Andrey Rublev and Hugo Gaston will face off in the quarter of the Hangzhou Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.2
Hugo Gaston -> 4.5
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Hugo Gaston
This will be the 2nd time that Andrey Rublev and Hugo Gaston square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Rublev won 6-2 6-3 in the 2nd round in Toronto back in 2025.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Hugo Gaston – Toronto 30-July-2025
Andrey Rublev
29 - 17win/loss
25
5
WLWLWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29-17 | 13-9 | 16-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 34-25 | 16-13 | 8-6 | 6-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, the Russian reached the quarter after beating Rinky Hijikata 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Andrey had a good straight sets win against Hijikata (6-3 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 66 points vs Hijikata’s 46. Andrey was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev blasted 12 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Andrey Rublev was quite effective on serve to win 83% (29/35) of his 1st serve and 78% (7/9) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Hijikata 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
ATP Hangzhou - Andrey Rublev's projected path
Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (430-231). 13-9 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has an aggregate 196-103 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Bastad where he beat Luciano Darderi in the final 6-4 6-3.
Rublev has a composed 29-17 win-loss record in 2026, 13-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hangzhou
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2025. See his history.
Hugo Gaston
31 - 25win/loss
97
58
WWLWWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31-25 | 9-7 | 12-12 | 7-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 30-31 | 9-12 | 6-14 | 15-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-31 | 5-12 | 15-11 | 8-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 6-5 | 30-18 | 8-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 16-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 97, Gaston got to the quarter after defeating Sho Shimabukuro 6-4 6-4 and Jaime Faria 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Faria, Gaston recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 6-4). During the match Gaston scored 106 points vs Faria’s 100. Hugo was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.
About the serving games, Gaston managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Hugo Gaston was very efficient on serve to win 81% (46/57) of his 1st serve and 59% (23/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Faria once after converting 14% of his break points (1/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hugo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
ATP Hangzhou - Hugo Gaston's projected path
Gaston’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Braunschweig Challenger.
Gaston has an aggregate 31-25 win-loss record in 2026, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hangzhou
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 53 |
| Pts | 66-46 | 170-158 |
| Total Points | 112 | 328 |
| Winners | 29 | 70 |
| %Winners | 44% | 41% |
Rublev played 1 match while Gaston competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Hugo Gaston dropped 1 set while Andrey Rublev hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rublev has played 3 set(s) less than Gaston (2 vs 5). Therefore, Rublev played 35 games less than Gaston. The Russian scored 29 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Hugo struck 70 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 35/44 | 88/158 |
| %1st in | 80% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 70/88 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 7/9 | 40/70 |
| %2nd pts | 78% | 57% |
Rublev managed to score 12 aces . Gaston bagged 7 aces (3.5 per match). Rublev won 83% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 78% of the points. On the other side, Gaston won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/13 |
| % Converted | 33% | 31% |
| Conceded | 0 | 10 |
| Saved | 0 | 8 |
| % Saved | 0% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Andrey broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Russian extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Gaston broke his opponents 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Hugo conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | |||
| R2 Hijikata |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 66-46 | 66-46 | |
| Total points | 112 | 112 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 35/44 | 35/44 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 29/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/9 | 7/9 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 78% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Gaston | ||||
| R1 Shimabukuro |
R2 Faria |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 4-6 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 33 | 53 | |
| pts | 64-58 | 106-100 | 170-158 | |
| Total points | 122 | 206 | 328 | |
| Winners | 24 | 46 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 31/62 | 57/96 | 88/158 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 59% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 46/57 | 70/88 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 81% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 23/39 | 40/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 59% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 1/7 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 14% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | 160% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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