H2H, PREDICTION Naomi Osaka vs Shelby Rogers | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Osaka and Rogers will face off in the quarter of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Shelby Rogers

Naomi Osaka and Shelby Rogers will fight against each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 4th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 7 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.24
Shelby Rogers -> 3.88

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Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Shelby Rogers

This will be the 4th time that Naomi Osaka and Shelby Rogers face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Rogers (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Rogers won 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in the 1100034285 back in 1970.

Naomi Osaka

Ranked no. 9, the Japanese reached the 2nd round after defeating Misaki Doi 6-2 5-7 6-2, Camila Giorgi 6-1 6-2, Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-74 6-2 and Anett Kontaveit 6-3 6-4.

In the 4th round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Kontaveit (6-3 6-4). During the match Osaka scored 69 points vs Kontaveit’s 52. Osaka was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Osaka managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Naomi Osaka was pretty efficent on serve to win 84% (27/32) of her 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Kontaveit 3 times after converting 27% of her break points (3/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Naomi has surrendered 2 set in this competition to win 56% of the points she played.

Osaka has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 64% of her matches (204-113). 13-2 on hard in 2020. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Osaka has a 138-69 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

Osaka’s best result of the season was getting to the final in New York.

The Japanese has a 13-3 win-loss record in 2020, 13-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the U.S. Open

The Japanese lost in the 4th round to Belinda Bencic.

Shelby Rogers

Ranked no. 93, Rogers reached the 2nd round after defeating Irina Khromacheva 6-2 6-2, Elena Rybakina 7-5 6-1, Madison Brengle 6-2 6-4 and Petra Kvitova 7-65 3-6 7-66.

In the 4th round, Shelby defeated Kvitova (7-65 3-6 7-66).-109) than Kvitova. In fact, the world no. 9 won 109 points vs Kvitova’s. That means that Rogers was more focused during the important points. Rogers was very aggressive to blast 60 winners.

Talking about serving, Rogers struck 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Shelby Rogers lost the serve 4 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Rogers put 72% of her first serves in, winning 65% (60/92) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. Shelby broke Kvitova twice after converting 40% of her break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rogers has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Shelby has a 19-7 win-loss record in 2020, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the U.S. Open

Shelby lost in the qualifications to Caroline Dolehide.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Osaka Rogers
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 10 9
Tot Games 92 88
Pts 343-270 302-247
Total Points 613 549
Winners 128 141
%Winners 37% 47%

Both Osaka and Rogers played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Naomi Osaka conceded 2 sets, while Shelby Rogers dropper 1 set. Osaka has played 1 set more than Rogers (10 vs 9). Therefore, Osaka played 4 games more than Rogers. Osaka scored 128 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Rogers blasted 141 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Osaka Rogers
Aces 19 19
Avg per match 4.8 4.8
1st in 160/282 201/288
%1st in 57% 70%
1st pts 128/160 141/201
%1st pts 80% 70%
2nd pts 66/122 47/87
%2nd pts 54% 54%

Osaka made 19 aces (4.8 per match). Rogers bagged 19 aces (4.8 per match). Osaka won 80% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Rogers won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Osaka Rogers
Won 17 15
Converted 17/50 15/28
% Converted 34% 54%
Conceded 18 24
Saved 15 17
% Saved 83% 71%
Times Broken 3 7

The Japanese broke her opponents 17 times with a 34% conversion rate. Osaka surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. Rogers conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.

Osaka
R1
Doi
R2
Giorgi
R3
Kostyuk
R4
Kontaveit
Total
Score 6-2 5-7 6-2 6-1 6-2 6-3 6-74 6-2 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 3 2 10
Tot Games 28 15 30 19 92
pts 96-80 62-40 116-98 69-52 343-270
Total points 176 102 214 121 613
Winners 35 26 40 27 128
%Winners 36% 42% 34% 39% 37%
SERVE
Aces 6 4 5 4 19
Double Faults 1 2 3 2 8
1st in 46/91 33/52 49/94 32/45 160/282
% 1st in 51% 63% 52% 71% 57%
1st pts 35/46 26/33 40/49 27/32 128/160
% 1st pts 76% 79% 82% 84% 80%
2nd pts 24/45 10/19 23/45 9/13 66/122
% 2nd pts 53% 53% 51% 69% 54%
Breaks
Won 5 4 5 3 17
Converted 5/11 4/7 5/21 3/11 17/50
Converted % 45% 57% 24% 27% 34%
Conceded 8 2 8 0 18
Saved 6/8 2/2 7/8 0/0 15
Saved % 75% 100% 88% 66%
Times Broken 2 0 1 0 3
Rogers
R1
Khromacheva
R2
Rybakina
R3
Brengle
R4
Kvitova
Total
Score 6-2 6-2 7-5 6-1 6-2 6-4 7-65 3-6 7-66
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 9
Tot Games 16 19 18 35 88
pts 58-28 73-53 62-45 109-121 302-247
Total points 86 126 107 230 549
Winners 24 32 25 60 141
%Winners 41% 44% 40% 55% 47%
SERVE
Aces 6 2 5 6 19
Double Faults 0 3 1 2 6
1st in 28/41 45/65 36/54 92/128 201/288
% 1st in 68% 69% 67% 72% 70%
1st pts 24/28 32/45 25/36 60/92 141/201
% 1st pts 86% 71% 69% 65% 70%
2nd pts 10/13 12/20 9/18 16/36 47/87
% 2nd pts 77% 60% 50% 44% 54%
Breaks
Won 4 4 5 2 15
Converted 4/6 4/8 5/9 2/5 15/28
Converted % 67% 50% 56% 40% 54%
Conceded 0 4 6 14 24
Saved 0/0 3/4 4/6 10/14 17
Saved % 75% 67% 71% 53%
Times Broken 0 1 2 4 7

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Osaka
LWWWLWLWLW
Rogers
LLLLLLWLWL
2024 2023 2022
22 - 18
5 - 11
13-10
Hard
2-8
1-0
I Hard
0-0
5-5
Clay
3-3
3-3
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open

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