Frances Tiafoe and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 8:30 pm on Stadium Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Frances Tiafoe who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Frances Tiafoe is the pick to win this match.
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.7
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 2.14
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 5th time that Frances Tiafoe and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Tiafoe (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Tiafoe won 7-5 7-6(5) in the 2nd round in Miami back in 2025.
Highlights Frances Tiafoe vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Miami 22-March-2025
Frances Tiafoe
44 - 18win/loss
8
8
WLWLWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44-18 | 27-11 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 26-23 | 13-13 | 11-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-27 | 21-13 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-21 | 21-10 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-25 | 19-11 | 8-6 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8 (career-high), the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Yannick Hanfmann 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Hanfmann (6-4 6-4). During the match, Tiafoe scored 58 points vs Hanfmann’s 51. Francis was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tiafoe bagged 5 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Frances Tiafoe was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (26/34) of his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Francis was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Hanfmann 3 times.
ATP Shanghai - Frances Tiafoe's projected path
Tiafoe has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (325-237). 27-11 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Tiafoe has a compiled 170-117 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Halle where he beat Taylor Fritz in the final 6-4 6-4.
The American has a compiled 44-18 win-loss record in 2026, 27-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See his history.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
28 - 16win/loss
26
14
WLWWWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28-16 | 12-7 | 5-5 | 2-1 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 44-26 | 22-14 | 9-6 | 8-4 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, Alejandro reached the 3rd round after defeating Jenson Brooksby 6-1 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Alejandro had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (6-1 6-3). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 65 points vs Brooksby’s 46. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Davidovich Fokina blasted 5 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Davidovich Fokina put 78% of his first serves in, winning 69% (27/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (6/11) on the 2nd serve. Alejandro broke Brooksby 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
ATP Shanghai - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's projected path
His best result of the year was winning the title in Mallorca where he beat Ethan Quinn in the final 7-6(4) 6-3 and in Chengdu where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 7-6(7).
Davidovich Fokina has an aggregate 28-16 win-loss record in 2026, 12-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tiafoe | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 16 |
| Pts | 58-51 | 65-46 |
| Total Points | 109 | 111 |
| Winners | 26 | 27 |
| %Winners | 45% | 42% |
Both Tiafoe and Davidovich Fokina played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Tiafoe and Davidovich Fokina have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Tiafoe played 4 games more than Davidovich Fokina. The American scored 26 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Davidovich Fokina recorded 27 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tiafoe | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 34/59 | 39/50 |
| %1st in | 58% | 78% |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 27/39 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 6/11 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 55% |
Tiafoe bagged 5 aces . Davidovich Fokina blasted 5 aces . Tiafoe won 76% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tiafoe | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/3 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 100% | 63% |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Saved | 2 | 1 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Tiafoe broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. The American lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Alejandro broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tiafoe | |||
| R2 Hanfmann |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 58-51 | 58-51 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 34/59 | 34/59 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 26/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 15/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 3/3 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Davidovich Fokina | |||
| R2 Brooksby |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 65-46 | 65-46 | |
| Total points | 111 | 111 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 39/50 | 39/50 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 27/39 | 27/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (4-6 7-61 7-5) – See score progression
- Rafael JodarJodar – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (4-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Arthur GeaGea – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Alex MolcanMolcan (w/o) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Quentin HalysHalys – Alexander BlockxBlockx (4-6 7-69 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Tomas MachacMachac (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Arthur FeryFery (7-66 6-75 7-62) – See score progression
- Yi ZhouZhou – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (7-67 3-6 7-61) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Yibing WuWu (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Rei SakamotoSakamoto – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-64 7-5) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-1 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Rafael JodarJodar – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (4-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (4-6 7-6(1) 7-5) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Quentin HalysHalys (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
