Karolina Muchova and Liudmila Samsonova will face off in the 3rd round of the China Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 8:30 pm on Court 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karolina Muchova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.31
Liudmila Samsonova -> 3.42
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Prediction and head to head Karolina Muchova vs. Liudmila Samsonova
This will be the 3rd time that Karolina Muchova and Liudmila Samsonova clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Muchova (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Muchova won 6-1 3-6 6-1 in the qualifications in Doha back in 2019.
Karolina Muchova
40 - 10win/loss
8
6
WWWLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40-10 | 21-5 | 6-3 | 2-0 | 11-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 26-17 | 23-13 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Muchova got to the 3rd round after beating Katie Boulter 7-6(3) 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Boulter (7-63 6-1). During the match, Muchova scored 68 points vs Boulter’s 44. The Czech was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Muchova blasted 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Karolina Muchova was very efficient on serve to win 81% (22/27) of her 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Karolina broke Boulter 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
WTA Beijing - Karolina Muchova's projected path
Muchova has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 68% of her matches (253-117). 21-5 on hard in 2026. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Muchova has an overall 139-56 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Doha where she beat Victoria Mboko in the final 6-4 7-5 and in Bad Homburg where she defeated Naomi Osaka in the final 6-1 1-0 ret..
The Czech has a composed 40-10 win-loss record in 2026, 21-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2024. See her history.
Liudmila Samsonova
20 - 22win/loss
39
12
WLWWWLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20-22 | 14-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 30-23 | 15-15 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 39, the Russian got to the 3rd round after beating Linda Fruhvirtova 6-2 3-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Samsonova defeated Fruhvirtova (6-2 3-6 6-3). During the match Samsonova scored 103 points vs Fruhvirtova’s 99. Samsonova was very aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about serving, Samsonova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 67% of her first serves in, winning 66% (50/76) of the points behind her 1st serve and 32% (12/37) on the 2nd serve. Ludmilla broke Fruhvirtova 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
WTA Beijing - Liudmila Samsonova's projected path
Samsonova has an overall 20-22 win-loss record in 2026, 14-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Muchova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 26 |
| Pts | 68-44 | 103-99 |
| Total Points | 112 | 202 |
| Winners | 22 | 50 |
| %Winners | 32% | 49% |
Both Muchova and Samsonova played 1 match. At the moment, Liudmila Samsonova lost 1 set while Karolina Muchova hasn’t dropped a set so far. Muchova has played 1 set(s) less than Samsonova (2 vs 3). Therefore, Muchova played 6 games less than Samsonova. Karolina scored 22 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Ludmilla bagged 50 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Muchova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 27/52 | 76/113 |
| %1st in | 52% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 50/76 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 17/25 | 12/37 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 32% |
Muchova scored 5 aces . Samsonova recorded 1 ace . Muchova won 81% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 32% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Muchova | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/4 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 75% | 56% |
| Conceded | 1 | 14 |
| Saved | 0 | 11 |
| % Saved | 0% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Karolina broke her opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Czech dropped her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. Samsonova broke her opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 79% of the break points that she conceded.
| Muchova | |||
| R2 Boulter |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 68-44 | 68-44 | |
| Total points | 112 | 112 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 27/52 | 27/52 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 22/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/25 | 17/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Samsonova | |||
| R2 Fruhvirtova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 103-99 | 103-99 | |
| Total points | 202 | 202 | |
| Winners | 50 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 76/113 | 76/113 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 50/76 | 50/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/37 | 12/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 32% | 32% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 | |
| Saved | 11/14 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 79% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Donna VekicVekic – Lin ZhuZhu (6-1 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (1-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Paula BadosaBadosa (7-65 7-5) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (7-64 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-0 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Xinyu GaoGao (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Storm HunterHunter (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Ann LiLi – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Maja ChwalinskaChwalinska (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Sara BejlekBejlek – Maddison InglisInglis (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Janice TjenTjen (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Katie BoulterBoulter (7-63 6-1) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Sinja KrausKraus – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Nikola BartunkovaBartunkova – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Maria TimofeevaTimofeeva (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Renata ZarazuaZarazua (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylah PrestonPreston – Diane ParryParry (7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Polina KudermetovaKudermetova – Clara TausonTauson (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Peyton StearnsStearns (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Daria SnigurSnigur – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (3-6 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Yue YuanYuan (3-6 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Ann LiLi – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Storm HunterHunter (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (1-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (7-6(4) 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (7-6(5) 7-5) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-0 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Lin ZhuZhu (6-1 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Xinyu GaoGao (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Alina CharaevaCharaeva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Anastasia ZakharovaZakharova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Elise MertensMertens (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daria SnigurSnigur – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sinja KrausKraus – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
