Karen Khachanov and Hubert Hurkacz will face off in the quarter of the China Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on Court 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.8
Hubert Hurkacz -> 2
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Hubert Hurkacz
This will be the 2nd time that Karen Khachanov and Hubert Hurkacz fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Khachanov won 6-4 7-6(3) in the 1st round in Vienna back in 2019.
Karen Khachanov
23 - 19win/loss
27
8
LWWLWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 23-20 | 13-11 | 7-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 32-24 | 13-11 | 9-6 | 2-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, Karen got to the quarter after defeating Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-3 6-3 and Alex Molcan 7-5 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Khachanov had a good straight sets win against Molcan (7-5 6-3). During the match, Khachanov scored 61 points vs Molcan’s 42. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Khachanov scored 7 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Karen Khachanov was extremely efficient on serve to win 85% (34/40) of his 1st serve and 83% (10/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Khachanov broke Molcan twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Khachanov hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points he played.
ATP Beijing - Karen Khachanov's projected path
Khachanov has winning record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (321-230). 13-10 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Khachanov has an aggregate 140-104 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Karen has a composed 23-19 win-loss record in 2026, 13-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.
Hubert Hurkacz
31 - 20win/loss
34
6
WLWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-21 | 21-11 | 8-5 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 15-11 | 4-5 | 7-4 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-19 | 17-10 | 14-4 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-24 | 23-11 | 5-5 | 13-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-21 | 18-9 | 9-4 | 9-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 41, the Pole reached the quarter after beating Learner Tien 5-7 6-3 6-4 and Arthur Gea 7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Hubert defeated Gea (7-65 6-75 6-2). During the match Hurkacz scored 107 points vs Gea’s 99. Hurkacz was pretty aggressive to blast 58 winners.
Talking about serving, Hurkacz made 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Hubert Hurkacz was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (58/80) of his 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Hurkacz was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Gea twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
ATP Beijing - Hubert Hurkacz's projected path
His best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where he defeated Stan Wawrinka in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3 and the Cancun Challenger where he overcame Sebastian Baez in the final 4-6 6-0 6-3.
Hurkacz has a compiled 31-20 win-loss record in 2026, 19-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
The Pole has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Khachanov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 65 |
| Pts | 116-79 | 200-183 |
| Total Points | 195 | 383 |
| Winners | 64 | 106 |
| %Winners | 55% | 53% |
Both Khachanov and Hurkacz played 2 matches. At the moment, Hubert Hurkacz surrendered 2 sets while Karen Khachanov hasn’t lost a set so far. Khachanov has played 2 set(s) less than Hurkacz (4 vs 6). Therefore, Khachanov played 26 games less than Hurkacz. Karen scored 64 winners (55% of the total points). On the other side, Hubert fired 106 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Khachanov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 12.5 |
| 1st in | 73/97 | 139/200 |
| %1st in | 75% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 64/73 | 106/139 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 16/24 | 35/61 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 57% |
Khachanov struck 11 aces (5.5 per match). Hurkacz made 25 aces (12.5 per match). Khachanov won 88% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Hurkacz won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Khachanov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 71% | 56% |
| Conceded | 0 | 10 |
| Saved | 0 | 8 |
| % Saved | 0% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Khachanov broke his opponents 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Khachanov pretty solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Hurkacz broke his opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Hurkacz conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Khachanov | ||||
| R1 Auger-Aliassime |
R2 Molcan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 21 | 39 | |
| pts | 55-37 | 61-42 | 116-79 | |
| Total points | 92 | 103 | 195 | |
| Winners | 30 | 34 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 56% | 55% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 33/45 | 40/52 | 73/97 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 77% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 30/33 | 34/40 | 64/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 85% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/12 | 10/12 | 16/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 83% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 2/3 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 67% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hurkacz | ||||
| R1 Tien |
R2 Gea |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-3 6-4 | 7-65 6-75 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 34 | 65 | |
| pts | 93-84 | 107-99 | 200-183 | |
| Total points | 177 | 206 | 383 | |
| Winners | 48 | 58 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 54% | 53% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 13 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 59/91 | 80/109 | 139/200 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 73% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 48/59 | 58/80 | 106/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 73% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 19/29 | 35/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 66% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/2 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 100% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 5/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Alexander Bublik/Juncheng ShangBublik/Juncheng Shang – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (7-5 4-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (9-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Andrey RublevRublev (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
