H2H, prediction of Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea in Shanghai with odds, preview, pick | 11th October 2026

PREVIEW. Shanghai. Shelton and Gea will play each other in the 3rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Sunday the 11th of October

Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Arthur Gea

Ben Shelton and Arthur Gea will face off in the 3rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:00 pm on Stadium Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ben Shelton who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ben Shelton is the pick to win this match.
Ben Shelton -> 1.27
Arthur Gea -> 3.72

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Arthur Gea

There is no head to head record between Ben Shelton and Arthur Gea since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Ben Shelton

Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton

40 - 16win/loss

Hard
21-7
I Hard
5-2
Clay
8-5
Grass
6-2
Rank
4
High
4
WLLLWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 40-16 21-7 8-5 5-2 6-2 0-0
2025 40-24 23-9 7-5 4-6 6-4 0-0
2024 42-26 22-13 8-4 8-5 4-4 0-0
2023 28-26 21-13 4-8 1-2 2-3 0-0
2022 40-11 16-9 0-0 24-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Shelton got to the 3rd round after defeating Daniel Altmaier 6-3 7-6(6).

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Altmaier (6-3 7-66). During the match, Shelton scored 77 points vs Altmaier’s 62. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shelton bagged 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Ben Shelton lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Shelton put 72% of his first serves in, winning 84% (43/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. Ben broke Altmaier twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

ATP Shanghai - Ben Shelton's projected path

Shelton has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (208-110). 21-7 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Shelton has a compiled110-54 match record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Dallas where he beat Taylor Fritz in the final 3-6 6-3 7-5 and in Munich where he defeated Flavio Cobolli in the final 6-2 7-5 and in Stuttgart where he overcame Taylor Fritz in the final 6-4 2-6 6-4 and in Montreal where he overcame Brandon Nakashima in the final 6-3 7-6(4).

Ben has a composed 40-16 win-loss record in 2026, 21-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.

Shelton
Shanghai
Shelton's Record

Arthur Gea

Arthur Gea
Arthur Gea

47 - 18win/loss

Hard
28-5
I Hard
2-1
Clay
12-8
Grass
5-4
Rank
56
High
56
WWLWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 47-18 28-5 12-8 2-1 5-4 0-0
2025 48-28 20-8 15-15 13-5 0-0 0-0
2024 40-30 11-4 26-23 3-3 0-0 0-0
2023 33-17 18-2 14-12 1-3 0-0 0-0
2022 3-7 2-2 1-4 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 56 (career-high), Arthur got to the 3rd round after defeating Jaime Faria 6-7(3) 6-1 6-2 and Ugo Humbert 6-4 3-6 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Arthur defeated Humbert (6-4 3-6 6-1). During the match Gea scored 78 points vs Humbert’s 67. Gea was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Gea recorded 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Arthur Gea was very effective on serve to win 80% (36/45) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Arthur broke Humbert 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

ATP Shanghai - Arthur Gea's projected path

His best result of the year was winning the title the Noumea Challenger where he defeated Jurij Rodionov in the final 6-3 4-6 7-5 and in Los Cabos where he defeated Denis Shapovalov in the final 6-3 6-4.

Gea has an aggregate 47-18 win-loss record in 2026, 28-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

The French player has never competed in this tournament before.

Gea
Shanghai
Gea's Record
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

B.Shelton
A.Gea
1h:57
1h:57
Time on court​
!
3h:51
3h:51
1h:57
1h:57
Last match​
1h:46
1h:46
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
22
22
Games Played​
54
54
2
2
Set played​​
6
6
77
77
Total points​
175
175
77
77
Avg point​
87.5
87.5
43
43
Winners
71
71
43
43
Avg Winners​
35.5
35.5
56%
56%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
15
15
7
7
Avg Aces
7.5
7.5
5
5
Double Faults
5
5
5
5
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
43/51
43/51
1st won total​
71/90
71/90
!
84%
84%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
9/20
9/20
2nd won total​
37/56
37/56
45%
45%
2nd won %
!
66%
66%
-- Break Points --
2/6
2/6
BP won
9/14
9/14
2/6
2/6
Avg BP won
4.5/7
4.5/7
33%
33%
Won
!
64%
64%
5
5
Conceded
7
7
5
5
Avg Conceded
3.5
3.5
1
1
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
1
1
4
4
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Shelton Gea
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 6
Tot Games 22 54
Pts 77-62 175-140
Total Points 139 315
Winners 43 71
%Winners 56% 41%

Shelton played 1 match while Gea competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Arthur Gea lost 2 sets while Ben Shelton hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Shelton has played 4 set(s) less than Gea (2 vs 6). Therefore, Shelton played 32 games less than Gea. The American scored 43 winners (56% of the total points). On the other side, Gea blasted 71 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Shelton Gea
Aces 7 15
Avg per match 7 7.5
1st in 51/71 90/146
%1st in 72% 62%
1st pts 43/51 71/90
%1st pts 84% 79%
2nd pts 9/20 37/56
%2nd pts 45% 66%

Shelton bagged 7 aces . Gea fired 15 aces (7.5 per match). Shelton won 84% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Gea won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Shelton Gea
Won 2 9
Converted 2/6 9/14
% Converted 33% 64%
Conceded 5 7
Saved 4 5
% Saved 80% 71%
Times Broken 1 2

The American broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. Shelton dropped his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. Arthur conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Shelton
R2
Altmaier
Total
Score 6-3 7-66
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 77-62 77-62
Total points 139 139
Winners 43 43
%Winners 56% 56%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 51/71 51/71
% 1st in 72% 72%
1st pts 43/51 43/51
% 1st pts 84% 84%
2nd pts 9/20 9/20
% 2nd pts 45% 45%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/6 2/6
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 4/5 4
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1
Gea
R1
Faria
R2
Humbert
Total
Score 6-73 6-1 6-2 6-4 3-6 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 28 26 54
pts 97-73 78-67 175-140
Total points 170 145 315
Winners 35 36 71
%Winners 36% 46% 41%
SERVE
Aces 7 8 15
Double Faults 1 4 5
1st in 45/74 45/72 90/146
% 1st in 61% 63% 62%
1st pts 35/45 36/45 71/90
% 1st pts 78% 80% 79%
2nd pts 23/29 14/27 37/56
% 2nd pts 79% 52% 66%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/8 4/6 9/14
Converted % 63% 67% 64%
Conceded 2 5 7
Saved 2/2 3/5 5
Saved % 100% 60% 160%
Times Broken 0 2 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Shelton
WWWWWWWWWW
Gea
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
40 - 14
47 - 18
21-7
Hard
28-5
5-0
I Hard
2-1
8-5
Clay
12-8
6-2
Grass
5-4

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw