Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Matteo Berrettini will clash against each other in the 1st round of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:00 pm on Court 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.66
Matteo Berrettini -> 2.2
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 3rd time that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Matteo Berrettini square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Berrettini won 3-6 7-6(2) 6-3 4-6 6-2 in the 4th round in at the U.S. Open back in 2022.
Highlights Matteo Berrettini vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – U.S. Open 04-September-2022
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
27 - 15win/loss
28
14
WWWWLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27-15 | 11-6 | 5-5 | 2-1 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 44-26 | 22-14 | 9-6 | 8-4 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 28, Davidovich Fokina will start his run in Tokyo after he won the title in Chengdu after beating 6-4 7-6(7) Hurkacz in the final.
Davidovich Fokina has an aggregate 27-15 win-loss record in 2026, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Mallorca where he beat Ethan Quinn in the final 7-6(4) 6-3 and in Chengdu where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 7-6(7).
Talking about his overall career, Davidovich Fokina has an overall 332-235 record. He has a positive 148-93 record on hard.
Previously in Tokyo
Davidovich Fokina has never competed in this tournament before.
Matteo Berrettini
19 - 16win/loss
47
6
LWLWLLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19-16 | 5-5 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 22-17 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 47, Berrettini will start his run in Tokyo after he played his last match at the Us Open where he lost 3-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(4) to Navone in the 2nd round on the 2nd of September.
Matteo has a composed 19-16 win-loss record in 2026, 5-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
In terms of his career, Matteo has an overall 371-194 record. He has a positive 152-89 record on hard.
Previously in Tokyo
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024 and 2025. See his history.
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Arthur FilsFils – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Tommy PaulPaul (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Alexander BlockxBlockx (7-62 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Zizou BergsBergs (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Kyrian JacquetJacquet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
