Alexander Zverev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:30 pm on Stadium Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.25
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 3.9
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 8th time that Alexander Zverev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina fight against each other. The head to head is 6-1 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Zverev won 6-2 6-4 in the 3rd round in Paris back in 2025.
Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Paris 30-October-2025
Alexander Zverev
62 - 15win/loss
2
2
WWWWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 62-15 | 30-8 | 20-4 | 3-1 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 57-25 | 24-9 | 18-7 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Zverev got to the semifinal after beating Yibing Wu 6-4 7-6(4), Quentin Halys 6-4 6-7(8) 6-3, Alexander Bublik 7-6(6) 4-6 7-6(1) and Alex De Minaur 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, Alexander had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (6-4 6-4). During the match, Zverev scored 58 points vs De Minaur’s 46. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zverev scored 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alexander Zverev was quite effective on serve to win 80% (35/44) of his 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Zverev was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break De Minaur twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Zverev has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
ATP Shanghai - Alexander Zverev's projected path
Zverev has an extraordinary record in the last 10 years having won 73% of his matches (520-190). 30-8 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Zverev has an overall 221-83 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title at the French Open where he defeated Flavio Cobolli in the final 6-1 4-6 6-4 6-7(5) 6-1 and at the U.S. Open where he overcame Ben Shelton in the final 6-3 7-6(2) 5-7 6-2.
Alexander has an overall 62-15 win-loss record in 2026, 30-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2019. See his history.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
31 - 16win/loss
26
14
WWWWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31-16 | 15-7 | 5-5 | 2-1 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 44-26 | 22-14 | 9-6 | 8-4 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, Davidovich Fokina got to the semifinal after defeating Jenson Brooksby 6-1 6-3, Frances Tiafoe 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(6), Hubert Hurkacz 1-6 6-3 7-6(6) and Arthur Gea 4-1 ret..
In the quarter against Gea, the Spaniard had a free pass after Gea retired on a 4-1 . scoreline.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Mallorca where he overcame Ethan Quinn in the final 7-6(4) 6-3 and in Chengdu where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 7-6(7).
The Spaniard has an aggregate 31-16 win-loss record in 2026, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 111 | 86 |
| Pts | 350-303 | 289-265 |
| Total Points | 653 | 554 |
| Winners | 195 | 136 |
| %Winners | 56% | 47% |
Both Zverev and Davidovich Fokina played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Zverev conceded 2 sets, while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Zverev and Davidovich Fokina have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Zverev played 25 games more than Davidovich Fokina. Alexander scored 195 winners (56% of the total points). On the other side, Davidovich Fokina made 136 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 49 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 12.3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 243/314 | 196/282 |
| %1st in | 77% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 195/243 | 136/196 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 43/71 | 53/86 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 62% |
Zverev fired 49 aces (12.3 per match). Davidovich Fokina bagged 16 aces (4 per match). Zverev won 80% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 9 |
| Converted | 7/22 | 9/16 |
| % Converted | 32% | 56% |
| Conceded | 9 | 21 |
| Saved | 6 | 16 |
| % Saved | 67% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
The German broke his opponents 7 times with a 32% conversion rate. The German lost his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Davidovich Fokina broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Davidovich Fokina conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zverev | ||||||
| R2 Wu |
R3 Halys |
R4 Bublik |
1/4 De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 | 6-4 6-78 6-3 | 7-66 4-6 7-61 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 32 | 36 | 20 | 111 | |
| pts | 70-57 | 104-94 | 118-106 | 58-46 | 350-303 | |
| Total points | 127 | 198 | 224 | 104 | 653 | |
| Winners | 35 | 62 | 63 | 35 | 195 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 60% | 53% | 60% | 56% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 19 | 15 | 10 | 49 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 43/60 | 78/98 | 78/101 | 44/55 | 243/314 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 80% | 77% | 80% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 35/43 | 62/78 | 63/78 | 35/44 | 195/243 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 79% | 81% | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 11/20 | 13/23 | 7/11 | 43/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 55% | 57% | 64% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/9 | 1/6 | 2/2 | 7/22 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 22% | 17% | 100% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 5/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 33% | 100% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Davidovich Fokina | ||||||
| R2 Brooksby |
R3 Tiafoe |
R4 Hurkacz |
1/4 Gea |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 7-64 4-6 7-66 | 1-6 6-3 7-66 | 4-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 36 | 29 | 5 | 86 | |
| pts | 65-46 | 114-112 | 88-99 | 22-8 | 289-265 | |
| Total points | 111 | 226 | 187 | 30 | 554 | |
| Winners | 27 | 52 | 49 | 8 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 46% | 56% | 36% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 39/50 | 71/112 | 77/107 | 9/13 | 196/282 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 63% | 72% | 69% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 27/39 | 52/71 | 49/77 | 8/9 | 136/196 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 73% | 64% | 89% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/11 | 28/41 | 16/30 | 3/4 | 53/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 68% | 53% | 75% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 2/5 | 9/16 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 0% | 100% | 40% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 21 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 6/7 | 9/12 | 0/0 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 86% | 75% | – | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Rafael JodarJodar – Casper RuudRuud (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Tommy PaulPaul (6-3 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Lucas Miedler/Neil OberleitnerMiedler/Neil Oberleitner – Marc Polmans/Jan ZielinskiPolmans/Jan Zielinski (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Arthur GeaGea (4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner – Christian Harrison/Neal SkupskiHarrison/Neal Skupski (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco Cabral/James TracyCabral/James Tracy – Robert Galloway/Andre GoranssonGalloway/Andre Goransson (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Theo Arribage/Albano OlivettiArribage/Albano Olivetti – Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Rafael JodarJodar – Casper RuudRuud (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Tommy PaulPaul (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-1) – H2H and prediction
