 51/57 | 31/36 | 82/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 86% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 16/23 | 35/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 70% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Converted | 1/7 | 2/4 | 3/11 | |
| Converted % | 14% | 50% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Carreno-Busta | |||||
| R1 Gaston |
R2 Struff |
R3 Gombos |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-63 6-2 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 21 | 20 | 58 | |
| pts | 62-48 | 70-55 | 64-48 | 196-151 | |
| Total points | 110 | 125 | 112 | 347 | |
| Winners | 30 | 26 | 26 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 37% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 9 | 3 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 43/60 | 30/57 | 36/58 | 109/175 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 53% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 30/43 | 26/30 | 26/36 | 82/109 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 87% | 72% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 19/27 | 8/22 | 34/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 70% | 36% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 2/3 | 6/10 | 12/26 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 67% | 60% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1/1 | 3/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 50% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWWLL
LWLLLWLLWW Tennis Scores in Paris
- Rafael NadalNadal – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-611 6-77 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (5-7 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Andrey RublevRublev (1-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Marin CilicCilic (6-3 6-74 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Norbert GombosGombos (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Marcos GironGiron (7-61 6-2) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-1 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Norbert GombosGombos (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-6(11) 6-7(7) 6-4) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Andrey RublevRublev (1-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Marin CilicCilic (6-3 6-7(4) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
