H2H, prediction of Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller in Genoa 2 Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 26th September 2026

PREVIEW. Genoa 2 Challenger. Mikrut and Moeller will square off in the semifinal of the Genoa 2 Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Saturday the 26th of September

Prediction and head to head Luka Mikrut vs. Marvin Moeller

Luka Mikrut and Marvin Moeller will play each other in the semifinal of the Genoa 2 Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on Court 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luka Mikrut who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luka Mikrut is the pick to win this match.
Luka Mikrut -> 1.39
Marvin Moeller -> 2.72

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Luka Mikrut vs. Marvin Moeller

This will be the 3rd time that Luka Mikrut and Marvin Moeller face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Mikrut (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Mikrut won 5-7 7-5 6-3 in the quarter in the Bad Rappenau Challenger back in June 2026.

Luka Mikrut

Luka Mikrut
Luka Mikrut

15 - 10win/loss

Hard
3-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
12-4
Grass
0-1
Rank
167
High
159
WWWWWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 17-10 3-5 14-4 0-0 0-1 0-0
2025 57-20 4-3 52-15 1-2 0-0 0-0
2024 37-26 5-4 31-19 1-3 0-0 0-0
2023 33-18 5-3 28-14 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 15-14 9-2 6-12 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 214, Luka got to the semifinal after defeating Federico Iannaccone 6-1 6-2, Kimmer Coppejans 6-1 6-1 and Lukas Neumayer 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter, Mikrut had a good straight sets win against Neumayer (6-3 6-4). During the match, Mikrut scored 60 points vs Neumayer’s 51. Mikrut was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mikrut scored 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Luka Mikrut lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Mikrut put 52% of his first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the 2nd serve. Luka broke Neumayer 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Croatian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 62% of the points he played.

ATP Genoa 2 Challenger - Luka Mikrut's projected path

Projected draw

Mikrut has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 62% of his matches (158-95). 12-4 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mikrut has an overall130-71 match record in the last 6 years on clay.

The Croatian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Bad Rappenau Challenger.

Mikrut has a composed 15-10 win-loss record in 2026, 12-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Genoa 2 Challenger

Luka has never competed in this tournament before.

Mikrut
Genoa 2 Challenger
Mikrut's Record

Marvin Moeller

Marvin Moeller
Marvin Moeller

48 - 22win/loss

Clay
32-15
Rank
239
High
235
LWWWLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 48-23 0-0 32-16 16-7 0-0 0-0
2025 43-25 1-2 29-16 13-7 0-0 0-0
2024 25-18 0-0 13-13 12-5 0-0 0-0
2023 59-27 2-1 36-16 20-8 0-0 1-2
2022 18-7 0-0 2-2 16-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 256 (career-high), the German got to the semifinal after beating Stefano Travaglia 6-4 4-6 6-2, Federico Arnaboldi 6-4 6-4 and Dali Blanch 6-3 4-6 6-3.

In the quarter, Moeller defeated Blanch (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match Moeller scored 92 points vs Blanch’s 86. Marvin was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Moeller recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Marvin Moeller lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Moeller put 57% of his first serves in, winning 61% (31/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (25/39) on the 2nd serve. Marvin broke Blanch 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The German has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

ATP Genoa 2 Challenger - Marvin Moeller's projected path

Projected draw
SF
F

His best result of the year was winning the title the Troyes Challenger where he defeated Kilian Feldbausch in the final 7-6(5) 6-3.

Moeller has a composed 48-22 win-loss record in 2026, 32-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Moeller
Genoa 2 Challenger
Moeller's Record
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Mikrut
M.Moeller
3h:28
3h:28
Time on court​
!
6h:47
6h:47
1h:20
1h:20
Last match​
!
2h:22
2h:22
3
3
Match played
3
3
48
48
Games Played​
76
76
6
6
Set played​​
8
8
166
166
Total points​
258
258
55.3
55.3
Avg point​
86
86
69
69
Winners
87
87
23
23
Avg Winners​
29
29
42%
42%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
7
7
4.7
4.7
Avg Aces
2.3
2.3
2
2
Double Faults
7
7
0.7
0.7
Avg Double Faults
2.3
2.3
69/88
69/88
1st won total​
87/139
87/139
!
78%
78%
1st won %
63%
63%
32/54
32/54
2nd won total​
64/107
64/107
59%
59%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
13/17
13/17
BP won
14/27
14/27
4.3/5.7
4.3/5.7
Avg BP won
4.7/9
4.7/9
!
76%
76%
Won
!
52%
52%
8
8
Conceded
25
25
2.7
2.7
Avg Conceded
8.3
8.3
2
2
Broken
8
8
!
0.7
0.7
Avg Broken
2.7
2.7
6
6
Saved
17
17

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Mikrut Moeller
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 8
Tot Games 48 76
Pts 166-102 258-234
Total Points 268 492
Winners 69 87
%Winners 42% 34%

Both Mikrut and Moeller played 3 matches. At the moment, Marvin Moeller dropped 2 sets while Luka Mikrut hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Mikrut has played 2 set(s) less than Moeller (6 vs 8). Therefore, Mikrut played 28 games less than Moeller. Luka scored 69 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Marvin fired 87 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Mikrut Moeller
Aces 14 7
Avg per match 4.7 2.3
1st in 88/142 139/246
%1st in 62% 57%
1st pts 69/88 87/139
%1st pts 78% 63%
2nd pts 32/54 64/107
%2nd pts 59% 60%

Mikrut made 14 aces (4.7 per match). Moeller made 7 aces (2.3 per match). Mikrut won 78% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Moeller won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Mikrut Moeller
Won 13 14
Converted 13/17 14/27
% Converted 76% 52%
Conceded 8 25
Saved 6 17
% Saved 75% 68%
Times Broken 2 8

The Croatian broke his opponents 13 times with a 76% conversion rate. Mikrut dropped his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Marvin broke his opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Marvin conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Mikrut
R1
Iannaccone
R2
Coppejans
1/4
Neumayer
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-1 6-1 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 15 14 19 48
pts 51-23 55-28 60-51 166-102
Total points 74 83 111 268
Winners 23 23 23 69
%Winners 45% 42% 38% 42%
SERVE
Aces 4 2 8 14
Double Faults 0 0 2 2
1st in 27/38 28/40 33/64 88/142
% 1st in 71% 70% 52% 62%
1st pts 23/27 23/28 23/33 69/88
% 1st pts 85% 82% 70% 78%
2nd pts 9/11 7/12 16/31 32/54
% 2nd pts 82% 58% 52% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 5 4 13
Converted 4/4 5/8 4/5 13/17
Converted % 100% 63% 80% 76%
Conceded 0 2 6 8
Saved 0/0 2/2 4/6 6
Saved % – 100% 67% 56%
Times Broken 0 0 2 2
Moeller
R1
Travaglia
R2
Arnaboldi
1/4
Blanch
Total
Score 6-4 4-6 6-2 6-4 6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 28 20 28 76
pts 98-86 68-62 92-86 258-234
Total points 184 130 178 492
Winners 38 18 31 87
%Winners 39% 26% 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 2 2 3 7
Double Faults 3 2 2 7
1st in 54/93 34/63 51/90 139/246
% 1st in 58% 54% 57% 57%
1st pts 38/54 18/34 31/51 87/139
% 1st pts 70% 53% 61% 63%
2nd pts 19/39 20/29 25/39 64/107
% 2nd pts 49% 69% 64% 60%
Breaks
Won 5 4 5 14
Converted 5/9 4/7 5/11 14/27
Converted % 56% 57% 45% 52%
Conceded 7 10 8 25
Saved 4/7 8/10 5/8 17
Saved % 57% 80% 63% 67%
Times Broken 3 2 3 8

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Mikrut
WWWWWWWWWW
Moeller
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
17 - 10
48 - 23
3-5
Hard
0-0
0-0
I Hard
16-7
14-4
Clay
32-16

Tennis Scores in Genoa 2 Challenger

  • Carlo Alberto CaniatoAlberto Caniato – Jay ClarkeClarke (6-0 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
  • Luka MikrutMikrut – Lukas NeumayerNeumayer (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Francesco FortiForti – Mika PetkovicPetkovic (6-4 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
  • Marvin MoellerMoeller – Dali BlanchBlanch (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Patrik Niklas-Salminen/Michael VrbenskyNiklas-Salminen/Michael Vrbensky – Dimitris Sakellaridis/Vladimir UzhylovskySakellaridis/Vladimir Uzhylovsky (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
  • Sergio Martos Gornes/Szymon WalkowMartos Gornes/Szymon Walkow – Marko Maric/Tadija RadovanovicMaric/Tadija Radovanovic (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
  • Inigo Cervantes/Denys MolchanovCervantes/Denys Molchanov – Juan Jose Bianchi/Kody PearsonJose Bianchi/Kody Pearson (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
  • Marvin MoellerMoeller – Dali BlanchBlanch (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Luka MikrutMikrut – Lukas NeumayerNeumayer (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Francesco FortiForti – Mika PetkovicPetkovic (6-4 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
  • Carlo Alberto CaniatoAlberto Caniato – Jay ClarkeClarke (6-0 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw