Gonzalo Bueno and Carlos Maria Zarate will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Guayaquil Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on Court 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gonzalo Bueno who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gonzalo Bueno is the pick to win this match.
Gonzalo Bueno -> 1.44
Carlos Maria Zarate -> 2.55
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Gonzalo Bueno vs. Carlos Maria Zarate
There is no head to head record between Gonzalo Bueno and Carlos Maria Zarate since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Gonzalo Bueno
34 - 28win/loss
197
160
WLWLWLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34-28 | 3-3 | 31-22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 44-32 | 0-0 | 44-32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-31 | 0-2 | 35-28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-28 | 2-1 | 38-27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 197, the Peruvian reached the 2nd round after beating Alex Barrena 7-6(1) 6-3.
In the 1st round, Gonzalo had a good straight sets win against Barrena (7-61 6-3). During the match, Bueno scored 68 points vs Barrena’s 55. Bueno was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bueno was unable to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Gonzalo Bueno lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Bueno put 68% of his first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the 2nd serve. Gonzalo broke Barrena 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Bueno has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 56% of his matches (177-140). 31-22 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bueno has a composed172-130 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Peruvian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Campinas Challenger and the Liberec Challenger.
Bueno has a composed 34-28 win-loss record in 2026, 31-22 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guayaquil Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024 and 2025. See his history.
Carlos Maria Zarate
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 47-23 | 0-0 | 42-23 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 48-31 | 1-1 | 47-29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 15-18 | 5-8 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 340 (career-high), Maria reached the 2nd round after beating Alan Magadan 7-5 6-1.
In the 1st round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Magadan (7-5 6-1). During the match Maria scored 65 points vs Magadan’s 49. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Maria struck 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Carlos Maria Zarate was pretty efficient on serve to win 76% (28/37) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Carlos broke Magadan 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
The Argentine’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Lujan,M15 San Salvador de Jujuy and M15 Trelew.
Carlos has a compiled 47-23 win-loss record in 2026, 42-23 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guayaquil Challenger
Maria has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bueno | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 |
| Pts | 68-55 | 65-49 |
| Total Points | 123 | 114 |
| Winners | 29 | 28 |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% |
Both Bueno and Maria played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bueno and Maria have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Bueno played 3 games more than Maria. The Peruvian scored 29 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Carlos fired 28 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bueno | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 4 |
| 1st in | 43/63 | 37/56 |
| %1st in | 68% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 29/43 | 28/37 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/19 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 58% |
Bueno didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Maria bagged 4 aces . Bueno won 67% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Maria won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bueno | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 80% | 50% |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 |
| Saved | 1 | 2 |
| % Saved | 25% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
The Peruvian broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Peruvian dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Carlos conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bueno | |||
| R1 Barrena |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 68-55 | 68-55 | |
| Total points | 123 | 123 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 43/63 | 43/63 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 29/43 | 29/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Maria | |||
| R1 Magadan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 65-49 | 65-49 | |
| Total points | 114 | 114 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 37/56 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 28/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 11/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Guayaquil Challenger
- Carlos Maria ZarateMaria Zarate – Alan MagadanMagadan (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Lorenzo ClaverieClaverie (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Mateo Del PinoDel Pino (6-1 5-7 6-0) – See score progression
- Joaquin Aguilar CardozoAguilar Cardozo – Miguel TobonTobon (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez – Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Boris Arias/Ignacio CarouArias/Ignacio Carou – Emilio Camacho/Angel VelizCamacho/Angel Veliz (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Gonzalo BuenoBueno – Alex BarrenaBarrena (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Valerio AboianAboian – Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli (6-3 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera – Juan EstevezEstevez (6-2 7-612) – See score progression
- Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Nick HardtHardt – Juan Manuel La SernaManuel La Serna (6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Lautaro MidonMidon – Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Emilio CamachoCamacho – Angel VelizVeliz (7-66 7-64) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Federico CoriaCoria (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Diego DeduraDedura – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (7-5 7-63) – See score progression
- Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo – Pedro Boscardin DiasBoscardin Dias (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez – Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Lorenzo ClaverieClaverie (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Joaquin Aguilar CardozoAguilar Cardozo – Miguel TobonTobon (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Mateo Del PinoDel Pino (6-1 5-7 6-0) – See score progression
- Carlos Maria ZarateMaria Zarate – Alan MagadanMagadan (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nick HardtHardt – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano (0-0) – H2H and prediction
