Hugo Gaston and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will square off in the quarter of the Roanne Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:30 pm on Court 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Gaston who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hugo Gaston is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Gaston -> 1.727
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer -> 1.97
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
This will be the 4th time that Hugo Gaston and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Budkov (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Budkov won 6-2 3-6 6-4 in the qualifications in Cincinnati back in August 2026.
Hugo Gaston
33 - 27win/loss
89
58
WWLLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-27 | 9-9 | 12-12 | 9-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 30-31 | 9-12 | 6-14 | 15-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-31 | 5-12 | 15-11 | 8-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 6-5 | 30-18 | 8-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 16-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 89, Gaston reached the quarter after beating Daniel Jade 6-1 6-1 and Pierre-Hugues Herbert 3-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Herbert, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Gaston and Herbert scored the same amount of points (83). However, the world no. 89 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Hugo was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gaston made 4 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Hugo Gaston lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Gaston put 69% of his first serves in, winning 63% (38/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (18/27) on the 2nd serve. Hugo broke Herbert 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
ATP Roanne Challenger - Hugo Gaston's projected path
Gaston has winning record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (300-238). 9-4 on indoor hard courts in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Gaston has an overall 87-62 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Hugo’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Braunschweig Challenger.
Hugo has an aggregate 33-27 win-loss record in 2026, 9-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Roanne Challenger
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2022. See his history.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
31 - 30win/loss
152
118
WWLWLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31-30 | 10-10 | 10-9 | 9-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 52-29 | 7-2 | 18-12 | 24-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-11 | 5-5 | 19-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 152, the Norwegian got to the quarter after beating Jakub Paul 6-4 7-5 and Moise Kouame 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Budkov had a good straight sets win against Kouame (6-4 6-2). During the match Budkov scored 67 points vs Kouame’s 55. Budkov was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Budkov bagged 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Budkov put 60% of his first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (9/22) on the 2nd serve. Budkov broke Kouame 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Norwegian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
ATP Roanne Challenger - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's projected path
Nicolai’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Thionville Challenger.
The Norwegian has an overall 31-30 win-loss record in 2026, 9-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Roanne Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gaston | Budkov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 40 |
| Pts | 138-114 | 145-126 |
| Total Points | 252 | 271 |
| Winners | 52 | 62 |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% |
Both Gaston and Budkov played 2 matches. At the moment, Hugo Gaston surrendered 1 set while Nicolai Budkov Kjaer hasn’t lost a set so far. Gaston has played 1 set more than Budkov (5 vs 4). Therefore, Gaston played 2 games more than Budkov. Hugo scored 52 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Nicolai bagged 62 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gaston | Budkov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 6 |
| 1st in | 80/128 | 82/129 |
| %1st in | 63% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 52/80 | 62/82 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 33/48 | 17/47 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 36% |
Gaston struck 5 aces (2.5 per match). Budkov blasted 12 aces (6 per match). Gaston won 65% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Budkov won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 36% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gaston | Budkov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 10 |
| Converted | 8/18 | 10/21 |
| % Converted | 44% | 48% |
| Conceded | 9 | 14 |
| Saved | 7 | 9 |
| % Saved | 78% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Hugo broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The French player dropped his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. The Norwegian broke his opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Norwegian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gaston | ||||
| R1 Jade |
R2 Herbert |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 28 | 42 | |
| pts | 55-31 | 83-83 | 138-114 | |
| Total points | 86 | 166 | 252 | |
| Winners | 14 | 38 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 25% | 46% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 20/41 | 60/87 | 80/128 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 69% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 14/20 | 38/60 | 52/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 63% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 18/27 | 33/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 67% | 69% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 3/8 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 7/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 78% | 39% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Budkov | ||||
| R1 Paul |
R2 Kouame |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 18 | 40 | |
| pts | 78-71 | 67-55 | 145-126 | |
| Total points | 149 | 122 | 271 | |
| Winners | 39 | 23 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 34% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 49/74 | 33/55 | 82/129 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 60% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 39/49 | 23/33 | 62/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 70% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/25 | 9/22 | 17/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 32% | 41% | 36% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 6/13 | 10/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 46% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 3/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Roanne Challenger
- Romain Arneodo/Hendrik JebensArneodo/Hendrik Jebens – David Pel/John-Patrick SmithPel/John-Patrick Smith (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ariel Behar/Joshua ParisBehar/Joshua Paris – Jakub Paul/Matej VocelPaul/Matej Vocel (7-68 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Matteo MartineauMartineau – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GastonGaston – (1-2) – H2H and prediction
