Fajing Sun and Alibek Kachmazov will clash against each other in the quarter of the Wuning 3 Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Fajing Sun who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Fajing Sun is the pick to win this match.
Fajing Sun -> 1.84
Alibek Kachmazov -> 1.84
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Fajing Sun vs. Alibek Kachmazov
This will be the 3rd time that Fajing Sun and Alibek Kachmazov play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Kachmazov (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Kachmazov won 6-4 7-6(5) in the 1st round in the Guangzhou Challenger back in 2025.
Fajing Sun
30 - 27win/loss
303
197
LWWLLWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30-28 | 29-24 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 24-24 | 24-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-27 | 42-23 | 7-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-27 | 25-22 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 32-18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 303, Fajing reached the quarter after defeating Aoran Wang 6-3 1-0 ret. and Kasidit Samrej 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Sun had a good straight sets win against Samrej (6-4 7-5). During the match, Sun scored 67 points vs Samrej’s 54. Fajing was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sun fired 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Fajing Sun was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 86% (31/36) of his 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Chinese broke Samrej twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
ATP Wuning 3 Challenger - Fajing Sun's projected path
Sun has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (264-198). 29-23 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sun has a compiled 238-167 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Wuning 2 Challenger where he defeated Li Tu in the final 5-7 6-4 7-5.
Sun has an aggregate 30-27 win-loss record in 2026, 29-23 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Wuning 3 Challenger
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2026. See his history.
Alibek Kachmazov
24 - 9win/loss
525
161
WWWWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26-9 | 26-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 16-21 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-28 | 17-13 | 6-6 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-31 | 24-14 | 9-6 | 14-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 49-21 | 18-11 | 9-5 | 22-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 525, Alibek reached the quarter after defeating Yan Lang Chen 6-1 6-2, Grigoriy Lomakin 6-1 6-1, Charles Broom 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4 and Evan Zhu 7-6(6) 7-6(5).
In the 2nd round, Kachmazov had a good straight sets win against Zhu (7-66 7-65). During the match Kachmazov scored 98 points vs Zhu’s 92. Kachmazov was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Kachmazov made 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Alibek Kachmazov was very efficient on serve to win 76% (37/49) of his 1st serve and 60% (24/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Zhu once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kachmazov started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
ATP Wuning 3 Challenger - Alibek Kachmazov's projected path
Kachmazov’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Sharm ElSheikh,M25 Guiyang and M25 Yinchuan.
Alibek has a composed 24-9 win-loss record in 2026, 24-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sun | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 88 |
| Pts | 104-76 | 308-246 |
| Total Points | 180 | 554 |
| Winners | 45 | 122 |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% |
Sun played 2 matches while Kachmazov competed in 4 matches. Kachmazov started his run from the qualifications while Sun had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Alibek Kachmazov dropped 1 set while Fajing Sun hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sun has played 4 set(s) less than Kachmazov (5 vs 9). Therefore, Sun played 56 games less than Kachmazov. Fajing scored 45 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian made 122 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sun | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 51/85 | 154/261 |
| %1st in | 60% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 45/51 | 122/154 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 23/34 | 64/107 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 60% |
Sun bagged 9 aces (4.5 per match). Kachmazov recorded 26 aces (6.5 per match). Sun won 88% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Kachmazov won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sun | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 13 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 13/28 |
| % Converted | 44% | 46% |
| Conceded | 2 | 13 |
| Saved | 2 | 9 |
| % Saved | 100% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Sun broke his opponents 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Fajing pretty solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Russian broke his opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sun | ||||
| R1 Wang |
R2 Samrej |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 1-0 ret. | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 10 | 22 | 32 | |
| pts | 37-22 | 67-54 | 104-76 | |
| Total points | 59 | 121 | 180 | |
| Winners | 14 | 31 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 46% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 15/22 | 36/63 | 51/85 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 57% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 14/15 | 31/36 | 45/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 86% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/7 | 17/27 | 23/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 86% | 63% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/3 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 67% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kachmazov | ||||||
| Q1 Lang |
Q3 Lomakin |
R1 Broom |
R2 Zhu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-1 | 4-6 7-65 6-4 | 7-66 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 14 | 33 | 26 | 88 | |
| pts | 58-28 | 60-31 | 92-95 | 98-92 | 308-246 | |
| Total points | 86 | 91 | 187 | 190 | 554 | |
| Winners | 21 | 20 | 44 | 37 | 122 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 33% | 48% | 38% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 26/44 | 21/34 | 58/94 | 49/89 | 154/261 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 62% | 62% | 55% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 20/21 | 44/58 | 37/49 | 122/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 95% | 76% | 76% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/18 | 8/13 | 18/36 | 24/40 | 64/107 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 62% | 50% | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/8 | 3/7 | 1/5 | 13/28 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 63% | 43% | 20% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/0 | 2/5 | 5/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 40% | 83% | 112% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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