Diego Dedura and Thiago Moura Monteiro will square off in the quarter of the Szczecin Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Thiago Moura Monteiro who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Thiago Moura Monteiro is the pick to win this match.
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 1.65
Diego Dedura -> 2.08
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Diego Dedura vs. Thiago Moura Monteiro
This will be the 2nd time that Diego Dedura and Thiago Moura Monteiro square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Moura Monteiro (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Moura Monteiro won 7-6(7) 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Santiago Challenger back in March 2026.
Diego Dedura
43 - 23win/loss
190
186
LWLLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 44-26 | 3-4 | 38-18 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 31-30 | 4-6 | 25-22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-18 | 1-1 | 34-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 188 (career-high), Diego reached the quarter after defeating Dusan Lajovic 5-1 ret. and Kilian Feldbausch 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(4).
In the 2nd round, Diego defeated Feldbausch (7-64 4-6 7-64). During the match, Dedura and Feldbausch scored the same amount of points (125). However, the world no. 188 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Dedura was pretty aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Regarding the service games, Dedura scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Diego Dedura lost the serve 6 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Dedura put 70% of his first serves in, winning 60% (51/85) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the 2nd serve. Diego broke Feldbausch 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
ATP Szczecin Challenger - Diego Dedura's projected path
Dedura has a solid win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 60% of his matches (111-74). 38-16 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Dedura has a compiled99-57 win-loss record in the last 4 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Tampere Challenger where he beat Otto Virtanen in the final 6-3 6-7(3) 6-3.
Dedura has a composed 43-23 win-loss record in 2026, 38-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Szczecin Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2025. See his history.
Thiago Moura Monteiro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-20 | 0-0 | 33-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 26-30 | 3-4 | 23-25 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-28 | 1-3 | 33-17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-30 | 3-7 | 30-22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-33 | 8-8 | 28-16 | 4-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 282, Moura Monteiro reached the quarter after defeating Stefano Travaglia 6-3 7-6(3) and Vitaliy Sachko 6-7(3) 6-4 7-6(3).
In the 2nd round against Sachko, Moura Monteiro recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-4 7-63). During the match Moura Monteiro scored 114 points vs Sachko’s 111. Thiago was very aggressive to blast 60 winners.
Talking about serving, Moura Monteiro recorded 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Thiago Moura Monteiro lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Moura Monteiro put 64% of his first serves in, winning 83% (60/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (17/40) on the 2nd serve. Thiago broke Sachko twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Moura Monteiro has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
ATP Szczecin Challenger - Thiago Moura Monteiro's projected path
Moura Monteiro has a composed 31-17 win-loss record in 2026, 31-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Szczecin Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dedura | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 58 |
| Pts | 149-134 | 194-177 |
| Total Points | 283 | 371 |
| Winners | 60 | 97 |
| %Winners | 40% | 50% |
Both Dedura and Moura Monteiro played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Diego Dedura lost 1 set, while Thiago Moura Monteiro surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Dedura and Moura Monteiro have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Dedura played 16 games less than Moura Monteiro. Diego scored 60 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Thiago managed to score 97 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dedura | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 95/135 | 121/186 |
| %1st in | 70% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 60/95 | 97/121 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 22/40 | 31/65 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 48% |
Dedura recorded 1 ace (0.5 per match). Moura Monteiro also fired 13 aces (6.5 per match). Dedura won 63% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Moura Monteiro won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dedura | Moura Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 4 |
| Converted | 7/15 | 4/10 |
| % Converted | 47% | 40% |
| Conceded | 13 | 10 |
| Saved | 7 | 8 |
| % Saved | 54% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
Dedura broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Diego surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponents 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Moura Monteiro conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Dedura | ||||
| R1 Lajovic |
R2 Feldbausch |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-1 ret. | 7-64 4-6 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 6 | 36 | 42 | |
| pts | 24-9 | 125-125 | 149-134 | |
| Total points | 33 | 250 | 283 | |
| Winners | 9 | 51 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 10/14 | 85/121 | 95/135 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 9/10 | 51/85 | 60/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 60% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/4 | 19/36 | 22/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 53% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 5/12 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 42% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 7/13 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 54% | 27% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| Moura Monteiro | ||||
| R1 Travaglia |
R2 Sachko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-63 | 6-73 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 36 | 58 | |
| pts | 80-66 | 114-111 | 194-177 | |
| Total points | 146 | 225 | 371 | |
| Winners | 37 | 60 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 53% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 49/74 | 72/112 | 121/186 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 37/49 | 60/72 | 97/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 83% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 17/40 | 31/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 43% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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