Maria Timofeeva and Xinran Sun will play each other in the 2nd round of the Guangzhou Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:30 pm on Center Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Timofeeva who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maria Timofeeva is the pick to win this match.
Maria Timofeeva -> 1.7
Xinran Sun -> 2.14
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Maria Timofeeva vs. Xinran Sun
There is no head to head record between Maria Timofeeva and Xinran Sun since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Maria Timofeeva
39 - 18win/loss
72
63
WLWWWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39-18 | 17-11 | 18-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 44-29 | 16-8 | 20-13 | 8-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-21 | 14-10 | 4-8 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-19 | 15-6 | 10-6 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-21 | 21-11 | 7-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 72, Maria got to the 2nd round after defeating Teodora Kostovic 6-4 6-1.
In the 1st round, Maria had a good straight sets win against Kostovic (6-4 6-1). During the match, Timofeeva scored 62 points vs Kostovic’s 44. Timofeeva was extremely aggressive to blast 15 winners.
Regarding the service games, Timofeeva scored 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Maria Timofeeva lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Timofeeva put 54% of her first serves in, winning 56% (15/27) of the points behind her 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the 2nd serve. Timofeeva broke Kostovic 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).
Timofeeva has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 63% of her matches (243-140). 17-11 on hard in 2026. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Timofeeva has an aggregate133-66 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the W75 Chiasso where she beat Lisa Pigato in the final 6-2 6-3 and the Istanbul where she defeated Donna Vekic in the final 6-4 6-2 and the Makarska where she beat Darja Semenistaja in the final 6-2 6-3 and the Porto where she overcame Reese Brantmeier in the final 7-6(8) 6-2.
The Uzbek has an overall 39-18 win-loss record in 2026, 17-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Guangzhou
The Uzbek has never competed in this tournament before.
Xinran Sun
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13-8 | 6-2 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 13-3 | 10-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 405 (career-high), Xinran reached the 2nd round after defeating Mananchaya Sawangkaew 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, Sun had a good straight sets win against Sawangkaew (6-3 6-4). During the match Sun scored 69 points vs Sawangkaew’s 52. The Chinese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Sun struck 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Xinran Sun lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sun put 53% of her first serves in, winning 65% (20/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the 2nd serve. Xinran broke Sawangkaew 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Sun has a composed 13-8 win-loss record in 2026, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Timofeeva | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 |
| Pts | 62-44 | 69-52 |
| Total Points | 106 | 121 |
| Winners | 15 | 20 |
| %Winners | 24% | 29% |
Both Timofeeva and Sun played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Timofeeva and Sun have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Timofeeva played 2 games less than Sun. Timofeeva scored 15 winners (24% of the total points). On the other side, Xinran bagged 20 winners (29%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Timofeeva | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3 |
| 1st in | 27/50 | 31/58 |
| %1st in | 54% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 15/27 | 20/31 |
| %1st pts | 56% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 16/27 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 59% |
Timofeeva blasted 2 aces . Sun scored 3 aces . Timofeeva won 56% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Sun won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Timofeeva | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/9 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Saved | 3 | 1 |
| % Saved | 60% | 25% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Uzbek broke her opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Timofeeva surrendered her serve twice and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. The Chinese broke her opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 25% of the break points that she conceded.
| Timofeeva | |||
| R1 Kostovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 62-44 | 62-44 | |
| Total points | 106 | 106 | |
| Winners | 15 | 15 | |
| %Winners | 24% | 24% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 27/50 | 27/50 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 15/27 | 15/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 56% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 15/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Sun | |||
| R1 Sawangkaew |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 69-52 | 69-52 | |
| Total points | 121 | 121 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 31/58 | 31/58 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 20/31 | 20/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/27 | 16/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
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