H2H, prediction of Arthur Fils vs Valentin Vacherot in Tokyo with odds, preview, pick | 4th October 2026

PREVIEW. Tokyo. Fils and Vacherot will square off in the quarter of the Japan Open Tennis Championships. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Sunday the 4th of October

Prediction and head to head Arthur Fils vs. Valentin Vacherot

Arthur Fils and Valentin Vacherot will square off in the quarter of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on Court 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Arthur Fils who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Arthur Fils is the pick to win this match.
Arthur Fils -> 1.2
Valentin Vacherot -> 4.5

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Arthur Fils vs. Valentin Vacherot

This will be the 2nd time that Arthur Fils and Valentin Vacherot square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Fils (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Fils won 6-4 6-7(4) 6-4 in the 4th round in Miami back in March 2026.

Highlights Arthur Fils vs Valentin Vacherot – Miami 24-March-2026

Arthur Fils

Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils

36 - 11win/loss

Hard
24-6
I Hard
2-2
Clay
9-2
Grass
1-1
Rank
10
High
9
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 36-12 24-7 9-2 2-2 1-1 0-0
2025 22-11 10-6 10-4 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 42-28 15-9 14-10 7-6 6-3 0-0
2023 43-24 5-4 13-8 21-10 4-2 0-0
2022 43-28 0-1 23-15 20-12 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 9 (career-high), the French player reached the quarter after beating Martin Damm 2-6 6-1 6-1, Kamil Majchrzak 6-2 3-6 6-1, Luca Van Assche 6-3 6-2 and Frances Tiafoe 6-3 7-5.

In the 2nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-3 7-5). During the match, Fils scored 69 points vs Tiafoe’s 57. Arthur was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Fils managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Arthur Fils was quite effective on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 69% (20/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Fils broke Tiafoe twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Fils started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

ATP Tokyo - Arthur Fils's projected path

Projected draw
QF
SF
F

Fils has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (220-130). 24-6 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Fils has a composed57-28 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Barcelona where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 7-6(2) and in Cincinnati where he beat Frances Tiafoe in the final 6-3 1-6 6-0.

Fils has a compiled 36-11 win-loss record in 2026, 24-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2024. See his history.

Fils
Tokyo
Fils's Record

Valentin Vacherot

Valentin Vacherot
Valentin Vacherot

22 - 15win/loss

Hard
12-11
I Hard
4-0
Clay
6-4
Rank
14
High
14
LWWWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 23-16 13-12 6-4 4-0 0-0 0-0
2025 45-24 18-9 24-12 3-2 0-1 0-0
2024 34-13 19-3 15-9 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 55-32 6-4 49-25 0-3 0-0 0-0
2022 46-22 27-12 18-8 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 18, the Monegasque reached the quarter after defeating Alexander Blockx 7-6(2) 7-6(4) and Stefanos Tsitsipas 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Tsitsipas, Valentin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 6-4).During the match Vacherot scored less points (2) than Tsitsipas. In fact, the world no. 9 won 94 points vs Tsitsipas’s. That means that Vacherot was more focused during the important points. Vacherot was very aggressive to blast 48 winners.

About the serving games, Vacherot managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Valentin Vacherot was exceptionally effective on serve to win 72% (48/67) of his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Vacherot broke Tsitsipas twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Vacherot has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

ATP Tokyo - Valentin Vacherot's projected path

Projected draw
SF
F

Vacherot has a composed 22-15 win-loss record in 2026, 12-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Vacherot
Tokyo
Vacherot's Record
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Fils
V.Vacherot
6h:07
6h:07
Time on court​
4h:13
4h:13
1h:30
1h:30
Last match​
!
2h:13
2h:13
!
4
4
Match played
2
2
84
84
Games Played​
59
59
10
10
Set played​​
5
5
300
300
Total points​
191
191
75
75
Avg point​
95.5
95.5
124
124
Winners
100
100
31
31
Avg Winners​
50
50
41%
41%
Ratio winners
52%
52%
-- Serve --
36
36
Aces
14
14
9
9
Avg Aces
7
7
9
9
Double Faults
6
6
2.3
2.3
Avg Double Faults
3
3
124/160
124/160
1st won total​
100/133
100/133
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
60/101
60/101
2nd won total​
27/47
27/47
59%
59%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
14/28
14/28
BP won
4/13
4/13
3.5/7
3.5/7
Avg BP won
2/6.5
2/6.5
50%
50%
Won
31%
31%
10
10
Conceded
17
17
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
8.5
8.5
3
3
Broken
4
4
!
0.8
0.8
Avg Broken
2
2
7
7
Saved
13
13

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Fils Vacherot
Match played 4 2
Tot Set 10 5
Tot Games 84 59
Pts 300-232 191-179
Total Points 532 370
Winners 124 100
%Winners 41% 52%

Fils played 4 matches while Vacherot competed in 2 matches. Fils started his run from the qualifications while Vacherot had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Arthur Fils surrendered 2 sets, while Valentin Vacherot dropped 1 set. Fils has played 5 sets more than Vacherot (10 vs 5). Therefore, Fils played 25 games more than Vacherot. The French player scored 124 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Vacherot scored 100 winners (52%).

Serve Performance

Serve Fils Vacherot
Aces 36 14
Avg per match 9 7
1st in 160/261 133/180
%1st in 61% 74%
1st pts 124/160 100/133
%1st pts 78% 75%
2nd pts 60/101 27/47
%2nd pts 59% 57%

Fils managed to score 36 aces (9 per match). Vacherot scored 14 aces (7 per match). Fils won 78% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Vacherot won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Fils Vacherot
Won 14 4
Converted 14/28 4/13
% Converted 50% 31%
Conceded 10 17
Saved 7 13
% Saved 70% 76%
Times Broken 3 4

Arthur broke his opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. Arthur dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Valentin broke his opponents 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Valentin conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.

Fils
Q1
Damm
Q3
Majchrzak
R1
Van
R2
Tiafoe
Total
Score 2-6 6-1 6-1 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-3 6-2 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 3 3 2 2 10
Tot Games 22 24 17 21 84
pts 78-60 77-60 76-55 69-57 300-232
Total points 138 137 131 126 532
Winners 33 31 34 26 124
%Winners 42% 40% 45% 38% 41%
SERVE
Aces 6 8 12 10 36
Double Faults 2 3 3 1 9
1st in 43/59 42/71 42/69 33/62 160/261
% 1st in 73% 59% 61% 53% 61%
1st pts 33/43 31/42 34/42 26/33 124/160
% 1st pts 77% 74% 81% 79% 78%
2nd pts 9/16 18/29 13/27 20/29 60/101
% 2nd pts 56% 62% 48% 69% 59%
Breaks
Won 5 4 3 2 14
Converted 5/9 4/4 3/10 2/5 14/28
Converted % 56% 100% 30% 40% 50%
Conceded 3 2 3 2 10
Saved 1/3 1/2 3/3 2/2 7
Saved % 33% 50% 100% 100% 71%
Times Broken 2 1 0 0 3
Vacherot
R1
Blockx
R2
Tsitsipas
Total
Score 7-62 7-64 4-6 7-65 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 26 33 59
pts 97-83 94-96 191-179
Total points 180 190 370
Winners 52 48 100
%Winners 54% 51% 52%
SERVE
Aces 7 7 14
Double Faults 5 1 6
1st in 66/87 67/93 133/180
% 1st in 76% 72% 74%
1st pts 52/66 48/67 100/133
% 1st pts 79% 72% 75%
2nd pts 10/21 17/26 27/47
% 2nd pts 48% 65% 57%
Breaks
Won 2 2 4
Converted 2/8 2/5 4/13
Converted % 25% 40% 31%
Conceded 9 8 17
Saved 7/9 6/8 13
Saved % 78% 75% 38%
Times Broken 2 2 4

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Fils
WWWWWWWWWW
Vacherot
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
36 - 12
19 - 16
24-7
Hard
13-12
2-2
I Hard
0-0
9-2
Clay
6-4
1-1
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

  • Theo Arribage/Albano OlivettiArribage/Albano Olivetti – Lucas Miedler/Neil OberleitnerMiedler/Neil Oberleitner (6-4 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

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