Tommy Paul and Zizou Bergs will face off in the 4th round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 8:30 pm on Stadium Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.45
Zizou Bergs -> 2.73
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Zizou Bergs
This will be the 2nd time that Tommy Paul and Zizou Bergs fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Paul won 6-1 6-2 in the 2nd round in Indian wells back in March 2026.
Tommy Paul
41 - 18win/loss
17
8
WWLLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 41-18 | 22-11 | 12-4 | 1-1 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 29-13 | 13-6 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, the American got to the 4th round after beating Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 6-2 6-2 and Valentin Vacherot 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Tommy had a good straight sets win against Vacherot (6-4 6-2). During the match, Paul scored 67 points vs Vacherot’s 52. The American was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paul made 4 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Tommy Paul lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 63% of his first serves in, winning 74% (29/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Paul broke Vacherot 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paul hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 59% of the points he played.
ATP Shanghai - Tommy Paul's projected path
Paul has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (387-204). 22-11 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has a composed 203-106 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Houston where he overcame Roman Andres Burruchaga in the final 6-1 3-6 7-5.
The American has a composed 41-18 win-loss record in 2026, 22-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.
Zizou Bergs
28 - 24win/loss
39
33
WWWLLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28-24 | 13-12 | 8-8 | 0-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 33-29 | 20-16 | 2-5 | 7-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-29 | 9-9 | 17-7 | 15-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-27 | 8-7 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-30 | 7-5 | 7-7 | 17-16 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 39, Zizou got to the 4th round after beating Vit Kopriva 6-3 6-1, Ignacio Buse 6-0 6-3 and Carlos Alcaraz 7-5 7-6(4).
In the 3rd round, Bergs had a good straight sets win against Alcaraz (7-5 7-64). During the match Bergs scored 81 points vs Alcaraz’s 73. Bergs was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Bergs struck 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Zizou Bergs lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Bergs put 63% of his first serves in, winning 79% (37/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Alcaraz 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Zizou hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
ATP Shanghai - Zizou Bergs's projected path
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Eastbourne where he beat Ugo Humbert in the final 3-6 6-1 6-4.
Zizou has an overall 28-24 win-loss record in 2026, 13-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 56 |
| Pts | 127-89 | 205-151 |
| Total Points | 216 | 356 |
| Winners | 46 | 87 |
| %Winners | 36% | 42% |
Paul played 2 matches while Bergs competed in 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Paul has played 2 set(s) less than Bergs (4 vs 6). Therefore, Paul played 22 games less than Bergs. The American scored 46 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Bergs recorded 87 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 61/104 | 106/161 |
| %1st in | 59% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 46/61 | 87/106 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 21/43 | 27/55 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 49% |
Paul struck 9 aces (4.5 per match). Bergs scored 19 aces (6.3 per match). Paul won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Bergs won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 12 |
| Converted | 10/16 | 12/27 |
| % Converted | 63% | 44% |
| Conceded | 12 | 4 |
| Saved | 9 | 2 |
| % Saved | 75% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
The American broke his opponents 10 times with a 63% conversion rate. Tommy surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Zizou broke his opponents 12 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Belgian conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | ||||
| R2 Daniel |
R3 Vacherot |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 | 34 | |
| pts | 60-37 | 67-52 | 127-89 | |
| Total points | 97 | 119 | 216 | |
| Winners | 17 | 29 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 43% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 22/42 | 39/62 | 61/104 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 63% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 17/22 | 29/39 | 46/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 74% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 11/23 | 21/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 48% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 4/6 | 10/16 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 67% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 6/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 86% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Bergs | |||||
| R1 Kopriva |
R2 Buse |
R3 Alcaraz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-0 6-3 | 7-5 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 15 | 25 | 56 | |
| pts | 66-41 | 58-37 | 81-73 | 205-151 | |
| Total points | 107 | 95 | 154 | 356 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | 37 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% | 46% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 3 | 9 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 30/43 | 29/43 | 47/75 | 106/161 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 67% | 63% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 25/29 | 37/47 | 87/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 86% | 79% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/13 | 5/14 | 14/28 | 27/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 36% | 50% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 5/9 | 3/4 | 12/27 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 56% | 75% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Zizou BergsBergs – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (7-5 7-64) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-3 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Rafael JodarJodar – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (4-6 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Learner TienTien (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Arthur FilsFils (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Valentin VacherotVacherot (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Taylor FritzFritz (3-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-64 4-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Arthur GeaGea – Ben SheltonShelton (7-65 7-63) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-77 6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-78 6-3) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-3 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Rei SakamotoSakamoto (7-66 6-4) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Yi ZhouZhou (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (10-5) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alexander BublikBublik (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-5) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Zizou BergsBergs (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (4-6) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (2-2) – H2H and prediction
