Heather Watson and Leylah Annie Fernandez will square off in the final of the Abierto Mexicano TELCEL for the 3rd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:00 pm on ESTADIO. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Leylah Annie Fernandez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Leylah Annie Fernandez is the pick to win this match.
Leylah Annie Fernandez -> 1.80
Heather Watson -> 2.00
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Prediction and head to head Heather Watson vs. Leylah Annie Fernandez
This will be the 3rd time that Heather Watson and Leylah Annie Fernandez square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Watson (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Watson won 7-64 6-2 in the semifinal in the 1100045608 back in 2019.
Heather Watson
Ranked no. 69, Watson reached the semifinal after beating Coco Vandeweghe 4-6 6-4 6-4, Kateryna Bondarenko 7-62 6-2, Christina Mchale 6-3 1-6 6-1 and Xiyu Wang 6-4 7-66.
In the semifinal, Heather had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-4 7-66). During the match Watson scored 79 points vs Wang’s 70. Heather was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Watson blasted 8 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Heather Watson lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Watson put 60% of her first serves in, winning 67% (32/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. Heather was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Wang 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Watson has conceded 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points she played.
Watson has a winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of her matches (677-581). 11-3 on hard in 2020. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Watson has a 200-187 win-loss record in the last 10 years on hard.
Watson’s best result of the season was reaching the semi-finals in Hobart and Acapulco.
The Brit has a 12-4 win-loss record in 2020, 11-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Acapulco
The Brit didn’t compete in Acapulco in 2019.
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Ranked no. 190, the Canadian reached the semifinal after defeating Lizette Cabrera 6-3 6-1, Varvara Lepchenko 6-3 6-3, Nina Stojanovic 6-4 6-1, Nao Hibino 6-3 6-0, Anastasia Potapova 6-3 7-5 and Renata Zarazua 6-3 6-3.
In the semifinal, Annie had a good straight sets win against Zarazua (6-3 6-3). During the match Annie scored 69 points vs Zarazua’s 47. Leylah was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Annie couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Leylah Annie Fernandez lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Annie put 64% of her first serves in, winning 63% (24/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. Annie broke Zarazua 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Annie hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.
Annie has a fantastic record in the last 4 years having won 74% of her matches (128-45). 9-2 on hard in 2020. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Annie has a 66-26 win-loss record in the last 4 years on hard.
Annie’s best result of the year was getting to the semi-finals in Acapulco.
Leylah has a 10-3 win-loss record in 2020, 9-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Acapulco
The Canadian didn’t compete in Acapulco in 2019.
Live score
Follow the live score and result of this match as soon as it starts
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Watson | Annie |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 97 | 105 |
| Pts | 346-302 | 386-270 |
| Total Points | 648 | 656 |
| Winners | 129 | 143 |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% |
Watson played 4 matches while Annie competed in 6 matches. Annie started her run from the qualifications while Watson had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Heather Watson lost 2 sets while Leylah Annie Fernandez hasn’t dropped a set so far. Watson has played 2 sets less than Annie (10 vs 12). Therefore, Watson played 8 games less than Annie. Heather scored 129 winners (37% on total points). On the other side, The Canadian blasted 143 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Watson | Annie |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 183/327 | 208/357 |
| %1st in | 56% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 129/183 | 143/208 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 65/144 | 76/149 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 51% |
Watson blasted 25 aces (6.3 per match). Annie blasted 8 aces (1.3 per match). Watson won 70% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Annie won 69% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Watson | Annie |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 31 |
| Converted | 19/36 | 31/43 |
| % Converted | 53% | 72% |
| Conceded | 29 | 31 |
| Saved | 15 | 19 |
| % Saved | 52% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 14 | 12 |
Watson broke her opponents 19 times with 53% conversion rate. Heather conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded. The Canadian broke her opponents 31 times with 72% conversion rate. Annie conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded.
| Watson | ||||||
| R1 Vandeweghe |
R2 Bondarenko |
1/4 Mchale |
1/2 Wang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | 7-62 6-2 | 6-3 1-6 6-1 | 6-4 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 97 | |
| pts | 104-98 | 81-65 | 82-69 | 79-70 | 346-302 | |
| Total points | 202 | 146 | 151 | 149 | 648 | |
| Winners | 38 | 25 | 34 | 32 | 129 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 31% | 41% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 55/96 | 35/76 | 45/75 | 48/80 | 183/327 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 46% | 60% | 60% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 38/55 | 25/35 | 34/45 | 32/48 | 129/183 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 71% | 76% | 67% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/41 | 17/41 | 13/30 | 16/32 | 65/144 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 41% | 43% | 50% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 6/9 | 4/8 | 4/4 | 19/36 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 67% | 50% | 100% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 29 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 4/8 | 2/5 | 4/7 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 50% | 40% | 57% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 250 | |
| Annie | ||||||||
| Q1 Cabrera |
Q3 Lepchenko |
R1 Stojanovic |
R2 Hibino |
1/4 Potapova |
1/2 Zarazua |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-3 6-0 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 21 | 18 | 105 | |
| pts | 60-40 | 63-46 | 57-43 | 63-32 | 74-62 | 69-47 | 386-270 | |
| Total points | 100 | 109 | 100 | 95 | 136 | 116 | 656 | |
| Winners | 25 | 18 | 18 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 29% | 32% | 38% | 46% | 35% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 25 | |
| 1st in | 32/59 | 27/54 | 29/55 | 37/57 | 45/73 | 38/59 | 208/357 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 50% | 53% | 65% | 62% | 64% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 25/32 | 18/27 | 18/29 | 24/37 | 34/45 | 24/38 | 143/208 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 67% | 62% | 65% | 76% | 63% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/27 | 14/27 | 14/26 | 14/20 | 12/28 | 11/21 | 76/149 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 52% | 54% | 70% | 43% | 52% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 31 | |
| Converted | 5/5 | 6/11 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/7 | 6/10 | 31/43 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 55% | 100% | 100% | 57% | 60% | 72% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 31 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 3/6 | 1/3 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 50% | 33% | 80% | 60% | 40% | 87% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 100 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Heather WatsonWatson (0-2) – See H2H details
