Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Varvara Lepchenko will face off in the qualifications of the China Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on Court 5. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aliaksandra Sasnovich who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aliaksandra Sasnovich is the pick to win this match.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich -> 1.21
Varvara Lepchenko -> 3.84
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Varvara Lepchenko
This will be the 5th time that Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Varvara Lepchenko clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Sasnovich and Lepchenko (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Sasnovich won 6-4 6-1 in the qualifications in Beijing back in 2025.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
27 - 22win/loss
121
29
WLWLWLLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27-22 | 16-12 | 8-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 33-26 | 8-13 | 11-7 | 7-3 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-23 | 10-12 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-26 | 16-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-21 | 18-10 | 12-7 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121, Sasnovich got to the qualifications after beating Junhan Zhang 6-2 6-0.
In the qualifications, Sasnovich had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-2 6-0). During the match, Sasnovich scored 57 points vs Zhang’s 30. The Belarussian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sasnovich scored 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aliaksandra Sasnovich was very efficient on serve to win 88% (23/26) of her 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belarussian broke Zhang 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Sasnovich has winning record in the last 10 years having won 55% of her matches (279-225). 16-12 on hard in 2026. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sasnovich has an aggregate 139-115 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Sasnovich has a compiled 27-22 win-loss record in 2026, 16-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2025. See her history.
Varvara Lepchenko
17 - 24win/loss
189
19
LLWLLLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16-24 | 5-10 | 9-11 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 39-36 | 17-16 | 21-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-37 | 22-15 | 26-17 | 6-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-20 | 25-14 | 6-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 189, will start her run in Beijing after she played her last match in Beijing where she defeated 6-2 6-4 to Eikeri in the qualifications on the 28th of September.
Lepchenko has a compiled 16-24 win-loss record in 2026, 5-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
In terms of her career, Lepchenko has an overall 669-529 record. She has a positive 393-290 record on hard.
Previously in Beijing
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2012, 2013 and 2017. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sasnovich | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 18 |
| Pts | 57-30 | 70-55 |
| Total Points | 87 | 125 |
| Winners | 23 | 35 |
| %Winners | 40% | 50% |
Both Sasnovich and Lepchenko played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sasnovich and Lepchenko have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sasnovich played 4 games less than Lepchenko. The Belarussian scored 23 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Lepchenko struck 35 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sasnovich | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2 |
| 1st in | 26/41 | 44/59 |
| %1st in | 63% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 35/44 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 40% |
Sasnovich recorded 4 aces . Lepchenko bagged 2 aces . Sasnovich won 88% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Lepchenko won 80% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 40% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sasnovich | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 45% | 38% |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Aliaksandra broke her opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Sasnovich very solid her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Varvara broke her opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Varvara was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Sasnovich | |||
| Q1 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 57-30 | 57-30 | |
| Total points | 87 | 87 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 26/41 | 26/41 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 23/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | 8/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Lepchenko | |||
| Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | |||
| Tot Set | 0 | ||
| Tot Games | 0 | ||
| pts | 0-0 | ||
| Total points | 0 | ||
| Winners | 0 | ||
| %Winners | 0% | ||
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | ||
| Double Faults | 0 | ||
| 1st in | 0/0 | ||
| % 1st in | 0% | ||
| 1st pts | 0/0 | ||
| % 1st pts | 0% | ||
| 2nd pts | 0/0 | ||
| % 2nd pts | 0% | ||
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 0 | ||
| Converted | 0/0 | ||
| Converted % | 0% | ||
| Conceded | 0 | ||
| Saved | 0 | ||
| Saved % | 0% | ||
| Times Broken | 0 | ||
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
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