Iga Swiatek and Maja Chwalinska will face off in the semifinal of the Wuhan Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:30 pm on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.117
Maja Chwalinska -> 6.2
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Maja Chwalinska
This will be the 2nd time that Iga Swiatek and Maja Chwalinska play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Swiatek won 6-2 6-3 in the 2nd round in Stockholm back in 2016.
Iga Swiatek
42 - 15win/loss
9
1
WWWLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42-15 | 31-9 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Swiatek got to the semifinal after defeating Magdalena Frech 6-2 6-1, Ashlyn Krueger 6-1 6-4 and Ann Li 6-4 6-1.
In the quarter, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Li (6-4 6-1). During the match, Swiatek scored 66 points vs Li’s 47. The Pole was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek was unable to score even 1 ace in the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Iga Swiatek was very efficient on serve to win 74% (29/39) of her 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Swiatek broke Li 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Iga hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 58% of the points she played.
WTA Wuhan - Iga Swiatek's projected path
Swiatek has a superlative record in the last 10 years having won 81% of her matches (445-106). 31-9 on hard in 2026. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has an overall 233-61 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Toronto where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 6-2 6-3.
Swiatek has a compiled 42-15 win-loss record in 2026, 31-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wuhan
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2025. See her history.
Maja Chwalinska
37 - 17win/loss
22
21
WWWWLLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37-17 | 8-7 | 19-6 | 10-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 29-21 | 4-2 | 23-15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| 2024 | 48-21 | 12-6 | 27-10 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 8-6 | 12-10 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-15 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 5-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, the Pole got to the semifinal after defeating Mayar Sherif 6-3 6-2, Marie Bouzkova 1-6 6-1 6-1, Iva Jovic 6-4 6-1 and Maria Sakkari 6-0 3-6 7-5.
In the quarter, Chwalinska defeated Sakkari (6-0 3-6 7-5). During the match Chwalinska scored 98 points vs Sakkari’s 85. Chwalinska was exceptionally aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, Chwalinska couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Maja Chwalinska was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (45/63) of her 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Chwalinska broke Sakkari 4 times after converting 27% of her break points (4/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maja has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
WTA Wuhan - Maja Chwalinska's projected path
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title the Oeiras where she beat Sinja Kraus in the final 6-1 6-3.
Chwalinska has a compiled 37-17 win-loss record in 2026, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wuhan
Maja has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Chwalinska |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 82 |
| Pts | 210-151 | 300-244 |
| Total Points | 361 | 544 |
| Winners | 92 | 131 |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% |
Swiatek played 3 matches while Chwalinska competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Maja Chwalinska conceded 2 sets while Iga Swiatek hasn’t conceded a set so far. Swiatek has played 4 set(s) less than Chwalinska (6 vs 10). Therefore, Swiatek played 33 games less than Chwalinska. Iga scored 92 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Pole blasted 131 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Chwalinska |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 142/192 | 195/265 |
| %1st in | 74% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 92/142 | 131/195 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 29/50 | 42/70 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 60% |
Swiatek blasted 1 ace (0.3 per match). Chwalinska also made 5 aces (1.3 per match). Swiatek won 65% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Chwalinska won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Chwalinska |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 18 |
| Converted | 14/31 | 18/38 |
| % Converted | 45% | 47% |
| Conceded | 20 | 15 |
| Saved | 17 | 10 |
| % Saved | 85% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
The Pole broke her opponents 14 times with a 45% conversion rate. Iga dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 85% of the break points that she conceded. Chwalinska broke her opponents 18 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Pole conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||||
| R2 Frech |
R3 Krueger |
1/4 Li |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 17 | 49 | |
| pts | 73-51 | 71-53 | 66-47 | 210-151 | |
| Total points | 124 | 124 | 113 | 361 | |
| Winners | 25 | 38 | 29 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 54% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 41/59 | 62/79 | 39/54 | 142/192 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 78% | 72% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 25/41 | 38/62 | 29/39 | 92/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 61% | 74% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 10/17 | 9/15 | 29/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 59% | 60% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 4/6 | 4/9 | 14/31 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 67% | 44% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 8 | 3 | 20 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 7/8 | 3/3 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 88% | 100% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Chwalinska | ||||||
| R1 Sherif |
R2 Bouzkova |
R3 Jovic |
1/4 Sakkari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 1-6 6-1 6-1 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-0 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 21 | 17 | 27 | 82 | |
| pts | 59-41 | 74-63 | 69-55 | 98-85 | 300-244 | |
| Total points | 100 | 137 | 124 | 183 | 544 | |
| Winners | 34 | 29 | 23 | 45 | 131 | |
| %Winners | 58% | 39% | 33% | 46% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 46/56 | 48/65 | 38/63 | 63/81 | 195/265 | |
| % 1st in | 82% | 74% | 60% | 78% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 34/46 | 29/48 | 23/38 | 45/63 | 131/195 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 60% | 61% | 71% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/10 | 9/17 | 16/25 | 11/18 | 42/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 53% | 64% | 61% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 6/11 | 5/7 | 4/15 | 18/38 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 55% | 71% | 27% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/7 | 1/2 | 4/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 57% | 50% | 80% | 96% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Wuhan
- Gabriela Dabrowski/Luisa StefaniDabrowski/Luisa Stefani – Ingrid Neel/Giuliana OlmosNeel/Giuliana Olmos (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Maja ChwalinskaChwalinska – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-0 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (7-66 6-1) – See score progression
- Cristina Bucsa/Nicole MelicharBucsa/Nicole Melichar – Su-Wei Hsieh/Jelena OstapenkoHsieh/Jelena Ostapenko (w/o) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ann LiLi (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Storm Hunter/Katerina SiniakovaHunter/Katerina Siniakova – Hanyu Guo/Kristina MladenovicGuo/Kristina Mladenovic (6-4 2-6 10-1) – See score progression
- Sonay KartalKartal – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-2 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ann LiLi (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Maja ChwalinskaChwalinska – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-0 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Sonay KartalKartal – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-2 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Maja ChwalinskaChwalinska (1-0) – H2H and prediction
