Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic will play each other in the quarter of the China Open for the 15th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 7:00 pm on Court 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.5
Novak Djokovic -> 2.57
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Novak Djokovic
This will be the 15th time that Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic play each other. The head to head is 9-5 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 5-2 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Djokovic won 4-6 6-3 6-2 6-4 in the quarter in at the French Open back in 2025.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Alexander Zverev – French Open 04-June-2025
Alexander Zverev
58 - 14win/loss
2
2
WWWLWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 58-14 | 26-7 | 20-4 | 3-1 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 57-25 | 24-9 | 18-7 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 69-21 | 29-10 | 23-6 | 11-3 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-27 | 22-13 | 20-7 | 8-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-10 | 9-4 | 17-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the German got to the quarter after defeating Cameron Norrie 7-6(1) 6-4 and Juncheng Shang 6-0 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Shang (6-0 6-3). During the match, Zverev scored 53 points vs Shang’s 24. Zverev was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zverev scored 9 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Alexander Zverev was quite efficient on serve to win 89% (25/28) of his 1st serve and 78% (7/9) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alexander broke Shang 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Zverev hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 61% of the points he played.
ATP Beijing - Alexander Zverev's projected path
Zverev has a tremendous match record in the last 10 years having won 73% of his matches (516-189). 26-7 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zverev has a composed 217-82 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title at the French Open where he beat Flavio Cobolli in the final 6-1 4-6 6-4 6-7(5) 6-1 and at the U.S. Open where he defeated Ben Shelton in the final 6-3 7-6(2) 5-7 6-2.
The German has an aggregate 58-14 win-loss record in 2026, 26-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2017, 2019 and 2023. See his history.
Novak Djokovic
16 - 7win/loss
11
1
WWLLLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16-7 | 9-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 39-11 | 21-7 | 9-3 | 4-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Novak reached the quarter after beating Nuno Borges 6-3 7-6(2) and Bu Yunchaokete 4-6 7-6(2) 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Yunchaokete, Djokovic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-62 6-2). During the match Djokovic scored 107 points vs Yunchaokete’s 90. Novak was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.
About the serving games, Djokovic fired 15 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Novak Djokovic lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Djokovic put 62% of his first serves in, winning 70% (42/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 73% (27/37) on the 2nd serve. Djokovic broke Yunchaokete 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Djokovic has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
ATP Beijing - Novak Djokovic's projected path
Djokovic’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in at the Australian Open .
Djokovic has an overall 16-7 win-loss record in 2026, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, he won this tournament 6 times in 2009, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2015. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zverev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 53 |
| Pts | 129-83 | 181-149 |
| Total Points | 212 | 330 |
| Winners | 65 | 84 |
| %Winners | 50% | 46% |
Both Zverev and Djokovic played 2 matches. At the moment, Novak Djokovic conceded 1 set while Alexander Zverev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Zverev has played 1 set(s) less than Djokovic (4 vs 5). Therefore, Zverev played 15 games less than Djokovic. Alexander scored 65 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Djokovic fired 84 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zverev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 11.5 |
| 1st in | 80/105 | 108/165 |
| %1st in | 76% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 65/80 | 84/108 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 19/25 | 36/57 |
| %2nd pts | 76% | 63% |
Zverev made 24 aces (12 per match). Djokovic made 23 aces (11.5 per match). Zverev won 81% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 76% of the points. On the other side, Djokovic won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zverev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 71% | 44% |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 |
| Saved | 3 | 8 |
| % Saved | 100% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Alexander broke his opponents 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Alexander pretty solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. Djokovic broke his opponents 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Novak conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Zverev | ||||
| R1 Norrie |
R2 Shang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-4 | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 15 | 38 | |
| pts | 76-59 | 53-24 | 129-83 | |
| Total points | 135 | 77 | 212 | |
| Winners | 40 | 25 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 47% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 15 | 9 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 52/68 | 28/37 | 80/105 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 76% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 40/52 | 25/28 | 65/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 89% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/16 | 7/9 | 19/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 78% | 76% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Converted | 1/2 | 4/5 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 80% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Djokovic | ||||
| R1 Borges |
R2 Yunchaokete |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-62 | 4-6 7-62 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 31 | 53 | |
| pts | 74-59 | 107-90 | 181-149 | |
| Total points | 133 | 197 | 330 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 57% | 39% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 15 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 48/68 | 60/97 | 108/165 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 62% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 42/48 | 42/60 | 84/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 70% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 27/37 | 36/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 73% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Converted | 1/2 | 3/7 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 6/8 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Robert Cash/Alexander ErlerCash/Alexander Erler – Francisco Cabral/James TracyCabral/James Tracy (3-6 6-4 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sander Arends/David PelArends/David Pel – Zhizhen Zhang/Yi ZhouZhang/Yi Zhou (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander Bublik/Juncheng ShangBublik/Juncheng Shang – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (7-5 4-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (5-9) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Andrey RublevRublev (4-4) – H2H and prediction
