Luka Mikrut and Carlo Alberto Caniato will square off in the final of the Genoa 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on Court 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luka Mikrut who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luka Mikrut is the pick to win this match.
Luka Mikrut -> 1.57
Carlo Alberto Caniato -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Luka Mikrut vs. Carlo Alberto Caniato
This will be the 2nd time that Luka Mikrut and Carlo Alberto Caniato clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mikrut (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Mikrut won 1-6 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Como Challenger back in 2025.
Luka Mikrut
16 - 10win/loss
167
159
WWWWWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17-10 | 3-5 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 57-20 | 4-3 | 52-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-26 | 5-4 | 31-19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-18 | 5-3 | 28-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-14 | 9-2 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 214, Luka got to the final after defeating Federico Iannaccone 6-1 6-2, Kimmer Coppejans 6-1 6-1, Lukas Neumayer 6-3 6-4 and Marvin Moeller 6-3 3-6 7-6(3).
In the semifinal, Mikrut defeated Moeller (6-3 3-6 7-63). During the match, Mikrut scored 109 points vs Moeller’s 103. The Croatian was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mikrut recorded 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Luka Mikrut was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (44/62) of his 1st serve and 54% (25/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Croatian broke Moeller twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mikrut has dropped 1 set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.
ATP Genoa 2 Challenger - Luka Mikrut's projected path
Mikrut has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 63% of his matches (159-95). 13-4 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mikrut has an aggregate131-71 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
Luka’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Bad Rappenau Challenger and the Genoa 2 Challenger.
Luka has an overall 16-10 win-loss record in 2026, 13-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Genoa 2 Challenger
Mikrut has never competed in this tournament before.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
27 - 21win/loss
318
314
LWWWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27-22 | 0-3 | 27-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 37-22 | 10-7 | 27-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-26 | 3-4 | 25-21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 7-6 | 3-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 386, Carlo got to the final after beating Lorenzo Berto 6-1 7-5, Tom Gentzsch 6-3 5-7 7-5, Jay Clarke 6-0 2-0 ret. and Francesco Forti 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal, Carlo had a good straight sets win against Forti (6-2 6-4). During the match Alberto scored 64 points vs Forti’s 49. Alberto was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Alberto struck 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Carlo Alberto Caniato was very effective on serve to win 76% (26/34) of his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alberto broke Forti 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
ATP Genoa 2 Challenger - Carlo Alberto Caniato's projected path
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Biella Challenger where he beat Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 7-6(1) 6-4.
Alberto has a compiled 27-21 win-loss record in 2026, 27-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mikrut | Alberto |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 79 | 78 |
| Pts | 275-205 | 268-195 |
| Total Points | 480 | 463 |
| Winners | 113 | 117 |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% |
Both Mikrut and Alberto played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Luka Mikrut dropped 1 set, while Carlo Alberto Caniato lost 1 set. Mikrut has played 1 set(s) less than Alberto (9 vs 10). However, it’s interesting to notice that Mikrut played 1 game more than Alberto. The Croatian scored 113 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 117 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mikrut | Alberto |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 150/250 | 144/227 |
| %1st in | 60% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 113/150 | 117/144 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 57/100 | 48/83 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 58% |
Mikrut fired 18 aces (4.5 per match). Alberto blasted 16 aces (4 per match). Mikrut won 75% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Alberto won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mikrut | Alberto |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 14 |
| Converted | 15/26 | 14/21 |
| % Converted | 58% | 67% |
| Conceded | 17 | 12 |
| Saved | 13 | 9 |
| % Saved | 76% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
Mikrut broke his opponents 15 times with a 58% conversion rate. Mikrut conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Carlo broke his opponents 14 times with a 67% conversion rate. Alberto conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mikrut | ||||||
| R1 Iannaccone |
R2 Coppejans |
1/4 Neumayer |
1/2 Moeller |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 3-6 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 14 | 19 | 31 | 79 | |
| pts | 51-23 | 55-28 | 60-51 | 109-103 | 275-205 | |
| Total points | 74 | 83 | 111 | 212 | 480 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | 23 | 44 | 113 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 42% | 38% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 27/38 | 28/40 | 33/64 | 62/108 | 150/250 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 70% | 52% | 57% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 23/27 | 23/28 | 23/33 | 44/62 | 113/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 82% | 70% | 71% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/11 | 7/12 | 16/31 | 25/46 | 57/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 58% | 52% | 54% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 5/8 | 4/5 | 2/9 | 15/26 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 63% | 80% | 22% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 4/6 | 7/9 | 13 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 67% | 78% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Alberto | ||||||
| R1 Berto |
R2 Gentzsch |
1/4 Clarke |
1/2 Forti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | 6-3 5-7 7-5 | 6-0 2-0 ret. | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 33 | 8 | 18 | 78 | |
| pts | 64-39 | 108-99 | 32-8 | 64-49 | 268-195 | |
| Total points | 103 | 207 | 40 | 113 | 463 | |
| Winners | 26 | 53 | 12 | 26 | 117 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 49% | 38% | 41% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 28/46 | 68/105 | 14/21 | 34/55 | 144/227 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 65% | 67% | 62% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 26/28 | 53/68 | 12/14 | 26/34 | 117/144 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 78% | 86% | 76% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/18 | 18/37 | 4/7 | 12/21 | 48/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 49% | 57% | 57% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/7 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 14/21 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 43% | 80% | 80% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 5/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | – | 83% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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