Daniil Medvedev and Novak Djokovic will face off in the semifinal of the China Open for the 16th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 7:00 pm on Court 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.57
Novak Djokovic -> 2.39
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Novak Djokovic
This will be the 16th time that Daniil Medvedev and Novak Djokovic clash against each other. The head to head is 10-5 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 5-3 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Djokovic won 6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 in the final in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev – U.S. Open 10-September-2023
Daniil Medvedev
41 - 16win/loss
6
1
WWWWWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 41-16 | 30-8 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the Russian got to the semifinal after defeating Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-4 6-2, Jan-Lennard Struff 6-4 6-3 and Francisco Cerundolo 7-6(4) 6-3.
In the quarter, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Cerundolo (7-64 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 74 points vs Cerundolo’s 58. Daniil was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev recorded 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (33/42) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Cerundolo twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
ATP Beijing - Daniil Medvedev's projected path
Medvedev has a fantastic record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (470-194). 30-8 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a compiled 258-82 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Brisbane where he overcame Brandon Nakashima in the final 6-2 7-6(1) and in Dubai where he beat Tallon Griekspoor in the final w/o and in Hangzhou where he overcame Andrey Rublev in the final 7-5 6-4.
Medvedev has a composed 41-16 win-loss record in 2026, 30-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2023. See his history.
Novak Djokovic
17 - 7win/loss
11
1
WWWLLLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17-7 | 10-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 39-11 | 21-7 | 9-3 | 4-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, the Serbian got to the semifinal after beating Nuno Borges 6-3 7-6(2), Bu Yunchaokete 4-6 7-6(2) 6-2 and Alexander Zverev 4-6 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter against Zverev, Djokovic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match Djokovic scored 95 points vs Zverev’s 85. Djokovic was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about serving, Djokovic made 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was extremely effective on serve to win 82% (53/65) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Serbian broke Zverev twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Novak has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
ATP Beijing - Novak Djokovic's projected path
Novak’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in at the Australian Open .
Novak has a composed 17-7 win-loss record in 2026, 10-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, he won this tournament 6 times in 2009, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2015. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 83 |
| Pts | 210-160 | 276-234 |
| Total Points | 370 | 510 |
| Winners | 89 | 137 |
| %Winners | 42% | 50% |
Both Medvedev and Djokovic played 3 matches. At the moment, Novak Djokovic lost 2 sets while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Medvedev has played 2 set(s) less than Djokovic (6 vs 8). Therefore, Medvedev played 24 games less than Djokovic. Medvedev scored 89 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Novak managed to score 137 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 32 | 27 |
| Avg per match | 10.7 | 9 |
| 1st in | 108/159 | 173/255 |
| %1st in | 68% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 89/108 | 137/173 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 31/51 | 49/82 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 60% |
Medvedev blasted 32 aces (10.7 per match). Djokovic blasted 27 aces (9 per match). Medvedev won 82% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Djokovic won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 6 |
| Converted | 8/24 | 6/14 |
| % Converted | 33% | 43% |
| Conceded | 7 | 14 |
| Saved | 6 | 11 |
| % Saved | 86% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
The Russian broke his opponents 8 times with a 33% conversion rate. Daniil dropped his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Novak broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Novak conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||||
| R1 Carreno-Busta |
R2 Struff |
1/4 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 22 | 59 | |
| pts | 67-45 | 69-57 | 74-58 | 210-160 | |
| Total points | 112 | 126 | 132 | 370 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | 33 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 10 | 10 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 32/51 | 34/50 | 42/58 | 108/159 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 68% | 72% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 28/32 | 28/34 | 33/42 | 89/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 82% | 79% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 9/16 | 11/16 | 31/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 56% | 69% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/9 | 2/9 | 8/24 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 33% | 22% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 50% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Djokovic | |||||
| R1 Borges |
R2 Yunchaokete |
1/4 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-62 | 4-6 7-62 6-2 | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 31 | 30 | 83 | |
| pts | 74-59 | 107-90 | 95-85 | 276-234 | |
| Total points | 133 | 197 | 180 | 510 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | 53 | 137 | |
| %Winners | 57% | 39% | 56% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 15 | 4 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 48/68 | 60/97 | 65/90 | 173/255 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 62% | 72% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 42/48 | 42/60 | 53/65 | 137/173 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 70% | 82% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 27/37 | 13/25 | 49/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 73% | 52% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 1/2 | 3/7 | 2/5 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 40% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 4 | 14 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 6/8 | 3/4 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 75% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Andrey RublevRublev (1-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd Glasspool – Marcelo Melo/Alexander ZverevMelo/Alexander Zverev (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alexander ZverevZverev (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Sander Arends/David PelArends/David Pel – Zhizhen Zhang/Yi ZhouZhang/Yi Zhou (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Robert Cash/Alexander ErlerCash/Alexander Erler – Francisco Cabral/James TracyCabral/James Tracy (3-6 6-4 10-8) – See score progression
- Alexander Bublik/Juncheng ShangBublik/Juncheng Shang – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (7-5 4-6 10-8) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alexander ZverevZverev (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Andrey RublevRublev (1-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (10-5) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (3-1) – H2H and prediction
