H2H, prediction of Marvin Moeller vs Ryan Nijboer in Braga Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 8th October 2026

PREVIEW. Braga Challenger. Moeller and Nijboer will play each other in the 2nd round of the Braga Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Thursday the 8th of October

Prediction and head to head Marvin Moeller vs. Ryan Nijboer

Marvin Moeller and Ryan Nijboer will face off in the 2nd round of the Braga Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:00 pm on Court 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marvin Moeller who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marvin Moeller is the pick to win this match.
Marvin Moeller -> 1.57
Ryan Nijboer -> 2.22

 

 

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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Marvin Moeller vs. Ryan Nijboer

This will be the 3rd time that Marvin Moeller and Ryan Nijboer square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Moeller and Nijboer (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they played, Moeller won 6-3 7-6(5) in the 1st round in M25 Sabadell back in 2025.

Marvin Moeller

Marvin Moeller
Marvin Moeller

49 - 23win/loss

Clay
33-16
Rank
239
High
235
WLWWWLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 49-23 0-0 33-16 16-7 0-0 0-0
2025 43-25 1-2 29-16 13-7 0-0 0-0
2024 25-18 0-0 13-13 12-5 0-0 0-0
2023 59-27 2-1 36-16 20-8 0-0 1-2
2022 18-7 0-0 2-2 16-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 239, Marvin reached the 2nd round after defeating Tiago Torres 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round, Marvin had a good straight sets win against Torres (6-4 6-4). During the match, Moeller scored 70 points vs Torres’s 59. Marvin was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Moeller scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 6 double faults. Marvin Moeller lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Moeller put 56% of his first serves in, winning 63% (26/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. Moeller broke Torres 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Moeller has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (275-156). 33-16 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Moeller has a compiled 147-88 match record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Troyes Challenger where he beat Kilian Feldbausch in the final 7-6(5) 6-3.

Marvin has an aggregate 49-23 win-loss record in 2026, 33-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Braga Challenger

Moeller has never competed in this tournament before.

Moeller
Braga Challenger
Moeller's Record

Ryan Nijboer

Ryan Nijboer
Ryan Nijboer

46 - 22win/loss

Clay
46-20
Rank
417
High
371
WWWLWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 46-22 0-0 46-20 0-2 0-0 0-0
2025 44-37 11-8 32-24 1-5 0-0 0-0
2024 53-38 8-3 45-32 0-3 0-0 0-0
2023 55-32 12-9 41-21 2-2 0-0 0-0
2022 23-23 1-6 22-17 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 417, the Dutch reached the 2nd round after beating Nico Hipfl 5-7 7-5 6-1, Benjamin Hassan 6-3 6-3 and Mackenzie McDonald 6-1 4-6 6-3.

In the 1st round, The Dutch defeated Mcdonald (6-1 4-6 6-3). During the match Nijboer scored 101 points vs Mcdonald’s 89. The Dutch was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Nijboer fired 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Ryan Nijboer lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Nijboer put 66% of his first serves in, winning 69% (37/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (11/28) on the 2nd serve. The Dutch broke Mcdonald 6 times after converting 29% of his break points (6/21).

The Dutch’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Laukariz,M15 Madrid and M25 Gijon.

Nijboer has an aggregate 46-22 win-loss record in 2026, 46-20 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Nijboer
Braga Challenger
Nijboer's Record
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Moeller
R.Nijboer
1h:42
1h:42
Time on court​
!
6h:31
6h:31
1h:42
1h:42
Last match​
!
2h:14
2h:14
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
20
20
Games Played​
75
75
2
2
Set played​​
8
8
70
70
Total points​
282
282
70
70
Avg point​
94
94
26
26
Winners
107
107
26
26
Avg Winners​
35.7
35.7
37%
37%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
13
13
1
1
Avg Aces
4.3
4.3
6
6
Double Faults
10
10
!
6
6
Avg Double Faults
3.3
3.3
26/41
26/41
1st won total​
107/158
107/158
63%
63%
1st won %
68%
68%
15/32
15/32
2nd won total​
43/98
43/98
47%
47%
2nd won %
44%
44%
-- Break Points --
5/11
5/11
BP won
18/50
18/50
5/11
5/11
Avg BP won
6/16.7
6/16.7
45%
45%
Won
36%
36%
10
10
Conceded
32
32
10
10
Avg Conceded
10.7
10.7
3
3
Broken
9
9
3
3
Avg Broken
3
3
7
7
Saved
23
23

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Moeller Nijboer
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 8
Tot Games 20 75
Pts 70-59 282-245
Total Points 129 527
Winners 26 107
%Winners 37% 38%

Moeller played 1 match while Nijboer competed in 3 matches. Nijboer started his run from the qualifications while Moeller had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Ryan Nijboer surrendered 2 sets while Marvin Moeller hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Moeller has played 6 set(s) less than Nijboer (2 vs 8). Therefore, Moeller played 55 games less than Nijboer. The German scored 26 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Nijboer struck 107 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Moeller Nijboer
Aces 1 13
Avg per match 1 4.3
1st in 41/73 158/256
%1st in 56% 62%
1st pts 26/41 107/158
%1st pts 63% 68%
2nd pts 15/32 43/98
%2nd pts 47% 44%

Moeller scored 1 ace . Nijboer also recorded 13 aces (4.3 per match). Moeller won 63% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Nijboer won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Moeller Nijboer
Won 5 18
Converted 5/11 18/50
% Converted 45% 36%
Conceded 10 32
Saved 7 23
% Saved 70% 72%
Times Broken 3 9

The German broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The German surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. The Dutch broke his opponents 18 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Dutch conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.

Moeller
R1
Torres
Total
Score 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 70-59 70-59
Total points 129 129
Winners 26 26
%Winners 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 41/73 41/73
% 1st in 56% 56%
1st pts 26/41 26/41
% 1st pts 63% 63%
2nd pts 15/32 15/32
% 2nd pts 47% 47%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/11 5/11
Converted % 45% 45%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 7/10 7
Saved % 70% 70%
Times Broken 3 3
Nijboer
Q1
Hipfl
Q3
Hassan
R1
Mcdonald
Total
Score 5-7 7-5 6-1 6-3 6-3 6-1 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 31 18 26 75
pts 109-96 72-60 101-89 282-245
Total points 205 132 190 527
Winners 40 30 37 107
%Winners 37% 42% 37% 38%
SERVE
Aces 6 3 4 13
Double Faults 4 1 5 10
1st in 56/105 48/69 54/82 158/256
% 1st in 53% 70% 66% 62%
1st pts 40/56 30/48 37/54 107/158
% 1st pts 71% 63% 69% 68%
2nd pts 22/49 10/21 11/28 43/98
% 2nd pts 45% 48% 39% 44%
Breaks
Won 7 5 6 18
Converted 7/16 5/13 6/21 18/50
Converted % 44% 38% 29% 36%
Conceded 14 9 9 32
Saved 10/14 7/9 6/9 23
Saved % 71% 78% 67% 216%
Times Broken 4 2 3 9

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Moeller
WWWWWWWWWW
Nijboer
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
49 - 23
46 - 22
16-7
I Hard
0-2
33-16
Clay
46-20

Tennis Scores in Braga Challenger

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

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