Hubert Hurkacz and Arthur Gea will square off in the 2nd round of the China Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:00 pm on Court 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hubert Hurkacz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hubert Hurkacz is the pick to win this match.
Hubert Hurkacz -> 1.57
Arthur Gea -> 2.39
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Arthur Gea
There is no head to head record between Hubert Hurkacz and Arthur Gea since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Hubert Hurkacz
30 - 20win/loss
41
6
WLWWWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30-20 | 18-10 | 8-5 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 15-11 | 4-5 | 7-4 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-19 | 17-10 | 14-4 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-24 | 23-11 | 5-5 | 13-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-21 | 18-9 | 9-4 | 9-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 41, the Pole reached the 2nd round after beating Learner Tien 5-7 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round against Tien, Hubert recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-4). During the match, Hurkacz scored 93 points vs Tien’s 84. Hurkacz was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about the service games, Hurkacz made 12 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Hubert Hurkacz lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Hurkacz put 65% of his first serves in, winning 81% (48/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. Hurkacz broke Tien 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Hurkacz has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (368-220). 18-10 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Hurkacz has an overall 188-98 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where he defeated Stan Wawrinka in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3 and the Cancun Challenger where he defeated Sebastian Baez in the final 4-6 6-0 6-3.
Hurkacz has an aggregate 30-20 win-loss record in 2026, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Hurkacz has never competed in this tournament before.
Arthur Gea
45 - 17win/loss
58
58
WWWLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 45-17 | 26-4 | 12-8 | 2-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 48-28 | 20-8 | 15-15 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-30 | 11-4 | 26-23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-17 | 18-2 | 14-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 58 (career-high), Gea got to the 2nd round after defeating Rigele Te 6-2 6-3, Tomas Machac 6-3 6-4 and Zhizhen Zhang 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, Arthur had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-4 6-3). During the match Gea scored 61 points vs Zhang’s 46. Arthur was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Gea scored 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Arthur Gea lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Gea put 67% of his first serves in, winning 73% (27/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Zhang 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Noumea Challenger where he overcame Jurij Rodionov in the final 6-3 4-6 7-5 and in Los Cabos where he overcame Denis Shapovalov in the final 6-3 6-4.
Arthur has an overall 45-17 win-loss record in 2026, 26-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Hurkacz | Gea |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 55 |
| Pts | 93-84 | 190-143 |
| Total Points | 177 | 333 |
| Winners | 48 | 82 |
| %Winners | 52% | 43% |
Hurkacz played 1 match while Gea competed in 3 matches. Gea started his run from the qualifications while Hurkacz had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Hubert Hurkacz conceded 1 set while Arthur Gea hasn’t conceded a set so far. Hurkacz has played 3 set(s) less than Gea (3 vs 6). Therefore, Hurkacz played 24 games less than Gea. Hubert scored 48 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The French player managed to score 82 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Hurkacz | Gea |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 7 |
| 1st in | 59/91 | 104/167 |
| %1st in | 65% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 48/59 | 82/104 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 37/63 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 59% |
Hurkacz recorded 12 aces . Gea struck 21 aces (7 per match). Hurkacz won 81% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Gea won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Hurkacz | Gea |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 9 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 9/14 |
| % Converted | 43% | 64% |
| Conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 60% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Hurkacz broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Pole surrendered his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Gea broke his opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Hurkacz | |||
| R1 Tien |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 93-84 | 93-84 | |
| Total points | 177 | 177 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 59/91 | 59/91 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 48/59 | 48/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 16/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Gea | |||||
| Q1 Te |
Q3 Machac |
R1 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 19 | 55 | |
| pts | 66-49 | 63-48 | 61-46 | 190-143 | |
| Total points | 115 | 111 | 107 | 333 | |
| Winners | 30 | 25 | 27 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 40% | 44% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 36/56 | 31/56 | 37/55 | 104/167 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 55% | 67% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 30/36 | 25/31 | 27/37 | 82/104 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 81% | 73% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 18/25 | 9/18 | 37/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 72% | 50% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/4 | 4/5 | 9/14 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 80% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 1/1 | 2/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 50% | 250% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Alexander BublikBublik (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Quentin HalysHalys – Ignacio BuseBuse (6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Zhizhen Zhang/Yi ZhouZhang/Yi Zhou – Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner (6-74 6-4 10-5) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (7-61 6-4) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Learner TienTien (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Juncheng ShangShang – Sebastian BaezBaez (5-7 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-4 5-7 7-66) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Mariano NavoneNavone (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (3-6 6-4 ret.) – See score progression
- Arthur GeaGea – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-2 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (7-6(1) 6-4) – See score progression
- Juncheng ShangShang – Sebastian BaezBaez (5-7 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Alexander BublikBublik (6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Quentin HalysHalys – Ignacio BuseBuse (6-1 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-4 5-7 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Learner TienTien (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (5-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Quentin HalysHalys (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
