Petr Nesterov and Goncalo Marques will play each other in the 1st round of the Porto Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:00 am on Court 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Petr Nesterov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Petr Nesterov is the pick to win this match.
Petr Nesterov -> 1.41
Goncalo Marques -> 2.64
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Petr Nesterov vs. Goncalo Marques
There is no head to head record between Petr Nesterov and Goncalo Marques since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Petr Nesterov
50 - 22win/loss
298
298
LWWWLWWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 53-23 | 23-8 | 28-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 39-24 | 17-8 | 19-14 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-22 | 3-3 | 35-17 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-22 | 30-9 | 21-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-18 | 5-6 | 18-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 301, the Bulgarian got to the 1st round after beating Giorgio Tabacco 6-4 4-6 6-3 and Marko Topo 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Bulgarian had a good straight sets win against Topo (6-4 6-2). During the match, Nesterov scored 70 points vs Topo’s 49. The Bulgarian was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nesterov fired 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Petr Nesterov was extremely effective on serve to win 88% (30/34) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nesterov broke Topo 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Petr started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
ATP Porto Challenger - Petr Nesterov's projected path
Nesterov has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (211-113). 20-6 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nesterov has a compiled77-37 record in the last 6 years on hard.
Nesterov’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir,M25 Santa Margherita di Pula and M25 Gentofte.
The Bulgarian has an aggregate 50-21 win-loss record in 2026, 20-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Porto Challenger
The Bulgarian has never competed in this tournament before.
Goncalo Marques
49 - 25win/loss
594
594
LLWWWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 49-27 | 49-24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-17 | 10-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 652, Goncalo reached the 1st round after defeating Georgii Kravchenko 2-6 6-3 6-4 and Christian Langmo 7-6(5) 7-6(3).
In the qualifications, Marques had a good straight sets win against Langmo (7-65 7-63). During the match Marques scored 77 points vs Langmo’s 73. Goncalo was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Marques managed to score 11 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Goncalo Marques was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (40/50) of his 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Portuguese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
ATP Porto Challenger - Goncalo Marques's projected path
The Portuguese’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Nova and M25 Sintra.
Marques has an aggregate 48-25 win-loss record in 2026, 48-23 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nesterov | Marques |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 53 |
| Pts | 173-148 | 163-157 |
| Total Points | 321 | 320 |
| Winners | 66 | 71 |
| %Winners | 38% | 44% |
Both Nesterov and Marques played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Petr Nesterov conceded 1 set, while Goncalo Marques lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Nesterov and Marques have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Nesterov played 6 games less than Marques. Petr scored 66 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese bagged 71 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nesterov | Marques |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 92/144 | 98/175 |
| %1st in | 64% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 66/92 | 71/98 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 26/52 | 45/77 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 58% |
Nesterov scored 10 aces (5 per match). Marques managed to score 15 aces (7.5 per match). Nesterov won 72% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Marques won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nesterov | Marques |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 4 |
| Converted | 9/24 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 38% | 67% |
| Conceded | 13 | 11 |
| Saved | 9 | 7 |
| % Saved | 69% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
The Bulgarian broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Bulgarian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Marques broke his opponents 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Goncalo conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nesterov | ||||
| Q1 Tabacco |
Q3 Topo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 18 | 47 | |
| pts | 103-99 | 70-49 | 173-148 | |
| Total points | 202 | 119 | 321 | |
| Winners | 36 | 30 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 43% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 58/98 | 34/46 | 92/144 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 74% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 36/58 | 30/34 | 66/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 88% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/40 | 7/12 | 26/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 58% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 3/9 | 9/24 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 33% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 0 | 13 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 0/0 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 69% | – | 35% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Marques | ||||
| Q1 Kravchenko |
Q3 Langmo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | 7-65 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 26 | 53 | |
| pts | 86-84 | 77-73 | 163-157 | |
| Total points | 170 | 150 | 320 | |
| Winners | 31 | 40 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 52% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 11 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 48/99 | 50/76 | 98/175 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 66% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 31/48 | 40/50 | 71/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 80% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/51 | 18/26 | 45/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 69% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 0/0 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 0% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 0 | 11 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 0/0 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 64% | – | 32% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
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