Daniil Medvedev and Francisco Cerundolo will play each other in the quarter of the China Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:30 pm on Court 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.35
Francisco Cerundolo -> 3.18
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Francisco Cerundolo
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Francisco Cerundolo square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Cerundolo (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Cerundolo won 6-0 4-6 7-5 in the 3rd round in Miami back in March 2026.
Highlights Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev – Miami 23-March-2026
Daniil Medvedev
40 - 16win/loss
5
1
LWWWWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 41-17 | 30-9 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the Russian reached the quarter after beating Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-4 6-2 and Jan-Lennard Struff 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Struff (6-4 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 69 points vs Struff’s 57. Medvedev was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was pretty effective on serve to win 82% (28/34) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Struff 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
ATP Beijing - Daniil Medvedev's projected path
Medvedev has an extraordinary match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (469-194). 29-8 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a composed 257-82 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Brisbane where he beat Brandon Nakashima in the final 6-2 7-6(1) and in Dubai where he defeated Tallon Griekspoor in the final w/o and in Hangzhou where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 7-5 6-4.
Daniil has an aggregate 40-16 win-loss record in 2026, 29-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2023. See his history.
Francisco Cerundolo
35 - 18win/loss
20
18
LWWLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35-19 | 13-9 | 15-8 | 2-1 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 38-25 | 12-8 | 21-11 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-31 | 5-10 | 21-13 | 9-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-26 | 10-10 | 19-12 | 4-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 7-8 | 25-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Cerundolo reached the quarter after defeating Botic Van De Zandschulp 5-7 6-4 6-3 and Jakub Mensik 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Francisco had a good straight sets win against Mensik (6-3 6-3). During the match Cerundolo scored 59 points vs Mensik’s 48. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Cerundolo was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Francisco Cerundolo was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Francisco broke Mensik 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
ATP Beijing - Francisco Cerundolo's projected path
His best result of the season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he beat Luciano Darderi in the final 6-4 6-2 and in London where he beat Tommy Paul in the final 6-7(4) 6-4 6-3.
Cerundolo has an overall 35-18 win-loss record in 2026, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 49 |
| Pts | 136-102 | 174-157 |
| Total Points | 238 | 331 |
| Winners | 56 | 78 |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% |
Both Medvedev and Cerundolo played 2 matches. At the moment, Francisco Cerundolo conceded 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Cerundolo (4 vs 5). Therefore, Medvedev played 12 games less than Cerundolo. Medvedev scored 56 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Francisco recorded 78 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 1 |
| 1st in | 66/101 | 106/162 |
| %1st in | 65% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 56/66 | 78/106 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 29/56 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 52% |
Medvedev blasted 22 aces (11 per match). Cerundolo bagged 2 aces (1 per match). Medvedev won 85% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Cerundolo won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 7 |
| Converted | 6/15 | 7/23 |
| % Converted | 40% | 30% |
| Conceded | 5 | 13 |
| Saved | 5 | 11 |
| % Saved | 100% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Daniil broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Russian quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 5 break points. The Argentine broke his opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R1 Carreno-Busta |
R2 Struff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 37 | |
| pts | 67-45 | 69-57 | 136-102 | |
| Total points | 112 | 126 | 238 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 10 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 32/51 | 34/50 | 66/101 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 68% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 28/32 | 28/34 | 56/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 82% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 9/16 | 20/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 56% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/9 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 33% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 2/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cerundolo | ||||
| R1 Van De Zandschulp |
R2 Mensik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 18 | 49 | |
| pts | 115-109 | 59-48 | 174-157 | |
| Total points | 224 | 107 | 331 | |
| Winners | 54 | 24 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 41% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 75/112 | 31/50 | 106/162 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 62% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 54/75 | 24/31 | 78/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 77% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/37 | 12/19 | 29/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 63% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 3/9 | 7/23 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 33% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 0 | 13 | |
| Saved | 11/13 | 0/0 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 85% | – | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Robert Cash/Alexander ErlerCash/Alexander Erler – Francisco Cabral/James TracyCabral/James Tracy (3-6 6-4 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sander Arends/David PelArends/David Pel – Zhizhen Zhang/Yi ZhouZhang/Yi Zhou (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander Bublik/Juncheng ShangBublik/Juncheng Shang – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (7-5 4-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (5-9) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Andrey RublevRublev (4-4) – H2H and prediction
