Elias Ymer and Marat Sharipov will clash against each other in the quarter of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marat Sharipov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marat Sharipov is the pick to win this match.
Marat Sharipov -> 1.65
Elias Ymer -> 2.08
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Elias Ymer vs. Marat Sharipov
There is no head to head record between Elias Ymer and Marat Sharipov since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Elias Ymer
19 - 20win/loss
192
105
LLWLLWWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20-24 | 12-16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 36-32 | 12-8 | 16-20 | 7-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-32 | 7-15 | 6-9 | 8-7 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-41 | 10-13 | 24-17 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-32 | 12-11 | 20-15 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 197, the Swede got to the quarter after beating Semen Pankin 5-7 7-5 6-3 and Luca Castelnuovo 7-6(6) 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Elias had a good straight sets win against Castelnuovo (7-66 6-4). During the match, Ymer scored 80 points vs Castelnuovo’s 69. Elias was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ymer blasted 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Elias Ymer was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (35/47) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Swede broke Castelnuovo twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elias has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
ATP Guangzhou Challenger - Elias Ymer's projected path
Ymer has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 52% of his matches (309-282). 11-12 on hard in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ymer has a compiled 83-93 record in the last years on hard.
The Swede has a compiled 19-20 win-loss record in 2026, 11-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Ymer has never competed in this tournament before.
Marat Sharipov
31 - 17win/loss
234
232
LWLWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38-19 | 26-10 | 10-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 48-26 | 24-11 | 14-9 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-17 | 16-7 | 27-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-18 | 43-4 | 22-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-19 | 8-6 | 7-10 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 364, Marat reached the quarter after beating Thomas Fancutt 6-2 6-3 and Lloyd Harris 4-6 7-6(6) 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Lloyd, Marat recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-66 6-3). During the match Sharipov scored 98 points vs Lloyd’s 90. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Sharipov fired 17 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Marat Sharipov was pretty effective on serve to win 85% (44/52) of his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Marat broke Lloyd twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marat has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
ATP Guangzhou Challenger - Marat Sharipov's projected path
Marat’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Shanghai Challenger.
The Russian has an overall 31-17 win-loss record in 2026, 19-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ymer | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 49 |
| Pts | 190-170 | 156-129 |
| Total Points | 360 | 285 |
| Winners | 79 | 68 |
| %Winners | 42% | 44% |
Both Ymer and Sharipov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elias Ymer lost 1 set, while Marat Sharipov lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Ymer and Sharipov have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Ymer played 7 games more than Sharipov. Elias scored 79 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian made 68 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ymer | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 12 |
| 1st in | 110/167 | 77/133 |
| %1st in | 66% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 79/110 | 68/77 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 88% |
| 2nd pts | 39/57 | 33/56 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 59% |
Ymer managed to score 18 aces (9 per match). Sharipov made 24 aces (12 per match). Ymer won 72% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Sharipov won 88% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ymer | Sharipov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/16 |
| % Converted | 38% | 31% |
| Conceded | 11 | 3 |
| Saved | 8 | 2 |
| % Saved | 73% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
The Swede broke his opponents 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Swede lost his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Marat broke his opponents 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Sharipov conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ymer | ||||
| R1 Pankin |
R2 Castelnuovo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 7-5 6-3 | 7-66 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 23 | 56 | |
| pts | 110-101 | 80-69 | 190-170 | |
| Total points | 211 | 149 | 360 | |
| Winners | 44 | 35 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 6 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 63/104 | 47/63 | 110/167 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 75% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 44/63 | 35/47 | 79/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 74% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/41 | 12/16 | 39/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 75% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/8 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 25% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 2/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Sharipov | ||||
| R1 Fancutt |
R2 Lloyd |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 7-66 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 32 | 49 | |
| pts | 58-39 | 98-90 | 156-129 | |
| Total points | 97 | 188 | 285 | |
| Winners | 24 | 44 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 17 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 25/47 | 52/86 | 77/133 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 60% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 24/25 | 44/52 | 68/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 96% | 85% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 20/34 | 33/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/9 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 22% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Bernard TomicTomic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elias YmerYmer – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
