Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Alejandro Hernandez will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Guayaquil Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:30 pm on Court 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.078
Juan Alejandro Hernandez -> 6.25
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Juan Alejandro Hernandez
There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Alejandro Hernandez since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
23 - 25win/loss
75
43
WLWLLLLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 23-25 | 4-12 | 19-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 33-29 | 5-9 | 27-14 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 75, Ugo Carabelli reached the 2nd round after beating Federico Coria 7-5 6-2.
In the 1st round, Ugo Carabelli had a good straight sets win against Coria (7-5 6-2). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 66 points vs Coria’s 47. The Argentine was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli recorded 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Camilo Ugo Carabelli was extremely effective on serve to win 93% (25/27) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Camilo broke Coria 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (380-235). 19-12 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate 341-179 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Rosario Challenger where he overcame Roman Andres Burruchaga in the final 6-2 6-3.
The Argentine has a composed 23-25 win-loss record in 2026, 19-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guayaquil Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
28 - 26win/loss
497
409
WWWLLLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28-26 | 16-15 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 32-31 | 13-11 | 15-18 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-17 | 13-8 | 11-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-26 | 19-18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 497, Alejandro Hernandez got to the 2nd round after beating Jose Pereira 6-1 1-0 ret., Filip Misolic 6-4 6-4 and Alvaro Guillen Meza 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, Juan had a good straight sets win against Guillen Meza (6-4 6-3). During the match Alejandro Hernandez scored 70 points vs Guillen Meza’s 61. The Mexican was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Alejandro Hernandez scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Juan Alejandro Hernandez lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Alejandro Hernandez put 68% of his first serves in, winning 67% (32/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the 2nd serve. Juan broke Guillen Meza 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Juan’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Brasilia.
The Mexican has an overall 28-26 win-loss record in 2026, 12-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guayaquil Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Alejandro Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 47 |
| Pts | 66-47 | 174-131 |
| Total Points | 113 | 305 |
| Winners | 25 | 66 |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% |
Ugo Carabelli played 1 match while Alejandro Hernandez competed in 3 matches. Alejandro Hernandez started his run from the qualifications while Ugo Carabelli had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 5 set(s) less than Alejandro Hernandez (2 vs 7). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 27 games less than Alejandro Hernandez. Camilo scored 25 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Juan bagged 66 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Alejandro Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 27/54 | 89/147 |
| %1st in | 50% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 25/27 | 66/89 |
| %1st pts | 93% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 32/58 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 55% |
Ugo Carabelli made 5 aces . Alejandro Hernandez bagged 4 aces (1.3 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 93% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Alejandro Hernandez won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Alejandro Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 11 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 11/25 |
| % Converted | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded | 2 | 13 |
| Saved | 1 | 9 |
| % Saved | 50% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Camilo broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Camilo dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Alejandro Hernandez broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Mexican conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||
| R1 Coria |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 66-47 | 66-47 | |
| Total points | 113 | 113 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/54 | 27/54 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 25/27 | 25/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 93% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 14/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Alejandro Hernandez | |||||
| Q1 Pereira |
Q3 Misolic |
R1 Guillen Meza |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 1-0 ret. | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 8 | 20 | 19 | 47 | |
| pts | 36-17 | 68-53 | 70-61 | 174-131 | |
| Total points | 53 | 121 | 131 | 305 | |
| Winners | 7 | 27 | 32 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 19% | 40% | 46% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 9/20 | 32/56 | 48/71 | 89/147 | |
| % 1st in | 45% | 57% | 68% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 7/9 | 27/32 | 32/48 | 66/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 84% | 67% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/11 | 14/24 | 12/23 | 32/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 58% | 52% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/10 | 4/9 | 11/25 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 30% | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 3/4 | 5/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 71% | 196% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Guayaquil Challenger
- Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez – Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Boris Arias/Ignacio CarouArias/Ignacio Carou – Emilio Camacho/Angel VelizCamacho/Angel Veliz (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Lorenzo ClaverieClaverie (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Mateo Del PinoDel Pino (6-1 5-7 6-0) – See score progression
- Carlos Maria ZarateMaria Zarate – Alan MagadanMagadan (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Joaquin Aguilar CardozoAguilar Cardozo – Miguel TobonTobon (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Nick HardtHardt – Juan Manuel La SernaManuel La Serna (6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Federico CoriaCoria (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Diego DeduraDedura – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (7-5 7-63) – See score progression
- Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo – Pedro Boscardin DiasBoscardin Dias (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Gonzalo BuenoBueno – Alex BarrenaBarrena (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Emilio CamachoCamacho – Angel VelizVeliz (7-66 7-64) – See score progression
- Valerio AboianAboian – Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli (6-3 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera – Juan EstevezEstevez (6-2 7-612) – See score progression
- Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Lautaro MidonMidon – Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez – Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Lorenzo ClaverieClaverie (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Joaquin Aguilar CardozoAguilar Cardozo – Miguel TobonTobon (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Mateo Del PinoDel Pino (6-1 5-7 6-0) – See score progression
- Carlos Maria ZarateMaria Zarate – Alan MagadanMagadan (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nick HardtHardt – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano (0-0) – H2H and prediction
