Jelena Ostapenko and Paula Badosa Gibert will square off in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7 pm on Court Simonne MATHIEU. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.43
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 3.02
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Paula Badosa Gibert
There is no head to head record between Jelena Ostapenko and Paula Badosa Gibert since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranked no. 43, Jelena reached the 3rd round after defeating Madison Brengle 6-2 6-1 and Karolina Pliskova 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Jelena had a good straight sets win against Pliskova (6-4 6-2). During the match Ostapenko scored 67 points vs Pliskova’s 46. Jelena was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ostapenko fired 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jelena Ostapenko was exceptionally efficent on serve to win 73% (22/30) of her 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The Latvian broke Pliskova 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ostapenko hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 60% of the points she played.
Ostapenko has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 62% of her matches (271-167). 4-2 on clay in 2020. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ostapenko has a 85-37 record in the last 9 years on clay.
The Latvian has a 8-6 win-loss record in 2020, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the French Open
Jelena lost in the 1st round to Victoria Azarenka.
Paula Badosa Gibert
Ranked no. 87, Badosa reached the 3rd round after defeating Kateryna Kozlova 6-2 4-6 6-3 and Sloane Stephens 6-4 4-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard defeated Stephens (6-4 4-6 6-2). During the match Badosa scored 87 points vs Stephens’s 69. Badosa was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Badosa managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Paula Badosa Gibert was very effective on serve to win 74% (34/46) of her 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve 3 times. The Spaniard broke Stephens 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Paula’s best result of the current season was getting to the semi-finals in the W60 Burnie and Istanbul.
The Spaniard has a 12-7 win-loss record in 2020, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the French Open
Badosa capitulated in the qualifications to Tamara Korpatsch.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 55 |
| Pts | 140-93 | 187-147 |
| Total Points | 233 | 334 |
| Winners | 54 | 65 |
| %Winners | 39% | 35% |
Both Ostapenko and Badosa played 2 matches. At the moment, Paula Badosa Gibert conceded 2 sets while Jelena Ostapenko hasn’t lost a set so far. Ostapenko has played 2 set(s) less than Badosa (4 vs 6). Therefore, Ostapenko played 22 games less than Badosa. The Latvian scored 54 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard scored 65 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 78/127 | 99/148 |
| %1st in | 61% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 54/78 | 65/99 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 21/49 | 29/49 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 59% |
Ostapenko made 3 aces (1.5 per match). Badosa recorded 11 aces (5.5 per match). Ostapenko won 69% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 13 |
| Converted | 12/18 | 13/28 |
| % Converted | 67% | 46% |
| Conceded | 20 | 9 |
| Saved | 16 | 1 |
| % Saved | 80% | 11% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 8 |
The Latvian broke her opponents 12 times with a 67% conversion rate. Jelena dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. The Spaniard broke her opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. Badosa conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 11% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | ||||
| R1 Brengle |
R2 Pliskova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 18 | 33 | |
| pts | 73-47 | 67-46 | 140-93 | |
| Total points | 120 | 113 | 233 | |
| Winners | 32 | 22 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 33% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 48/73 | 30/54 | 78/127 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 56% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 32/48 | 22/30 | 54/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 73% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/25 | 13/24 | 21/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 32% | 54% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 7/9 | 5/9 | 12/18 | |
| Converted % | 78% | 56% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 17 | 3 | 20 | |
| Saved | 15/17 | 1/3 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 33% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Badosa | ||||
| R1 Kozlova |
R2 Stephens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 28 | 55 | |
| pts | 100-78 | 87-69 | 187-147 | |
| Total points | 178 | 156 | 334 | |
| Winners | 31 | 34 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 39% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 2 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 53/79 | 46/69 | 99/148 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 31/53 | 34/46 | 65/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 74% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 14/23 | 29/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 61% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 8/15 | 5/13 | 13/28 | |
| Converted % | 53% | 38% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/6 | 0/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 17% | 0% | 9% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Irina Maria BaraMaria Bara – Sofia KeninKenin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Clara BurelBurel – Shuai ZhangZhang (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Simona HalepHalep – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Kiki BertensBertens (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Caroline GarciaGarcia (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
